FINSUM
A US Treasury Meltdown May Have Begun
(New York)
Only those watching the bond market closely would have noticed it, but a huge Treasury meltdown may have started yesterday. One month US Treasury bills saw yields jump an eye-popping 10 basis points in an instant. The incident followed one of the worst Treasury Bill auctions in a decade, where there was little demand from investors. The two possible answers for the terrible auction are the unusual date (it was moved because of the Fourth of July), or that China has indeed slowed or cut off its purchases of US debt.
FINSUM: The US better hope this bad auction was just a fluke of the calendar. That view is supported by the fact that longer-term Treasury auctions at the same time were much closer to normal.
SEC Opens Major Investigation into Facebook
(Washington)
The bad news just keeps on coming for the tech industry. Already this morning there is a lot of negative press about Google allowing third party developers to actually read users’ Gmail accounts, and now comes the news that the SEC has opened an investigation into Facebook for its data breaches. The SEC is looking at Facebook’s disclosures of the breach, and in particular, Mark Zuckerberg’s congressional testimony. Facebook says it is fully complying with all the current investigations it is facing.
FINSUM: This development might be particularly troublesome for the stock because investors are most familiar with the SEC. Hard to see what might develop here.
Cohen About to Turn on Trump
(Washington)
We have not covered the Trump probe saga in a while, and with good reason—there has been little news. However, that may be about to change. ABC News has run an interview which seems to suggest that Trump’s former attorney, Michael Cohen, may be about to turn on the president as he prioritizes his own family. “I will not be a punching bag as part of anyone’s defence strategy … My wife, my daughter and my son have my first loyalty and always will ... I put family and country first”. He says he is not the villain in this story and does not want to be depicted that way.
FINSUM: Maybe he is about to turn on Trump, but no one knows what cards he may or may not be holding.
Some Good Reasons to be Nervous About the Market
(New York)
If you are nervous about markets, you aren’t alone, as tensions seem to be steadily building about the future of equities. While trade war and higher rates dog the market, there are some tangible manifestations of worry starting to appear. High net worth Americans are increasingly focusing only on short-term investments. Only 17% of US millionaires surveyed said they planned to add to their stock exposure over the next year.
FINSUM: Investors still seem to be reeling from February, which saw the fastest peak-to-trough correction since 1950. Couple that with the threat of higher rates and a tumultuous trade war and it is easy to see why everyone is nervous. On the other hand, corporate earnings continue to be strong.
Vanguard Cuts All Commissions on Rival Funds
(New York)
The fee war on ETF trading continues, both for advisors and for retail. Trading platforms providers have been engaged in an ongoing struggle to attract assets by slashing the price of trading, and Vanguard just took a big step. While Vanguard used to charge retail investors a flat fee for trades depending on their AUM (trading Vanguard funds was always free), the company is now cutting transaction fees for aboutx 1,800 ETFs on its platform. No more trading fees at all. The move follows Fidelity’s recent addition of more fee-free ETFs. FINSUM: This is a big deal. 1,800 fee-free ETFs dwarfs the competition and we definitely think it will help Vanguard gather more assets, both retail and institutional.