Displaying items by tag: liquidity

At the annual Milken Institute Global Conference, many expressed concerns that, as rates remain elevated, there is increasing liquidity risk for some borrowers. So far, robust economic growth has masked these underlying issues, but many borrowers would be vulnerable in the event of an economic downturn.

So far, default rates have remained low. Skeptics contend that this is due to amendments made to loan terms, leading to maturity extensions and payment arrangements. Ideally, these maneuvers would buy time for borrowers until monetary conditions eased. 

Yet, economic data has not been supportive of this outcome so far in 2024, leading to more stress for borrowers and concerns that defaults could spike. According to Katie Koch, the CEO of the TCW Group, “This cannot be extended forever. Eventually, those default rates will rise.” Danielle Poli adds, “It is going to be ugly. Many of these companies are burdened with excessive leverage, with holes in their covenants like Swiss cheese.”

Some investors sense opportunity as there has been an increase in bridge loans to borrowers, searching for liquidity. Oaktree Capital has reduced exposure to syndicated loans and raised cash levels to take advantage of any dislocations. In addition to bridge loans, there is also increasing demand for hybrid capital, which is in between senior debt and equity and provides liquidity and cash flow relief to borrowers.

Finsum: At the annual Miliken conference, Wall Street heavyweights warned that as rates remain elevated for longer, borrowers are getting more stressed and that a spike in defaults is looming.

The number of alternative investment options continues to increase, and many now consider it an essential ingredient to optimize portfolios. However, there are significant challenges that come with evaluating these investments, given that there is more complexity and advisors have less experience with the asset class.

The benefits of alternatives are higher returns, especially in high-rate, high-inflation environments, and less correlation to equities and bonds. The two biggest drawbacks of alternatives are reduced liquidity and price discovery. There are additional potential tradeoffs, such as limited transparency, higher fees, and restrictions on redemptions. Further, some alternatives use leverage or derivatives, which can increase tail risk during certain periods.  

Therefore, it’s important to study how the investment performed during periods of market volatility, such as 2020 or 2008. With some illiquid investments, the asset may look like it’s outperforming until actual transactions start taking place at lower levels. Many skeptics contend that the diversification and volatility-mitigating effects of alternatives are overestimated due to the absence of mark-to-market pricing. 

Another consideration is that evaluating alternatives has a qualitative element. This includes studying the reputation and track record of the management team. Overall, advisors and investors should understand that many of the traditional tools and methods used to evaluate public investments are not suitable for alternatives. 

Finsum: Alternative investments continue to grow and are increasingly a core part of many investors’ portfolios. However, there are many unique challenges that come with evaluating these investments. 

The 2006 vintage of buyout funds remains etched in the memory of private equity investors who endured the global financial crisis (GFC), despite eventual recovery. Unlike typical fund vintages following a predictable "J curve," 2006 saw a deviation, marked by record capital investment before the financial markets' collapse. 

Recent fund vintages show alarming parallels to 2006 according to a report by Bain & Co, sparking concerns among limited partners about trapped capital and delayed returns. While historical challenges offer valuable lessons, today's private equity portfolios differ, with varied exit strategies and market conditions. 

Nonetheless, fund managers must proactively manage portfolios to generate distributions, prioritizing liquidity to satisfy investor expectations and secure future allocations.

Finsum: Lower interest rates could begin to free up capital for return distribution in 2024.

When it comes to investing for retirement, most think of IRAs and 401(k)s due to the unique tax advantages. However, there is a tradeoff as these accounts tend to be less flexible. According to Christine Benz, Morningstar’s director of personal finance and retirement planning, there are some upsides to investing for retirement in taxable accounts.

These advantages include the ability to save and invest as much money as available, withdraw funds with no penalty or limitations, and no constraints on investment choices. Using taxable accounts for retirement investing is also necessary for ‘super-savers’ who have maxed out contributions to tax-advantaged retirement accounts. 

Benz notes that with the right selection of investments, the taxable account can become as tax efficient as an IRA or 401(k). Additionally, it can help with financial goals of a short or intermediate nature like a down payment for a house, a remodeling project, or a vacation home. 

She notes that model portfolios are well-suited for tax-efficient investing in taxable accounts. She recommends structuring these model portfolios into 3 components. One is a liquidity basket for short-term spending needs, a high-quality municipal bond fund basket that is geared for withdrawals between 5 to 8 years, and the rest invested in a globally diversified basket of equities. 

Finsum: For retirement investing, there is still a place for taxable accounts especially for specific purposes. Here’s how to use model portfolios to achieve these goals.  

Parcl recently announced the launch of the real estate investment platform Parcl Protocol, allowing users to trade the price movements of real estate markets around the world. Its users can now invest in or trade specific geographical markets, which can be used for directional investment and hedging strategies in a traditionally opaque and walled-off asset class. Parcl is a digital real estate protocol built on Solana, a blockchain specifically designed to host decentralized and scalable applications. Through the Parcl Protocol and leveraging data provided by Parcl Labs, Parcl facilitates real estate investment. It provides exposure to cities in the United States such as New York City, Miami, Phoenix, and Los Angeles, while international cities such as Paris, London, and Singapore will be coming later this year. Users can browse global real estate markets, gain detailed insights, and have the opportunity to either buy or short real estate markets based on whether they think the real-world property values will increase or decrease. The platform is also built differently than other real estate platforms such as Yieldstreet, RealT, or Fundrise as it takes a new approach to increase liquidity and improve scale by using derivatives. The derivatives can improve diversification and add stability to a portfolio.

Finsum:Parcl launched the real estate investment platform Parcl Protocol, which allows users to trade the price movements of real estate markets around the world.