FINSUM
(New York)
Increasingly, investing in tech companies means you need to go big or go home. What we mean is that large cap tech companies have been outperforming their smaller peers handily. The S&P 500 Information Technology Sector is up about 14% this year, much better than the index’s 3.7% overall gain, but the S&P 600 Information Technology Sector has only gained 9.9%. That means that the largest tech company are significantly outperforming their smaller peers.
FINSUM: This is not a surprise given the overall momentum the FAANGs have had over the last few years. However, given the worries over regulation, it is odd to see they have outperformed smaller rivals very recently.
(New York)
Retail has been stuck in a rut for some years. Big retailers have been closing stores left and right, so unless you are a contrarian, it is a tough time to invest in the sector. However, there is an ETF that might offer the best way to play the current environment. That ETF is called Amplify Online Retail (IBUY). IBUY has returned just over 15% this year, and tracks an index of companies that make at least 70% of their revenue from online or virtual sales. Three quarters of its holdings are in the US. Only about 10% of retail sales happen online in the US, but that is expected to double over the next five years.
FINSUM: If you are a believer in ecommerce’s ability to disrupt the predominant retail model and make profit, then this seems like a good way to play the sector.
(New York)
Small cap stocks have done well this year, and many are growing more interested in the area following underperformance in the last few years. With that in mind, here are some picks from a top global small caps fund manager. The first thing to know is that international small caps are one of the few areas where active management adds value because many companies are poorly covered by analysts. The other thing to know is that at small caps the CEO really makes a difference in a way that is impossible at much larger organizations. The manager picks shares like Japan’s Horiba, or ABC-MART, or Britain’s Electrocomponents.
FINSUM: Picking international small caps is definitely an area where management needs to be outsourced to a specialist, and to be honest, this fund’s (Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Small-Cap) picks and approach were to us impressive.
(New York)
All the press is on the growth of ETFs, but today some surprise data has come out—mutual fund inflows are outpacing ETFs this year, at least according to Pershing. So far this year mutual funds on Pershing’s platform have seen about $8 bn of inflows, while ETFs have seen just over $6 bn. The explanation for the trend, according to BNY Mellon Pershing is that “As advisors look to diversify their investment strategies to actively manage against emerging risks in the market, we are starting to see mutual fund inflows close the gap with ETFs”.
FINSUM: Active management and once-a-day liquidity do seem to give mutual funds an advantage in the risk avoidance department.
(New York)
Investors hang onto your hats, a big fixed income rout might be coming. While it was easy to write Italy’s big bond losses off to its recent political crisis, the Wall Street Journal is arguing that all risky bonds may be in for a reckoning. There are a couple reasons. One is that just as in Italy’s two-year bond, many fixed income securities may hit a “double bottom”, which could lead to serious losses. But more fundamentally, many investors are now starting to view bonds higher up the quality spectrum more favorably, which means the market may suffer a significant “risk-off” period. Global high-yield bonds are down almost 4% already this year.
FINSUM: Our bigger worry than the points mentioned here is that as safer bonds start to get better yields from rising rates, there is less and less incentive to buy junk. That is a major change from the paradigm of the last few years.
(New York)
One of the things the growing ETF markets lacks is many options regarding private equity, and with good reason. The returns of the sector are hard to reproduce with publicly traded stocks. But getting private equity returns can be difficult to attain anyway because of the challenges of investing in the sector, especially for investors who are not at the wealthiest end of the spectrum. However, there are two newish ETFs on the market, BUYN and BUY, which use an investing methodology developed at Harvard to try to replicate the returns of the private equity sector. The provider is SummerHaven, who comments about their funds that “We believe that these ETFs based on our private equity strategy indexes will provide investors with an opportunity to access returns comparable to an asset class that has traditionally only been available through private markets, with the added benefit of liquidity and transparent and without lockups, vintage risk, investment minimums or takeover premiums. These ETFs will allow both retail and institutional investors an opportunity to access private equity strategy returns at substantially lower fees”.
FINSUM: On paper these sound like an interesting option, but only time will tell if the strategy actually achieves what it says. The ETFs are especially unproven because the Harvard paper which underpins the strategy was only published last year.
(New York)
Don’t worry, this is a not a story about DOL rule resurrection. The rule remains all-but-dead. This article is about how despite the rule being effectively gone, it has succeeded in completely changing the industry. The famed Michael Kitces summarized the DOL rule’s effect this way, saying “The DOL fiduciary rule really made the discussion of fiduciary for consumers mainstream … You can’t un-ring that bell”. Barron’s focuses on the material changes to offerings in their view, saying “The short-lived standard spurred the industry to lower fees, and prompted brokerages to prune their product lineups and remove conflicts of interest from their compensation structures. These changes are expected to outlive the rule”.
FINSUM: The DOL rule may be gone, but it will certainly never be forgotten.
(New York)
Are you on the look out for income stocks? While their position in one’s portfolio is changing given rising rates, good income stocks, especially safe ones, are always of value. The S&P 500 is currently only yielding about 2%, which is now less than two-year Treasuries. However, one can find very strong stocks with 3-4% yields. Those include Target and Qualcomm, the latter of which is yielding 4.2% and is a very well-covered stock. Also check out Seagate, CenturyLink, Pitney Bowes, and Navient.
FINSUM: These picks come from what seems to be a very diligent dividend-focused manager that was recently profiled in Barron’s. Our big question is how much dividend stocks might suffer in a rising rate period.
(New York)
Fidelity appears to be on the verge of making one of the most important adoptions of cryptocurrencies by a major financial player to-date. According to Business Insider, Fidelity has just posted jobs on its site looking to hire people “to help engineer, create, and deploy a Digital Asset exchange to both a public and private cloud”. According to BI, “If Fidelity does launch a crypto exchange offering, it would arguably be among the biggest moves by a large Wall Street firm into the nascent crypto market, which stands at about $350 billion”. Fidelity already allows clients to see their crypto holdings alongside their conventional assets.
FINSUM: It sounds like Fidelity is planning to opening a crypto trading exchange. That would be a very important move to legitimate the asset class.
(New York)
Most advisors will be familiar with CITs, or collective investment trusts, but outside of wealth management, they are little discussed. Therefore, it may be interesting to learn that the industry has been growing strongly and is approaching $3 tn. A lot of the growth has been through 401(k) sponsors adding CITs to their menus. However, the products may have benefits for many, as they essentially use a mutual fund structure, but have significantly lower fees and distribution costs because they are not subject to SEC rules. According to one money manager, “CITs have always been an option for the retirement market, but once a manager sees that they can offer a CIT cost-effectively, it’s a no-brainer”.
FINSUM: This seems like a poorly understood, but potentially value option for many.