Oil prices have been rising about as fast as any point in recent time and with Oil prices pushing close to $100 a barrel, President Biden has frozen a whole selection of new Oil leases in order to accommodate green energy policies. This all is imposed based on newly tagged costs to the ‘social cost’ of carbon emissions, attempting to quantify the costs of climate change. However, there is lots of supply price pressure due to both OPEC+ and the Russia-Ukraine tensions.

Finsum: The U.S. needs oil supply now as much as ever, companies are reopening shale drilling sites that were not thought profitable because Oil could hit $100 a barrel.

Environmental, social, and governance investing have been one of the largest sources of outperformance in the last two years, however, a mis-selling scandal could be coming to ESG investing. Most investors know mis-selling scandals from PPI, endowment mortgages, and diesel cars. ‘Greenwashing’ is not new by any means but high-profile cases with DWS and BlackRock are both escalating. BlackRock whistleblower Tariq Fancy said this could just be the beginning and that a combination of marketing hype and false promises could cause more scandal in the upcoming years. The difference will be if funds are on the hook for the language they put forth and that the Paris Agreement could be critical to holding them accountable.

Finsum: ESG investing could be reaching its peak performance, time will tell howgGovernments begin the crackdown.

A new study from Escalent details model portfolio use and acceleration since the pandemic. There has been a slow number of model portfolio adoption from third party issuers since the pandemic but those already using third party MP have had a significant uptick with over a fourth of them have seen an increase in use. However, advisors that lean on in-house production have mainly kept it that way which is a little over half of the users. Overall third-party adoption is still on the rise, and that's despite advisors' apprehension of MPs when compared to standard active management during high volatility.

Finsum: Model portfolios seem to be simplifying the advisor decision-making process, regardless of whether they are in-house or third party.

There has been an explosion in active fixed income flows in the last year. The big drivers that are pushing investors in that direction are mainly macro, as the Treasury yields have risen (lowering bond values) and passive funds haven’t moved off them rapidly enough. The other big factor is that they have flat-out outperformed. Where active equity lagged their passive counterparts data shows that almost 9 in 10 active bond funds have outperformed in the intermediate range. Overall this drove the $350 billion influx in active fond funds last year. Additionally, there were tax advantages when it came to capital gains and this efficiency was prioritized by investors.

Finsum: It's clear that the information cycle in active equity is currently outpacing the ability to beat the market, but bonds' medium-term macro influence is more predictable for active management.

In the age of ETFs, many advisors may have a harder time justifying their fees to their clients however a new study shows that the fees alone can be justified by an advisor's ability to manage the tax burden of their clients. The primary method by which an advisor can add alpha to the portfolio is by appropriating funds for their most tax-efficient purposes, such as putting taxable bonds in a tax-deferred account and allocating growth stocks to a tax-free account like a Roth. Advisors also can edge out by advising about how to optimally tax-loss harvest when it comes to their portfolio’s crypto holdings. The main way to capitalize is through taking advantage of crypto’s status as property in the wash rule.

Finsum: Everyone is dying to hold crypto right now, but most haven’t made it big; tax-loss harvesting with the Wash rule exception is an edge as long congress doesn’t adjust the rules.

Fixed-income investors are in the doldrums when it comes to today’s ultra low yield environment. Guaranteed income from CDs is just not high enough, and while bonds may be secure their value is at a valley. Laddering annuities is maybe the best strategy, but the questions are on duration. In a flat yield curve going for a short duration makes sense, and as the yield curve steepens moving to long-term contracts is more attractive. In today’s interest rate market, the goldilocks spot is around 5-years, it is a much higher return than shorter-term annuities and longer-term contracts tie your money up without much more of a return boost. The best part is you can integrate this annuity laddering strategy into IRAs and take advantage of all the tax solutions they bring to the table.

Finsum: It's critical to ladder the right duration depending on the current rate environment and given how much interest rate risk there is today it's more important than ever to be precise.

Investors have been flocking to strange corners of the fixed income market as pressures are rising from both the Fed and inflation. The latest place investors are finding relief is floating rate investment-grade corporate debt. Corporations were reluctant to create in the early stages of the pandemic to supply floating rate debt with yields near zero on government debt. However, there is a huge demand for floating-rate debt today, and large investment banks like JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley and Citigroup Inc. are all jumping into the investment-grade bond market. Floating rate risk allows investors to mitigate duration risk which with rate hikes pending is a potential threat.

Finsum: This could be just the start of the trend or there could be a lot more to come, but look for the less used avenues of the debt market to start to spark with fixed income in the place it's in.

Oil prices have been rising about as fast as any point in recent time and with WTI prices pushing close to $100 a barrel, President Biden has frozen a whole selection of new oil leases in order to accommodate green energy policies. This all is imposed based on newly tagged costs to the ‘social cost’ of carbon emissions, attempting to quantify the costs of climate change. However, there is lots of supply price pressure due to both OPEC+ and the Russia-Ukraine tensions.

Finsum: The U.S. needs oil supply now as much as ever, companies are reopening shale drilling sites that were not thought profitable because oil couldn’t hit $100 a barrel.

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Goldman Sachs lowered their most recent median projection for equities, putting the year-end target for the S&P 500 at 4,900. It's clear the markets hadn’t accurately priced in the Ukraine risk which could be worse in Goldman’s eyes than the 2014 Crimea annexation. Additionally, Goldman warned that if inflation continues to be worse than their expectations and faster rate hikes are needed the S&P 500 could decline by up to 12% to 3,900 by end of 2022, and if a recession occurs when the trough is lower yet. The best plays are in industrials and consumer discretionary, but still, energy leads the way.

Finsum: In lockstep with Goldman, a recession is a worst-case scenario. The TIPs market says inflation expectations are still moderate, so they shouldn’t overact to inflation.