FINSUM
The Best Mutual Funds are Cheap and Boring
(New York)
If there was ever a mantra for mutual funds, it should be this: boring and cheap is beautiful. A new study by Morningstar has found that when it comes to the funds, investors are best off buying ones with very cheap fees, and not just for the obvious reasons. Morningstar dug deeper to understand the relationship between costs and performance gaps, or the spread between the return of the fund itself versus the fund’s average investor. What it found is that in low price funds, this gap was much smaller. While some of that might be accounted for by simply saying those who buy cheaper funds are smarter investors, the reality is that investors are more patient on returns when they hold cheaper funds. There is less incentive to sell, and therefore they hold the funds longer, leading to better returns.
FINSUM: This makes perfect sense to us. If you have an expensive fund that is losing money, you are going to want to dump it quickly. But if a fund is ultra-cheap, you are more inclined to give it some time.
The Easiest Way to Buy Bonds
(New York)
Retail investors have often had trouble accessing the corporate bond markets. Bond are traded in $1,000 increments and usually move in multi-million Dollar transactions, putting the asset out of the reach of most (new corporate bond ETFs aside). However, there is an easier way to directly own bonds—so-called baby bonds, or bonds sold on stock exchanges like the NYSE in $25 increments. The total market size for the bonds is around $20 bn and the securities are usually senior unsecured. Issuers like them because they are callable after just five years. Frequently the bonds have higher yields than their convention counterparts. Finally, they pay interest four times a year rather than twice.
FINSUM: This is an interesting if niche asset class, but there is some appeal in the unique terms these “baby bonds” have. There are also some big name issuers like AT&T and eBay.
Say Goodbye to a Popular SALT Workaround
(New York)
The IRS just ended the best loophole in town for high income residents of high tax states like New York, California, Connecticut, New Jersey and Washington DC. Many high tax states had been working a loophole where residents could categorize their tax payments as charity donations, allowing them to deduct it from their taxes. However, the IRS has now closed that loophole effective today, meaning there is no way around the $10,000 SALT deduction limit.
FINSUM: It is no surprise home sales in the northeast are plummeting, as this is a serious economic issue for retaining the wealthy, and even upper middle class.
Musk Says Tesla Staying Public
(Los Angeles)
The saga of the Tesla buyout is finally over after three agonizing weeks. Musk announced Friday that Tesla had put its plans to go private permanently on hold. The Wall Street Journal has run a long article chronicling the internal decision-making process, but ultimately Musk and the board decided it as not an optimal decision, not least because keeping small investors on board wouldn’t have been an option and Tesla would have had to bring on competitors as investors. The stock dropped on the news.
FINSUM: If what we read is correct, Musk did not want Volkswagen to be an investor in the company. That, combined with the Saudis backing away, seems to have been a big part of staying public.
Will the Market Crash if Trump is Impeached?
(New York)
Even if you aren’t thinking about it yet, the president is. In an interview yesterday, President Trump said that the stock market would crash if he were impeached. No one can be sure, but history suggests it would have little impact on the market. In the two previous cases in recent memory—Nixon and Clinton—the market behaved differently, falling sharply in the 12 months prior to Nixon’s impeachment, and rising before Clinton’s. JP Morgan’s best guess is that an impeachment wouldn’t be enough to derail the markets and economy itself.
FINSUM: Another interesting argument is that Trump wouldn’t ever be impeached until the market headed south, as that has happened in both of the previous instances (there was a brief but steep correction before Clinton’s impeachment). Nonetheless, we really don’t think Trump will be impeached.