Eq: Large Cap
(San Francisco)
Apple debuted its most important product in years just a few months ago—the iPhone X, but it may be closing in on what could not only be a great new product, but a new segment. That new device would be Apple’s version of the smart speaker business led by Amazon’s Echo and Google’s devices. Apple’s version is called the HomePod, and had its debut delayed from late last year to early this year, missing the holiday season. Of course, the device itself may be secondary the the digital personal assistant system, in Apple’s case Siri, as it is this bit of software which keeps users in the company’s ecosystem, which means higher spending.
FINSUM: The devices are merely vehicles for the digital assistants, which are in turn genius products for keeping consumers spending on services.
(New York)
Most of the market’s panic over retail centers on the threat from Amazon and the shift to ecommerce from brick and mortar (admittedly related threats). However, there is more out there to be worried about than just those. In particular, the apparel market is not growing very quickly, as it is losing market share to other areas of consumer spending, such as restaurants, entertainment and wellness. Staffing costs are also rising at the same time as price pressure is growing, putting a strain on margins.
FINSUM: Amazon’s growth in apparel sales is also well-outpacing the overall industry’s growth rate, which means it is already stealing market share on top of these other challenges.
(New York)
Goldman Sachs has stuck to its guns with its trading division despite numerous changes to the industry and its competitors revamping. However, the bank finally appears to be changing its strategy. Since 2009, Goldman’s fixed income trading revenue has shrunk from over $23 bn in 2009, to just over $5 bn in 2017. Now the bank is changing its focus away from serving hedge fund clients, whom it has become overly reliant on, and towards big corporate clients, who offer a different sort of “flow” business based on interest swaps and other corporate needs.
FINSUM: We think it is smart for Goldman to diversify the focus on its fixed income unit. Especially since the $20bn plus revenue days don’t look like they are coming back.
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(San Francisco)
In what appears to be the first big American reinvestment on the back of the new US tax package, Apple has announced that it will invest $30 bn in the US and pay its $38 bn tax bill. It will expand US operations and add 20,000 new jobs. The company will also give all of its more than 120,000 employees a $2,500 stock bonus. President Trump commented on the news that “I promised that my policies would allow companies like Apple to bring massive amounts of money back to the United States”.
FINSUM: This is why we thought the lowering of corporate taxes was a good idea, and we are very happy to hear that Apple will pay its bill and invest more in the US. As an aside, we do sort of feel like Apple is using this investment as PR fodder to combat against the battery/performance scandal.
(San Francisco)
The fallout from the revelation that Apple’s operating systems drain the batteries of older model phones appears to be hammering the company. The company admitted they deliberately slowed down the performance of older phones to keep them from crashing. The admission has led to widespread criticism and lawsuits are headed the company’s way. Apple has tried to mitigate the issue by cutting prices for replacement batteries and offering free software to check battery health.
FINSUM: We have this fear that this battery and performance scandal might be the beginning of the end of the golden age of Apple.
(New York)
It looks like the end of the road for one of the most popular and successful subsections of the REIT business. For the last decade there has been a veritable gold rush in self storage units. The business is a very profitable one and operators were able to charge gigantic rent increases over the last several years because of a lack of new supply. However, the market is now being flooded with new rental units, which could spell the end of the boom. There are also some demographic factors working against self storage, such as how Millennials collect less stuff than previous generations, and are likely to inherit large houses form their parents.
FINSUM:This is a succinct and well-conceived argument on the sector. That said, it does not look like performance will fall off a cliff, just that the best years are behind self-storage for now.