Displaying items by tag: ETFs

After a rough 2022 for fixed income, 2023 has seen the asset class eke out modest gains. But, it hasn’t been smooth sailing especially in recent months as most of the gains have been wiped out amid a deluge of positive economic data which is increasing the odds that the Fed’s rate hikes are not done and increases the risk of inflation re-igniting.

However, this hasn’t slowed inflows into fixed income ETFs. According to ETF.com’s Michelle Lodge, the major reasons are higher yields, increased awareness from advisors and institutional investors, and continued uneasiness about the macro environment. In fact, inflows into fixed income ETFs are outpacing inflows into equity ETFs. 

Many believe there is a virtuous cycle at work. Fixed income ETFs are increasing liquidity which in turn, is leading to more institutional money flowing into the asset class. The virtuous cycle could pick up more velocity with active fixed income growing in popularity as many of these funds look for opportunities in less liquid areas of various durations and credit quality. 

Overall, the popularity of fixed income ETFs is a major development in 2023 even despite a volatile couple of years for bonds. 

FinSum: Fixed income ETFs are seeing strong inflows in 2023. This can be attributed to higher yields, a shaky macro outlook, and strong demand from advisors and institutional investors.

Until a couple of months ago, the market’s consensus forecast was that inflation would gradually ebb lower as the Fed’s rate hikes would choke off economic activity, resulting in an inevitable recession. Needless to say, this scenario was very bullish for fixed income as it would let investors take advantage of higher yields and then profit from appreciation in bond prices.

Of course, reality had a different plan. Rather than a recession, we are seeing the economy continue to grow and add jobs. In fact, there is increasing evidence that the business cycle could be turning higher. Similarly, inflation has proven to be stickier than anticipated, and many believe we could be in a regime of ‘higher for longer’ inflation.

For ETF.com, Lisa Barr spoke to Monish Verma of Vardhan Wealth Management to get his insights on how to navigate this terrain. He believes that inflation will be structurally higher over the next decade which means more volatility in fixed income. 

In terms of duration, he likes the short-end at the moment but recommends tactically adding longer-duration closer to the end of the year as the Fed nears the end of its hiking cycle. He also recommends fixed income ETFs that are low-cost and diversified as offering the most upside. 

FinSum: Many fixed income investors were caught off guard when the economy and inflation proved to be more resilient than expected. Here are some strategies to consider if inflation continues to linger.

In an article for TheStreet, David Dierking discusses two ETFs offering investors weekly dividends. It’s an innovative offering by SoFi as most equities pay out dividends on a quarterly basis, while fixed income ETFs offer monthly payouts. 

In contrast, the SoFi Weekly Dividend ETF (WKLY) and the SoFi Weekly Income ETF (TGIF) are structured to give investors a weekly payout. WKLY is made up of a blend of equities and fixed income. It invests primarily in dividend-paying companies with a market cap of over $1 billion. Some of its largest holdings include Exxon Mobil, Johnson & Johnson, and JPMorgan Chase. It pays out $0.02 per share on a weekly basis which is a 2.2% annual yield. 

TGIF invests primarily in high-yield fixed income and is considered a bond ETF. It mostly invests in short and intermediate-term duration and also has an active management structure which gives it wider latitude to take advantage of opportunities in the credit space. It pays out $0.07 per share on a weekly basis and has an annualized yield of 3.8%. Since inception, it had one dividend hike from $0.05 per share to $0.07.

FinSum: SOFI has introduced an equity fund and fixed income fund which offers weekly dividends. Here are some important considerations.

Todd Rosenbluth, the Head of Research for Vettafi, recently sat down with Joanna Gallegos, the co-founder of BondBloxx, about the state of the fixed income market and BondBloxx’s fixed income ETF offerings. BondBloxx is the only ETF issuer which specializes in fixed income.

Gallegos believes that the dynamic has shifted in a structural way for the asset class, following middling returns and yields over the past decade, amid a period of low rates and low inflation. Now, there is constant investor demand on the short-end of the curve given that yields are between 4% and 5% with minimal risk.

Demand is also quite strong on the long-end especially as many market participants are concerned that the economy is nearing a recession and inflationary pressures are abating as well.

However, Gallegos is not as concerned about a recession, believing that risks are already priced in. In fact, she recommends investors seek exposure to high-yield, corporate debt given elevated yields despite corporate balance sheets being in strong shape and sees upside in the event of an uptick in economic growth or easing of Fed policy.

Finsum: Joanna Gallegos is the co-founder of BondBloxx which is the only ETF issuer specializing in fixed income. She’s quite bullish on the asset class and sees the most upside in high-yield, corporate debt.

Fixed income ETFs are seeing a surge of inflows over the past year given higher rates and an uncertain economic and monetary outlook. Blackrock is a pioneer in the space and has $800 billion in assets under management in its fixed income ETFs as of the end of the first quarter.

Now, the asset manager is setting a goal of $2.5 trillion by the end of the decade in assets in its fixed income ETFs. These comments were made by Salim Ramji, Blackrock’s global head of ETFs and Index Investments at its Investor Day earlier this week and were covered by Shanny Basar for Markets Media Group. 

He sees the line between passive and active continuing to blur as investors demand more customization and scale. Currently, Blackrock manages $5.9 trillion in assets. Its ETF division, iShares, has $3.1 trillion in assets but accounts for more than 90% of revenue growth. In total, it offers 1,300 ETFs which is more than double that of any other company. Overall, Ramji sees annual ETF asset growth in the double-digits and revenue growth of single-digits to continue as well. 

Finsum: Fixed income ETFs are booming due to an uncertain economic outlook and the highest yields in decades. Blackrock is targeting a tripling of its assets in its fixed income ETFs by the end of the decade.