Displaying items by tag: Growth

(New York)

Is value dead? That question has been asked for years now as value stock have chronically underperformed their growth oriented peers. Even now investors look first and foremost to technology (especially FAANG) stocks, prioritizing the richly valued, but quickly growing companies. However, value may be ready to turn around, says Barron’s. One of the big reasons why is that loose monetary conditions, which have held value stocks back, are finally tightening. Some even think value might really soar, as it is exceedingly rare for strong value stocks to be trading at such low P/E ratios this late in a bull market.

FINSUM: We think the biggest problem facing value stocks has been that everyone senses technology is coming to dominate all aspects of life, the economy included. This has meant that investing in tech companies is seen as the way of the future, and that one is foolish not to. It is going to take time, and maybe some cataclysm (e.g. a big regulatory crack down on tech) to disabuse them of that notion.

(New York)

If you have been reading the news, you will have seen that many are starting to worry that a recession is on the way. While the economy still seems to be in good shape, at the fringes are some data that could foretell a period of contraction. The question is how sharp a contraction might come at the end of this long bull market and economic cycle. Well, Wall Street economists think that the contraction will be slow rather than a steep drop off. Most economists see solid global growth this year of between 3-4%, but thereafter is when things could get dicey.

FINSUM: The big troubling sign to us is that both the US and Europe, which were on different cycles, both seem to be slowing this year, which could portend a recession sooner rather than later.

(New York)

PIMCO, perhaps the most famous bond investor in the world, has just published a piece covering their view of where yields are headed. Their conclusion is that they do see the risk for rates rising as the US budget deficit grows and the economy strengthens, but that on the whole they are not too concerned about a big jump. Their view is best summarized in their own words, “Nevertheless, we believe powerful forces are working against a permanent increase in the trajectory of economic growth in the U.S., including the aging population, productivity trends, sovereign indebtedness, credit growth, and an imbalance between savings and investments”.

FINSUM: Our readers will have noticed that this view exactly matches what we have been saying about bond yields.

(New York)

While value investing is one of the most famous forms of the discipline, it has been outshined over the last several years by growth and momentum strategies. Subsequently, there has been much less coverage of it. Well, Barron’s has just put out a piece picking what it says are five good value stocks that look inexpensive in this very rich market. The names discussed in the piece include Magellan Midstream Partners, SunTrust Banks, Kansas City Southern, Thor Industries, and Owens Corning.

FINSUM: This piece offers quite a mix of sectors and companies. Definitely some names to check out here.

(San Francisco)

While they are far from young or immature businesses, so-called FNAG stocks have all stuck to the current entrepreneurial mantra of not paying a dividend. That may be about to change as Facebook may soon be compelled to start issuing one. The company has 2 bn users and is reaching the limits of its growth potential. If headline growth starts to slow, which it almost inevitably will, expect investors to start demanding dividends and buybacks. Non FANG, but closely related stocks, such as Apple, Microsoft, and Intel, are all paying or raising dividends.

FINSUM: Dividends and buybacks would be a very positive driver for Facebook’s stock price, especially if they started before growth began to wane.