FINSUM
Hedge Fund Chief: Inflation to Remain High in Volatile Markets
According to Man Group boss Luke Ellis, investors should get used to volatility in the markets. Last Tuesday, Ellis predicted inflation will remain high because of strong wage growth in much more volatile markets. He stated, “It will take a lot of years before inflation is put to bed again. We’re in a different paradigm.” He added, “The base effects are running out and we still have very significant wage inflation. It’s not squeezing services [sector] wage inflation, and services is such a big part of the economy. You can’t get consistently to [a] 2 percent [inflation target] when you have 6 to 7 percent wage inflation.” Ellis also said that he did not believe stocks had yet bottomed out. He compared the current environment to the 1970s when the real return from equities after inflation was about zero. His comments come as U.S. stocks fell in February with investors growing concerned that the strength of the economy might require higher interest rates, and the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation rose more than expected in January. In addition, both France and Spain also reported a rise in inflation, beating forecasts.
Finsum:Man Group boss Luke Ellis predicts inflation will remain high due to strong wage growth in volatile markets.
Survey: Advisers Not Optimistic About the Future of ESG
According to a Cogent Syndicated report from Escalent, advisors are not optimistic about the future of ESG investing partly due to growing political tension. Last year, 58% of advisors used ESG investments, down 10 percentage points from 2020, according to the Livonia, Michigan-based firms survey of over 500 financial advisors in September. In addition, only 15% of advisors who used ESG agree with its importance, while the majority of advisors don’t think ESG investing is a significant factor in attracting new clients. As part of the report, Linda York, a senior vice president in the financial services research division of Escalent, stated, “In the past six months, the topic of ESG investing has become even more divisive as political tensions rise. With firms suffering public backlash from using what many call ‘woke’ investment strategies, many advisors are waiting for clarity from regulators before using ESG investments. Increased supervision from federal or state legislature with added qualifications and reporting can only help in terms of ESG becoming more popular among advisors and investors alike.” In examining the reasons for the growing tension, Escalent said that advisors were concerned by the inconsistent definitions and perceived negative public sentiment of ESG.
Finsum:Based on the results of a recent report from Escalent, advisors are not optimistic about the future of ESG due to inconsistent definitions and perceived negative public sentiment.
First Republic Nabs $9.2 Million Morgan Stanley Private Wealth Team
First Republic Bank’s recruiting spree is paying off with the recent announcement that the bank nabbed a Morgan Stanley team managing $1.2 billion in assets for ultra-wealthy clients in Los Angeles. The six-person team is led by advisors Alexander H. Kadish, Nicholas Davey, and J.P. Garofalo, who generated a combined $9.2 million in revenue. The team, which specializes in helping executives with large corporate stock plan holdings, also moved with three support staff. In addition, another former member of their team, Robert A. Daly Jr., will continue to work with the team as an outside consultant. Daly and Kadish moved the team to Morgan Stanley in 2016 from J.P. Morgan Advisors. Kadish has worked at six firms over his 21-year career. He started at discount broker Banc of America Securities in 2001, then shifted to Smith Barney in 2003 and worked for Jefferies & Co before joining J.P. Morgan Advisors in 2010. Daly started his career at J.P. Morgan’s Bear, Stearns & Co. in 1998 and also worked at UBS Wealth Management USA before rejoining J.P. Morgan in 2009. Garofalo started with Wells Fargo Advisors in 2013 and has worked for Morgan Stanley, Ares Investor Services, and Nuveen Securities before returning to Morgan in 2020. The addition of the team brings First Republic’s 2023 recruiting total to four teams managing a combined $4.6 billion in assets.
Finsum:First Republic Bank lured away a $9.2 million team from Morgan Stanley bringing its recruiting tally for 2023 to $4.6 billion in assets.
Someone say bonds, James?
Is there a little something something between bonds and James Bond?
Well, bonds, at least, are expected back this year, according to schwab.com.
James? Filming a movie somewhere. Yeah, yeah; unreliable as ever.
Thing is, in the aftermath of an extended period of low yields -- not to mention last year’s to eagerly forget price dip, three tries at what’s on the precipice of a comeback: returns in the fixed income market, according to the site.
So, why so upbeat about returns? It goes like this:
Both nominally and in reality, starting yields are the highest in years;
The bulk of the Fed tightening cycle has wrapped up; and
A deceleration of Inflation’s likely
Following a prolonged dry spell, the bond market’s replete with yields that – compared to other investments – are appealing. A portfolio consisting of bonds; and high quality at that, like Treasuries, can translate -- without an excessively long period – around 4% to 5%.
Bonds, explained Ted Stephenson, professor of Accounting and finance at George Brown College, continue to be part of a diversified investment portfolio – an indispensable one at that, according to usnews.com.
"Regardless of correlation, bonds have done well versus stocks in six out of seven historical recessions. Ultimately, the correlation between stocks and bonds is not as important as relative performance."
Practice – management -- makes perfect
As Yogi Berra likely would say: if it wasn’t a challenge, what kind of challenge would it be?
And if he didn’t say it, one too many fastballs must have ricocheted off his glove and against his noggin.
Point is, what with escalating interest rates, an unpredictable economy and relentless inflation starring you in the kisser, it takes work to manage and grow your financial management business, according to forbes.com.
Well, do abet your efforts, to prepare for the first quarter of the new year, 16 members of Forbes Finance Council dispense advice for business leaders.
A few tips:
- Focus on liquidity
- When calculating the cost base, make space for contingencies
- Build up Your forecast by customer
- Consider your insurance model
- When it comes to resiliency planning, pay attention
Business plans, marketing strategies, operational processes and business technology aside, your company’s financial side calls for considerable effort, according to ceoworld.com. Not only that, your company’s longevity and expansion seemingly leans on a solid system of financial management.
You can incorporate quality financial management practices without a hitch in a few ways, including by leveraging the most effective financial software and tools; regularly managing your accounting records and creating seamless billing processes. What’s more, you can establish financial goals that are clear and monitor business performance.