FINSUM
Unlocking Flexibility with Separately Managed Accounts
For discerning investors seeking a personalized approach to wealth management, mutual funds are often just the tip of the iceberg of possible solutions. Mutual funds offer professional oversight and a level of diversification, but transparency and flexibility are not typically among their strengths. Enter Separately Managed Accounts (SMAs).
SMAs function like custom portfolios tailored to the account holder's unique risk tolerance, goals, and even ethical considerations. Want to prioritize tech stocks? Avoid fossil fuels? SMA customization lets investors and their advisors call the shots. And forget about waiting until the quarter or year-end to see the securities held by your fund - SMAs' full transparency of underlying investments provides crystal-clear clarity any time of the year.
Of course, with power comes responsibility. SMAs often require deeper engagement in the investment process, but the effort is often worth it for investors who want the added benefits.
While minimum account balances in the past for SMAs may have seemed intimidating, the tides are turning. Advancements in platforms and technology have lowered entry points, making customized wealth management more accessible than ever. For advisors seeking to cater to sophisticated clientele who value tailored solutions, SMAs deserve a closer look.
Finsum: Separately Managed Accounts offer an advantage over mutual funds for investors who desire greater transparency and flexibility in their accounts.
The Diversification Challenge: Could Crypto Be the Missing Piece?
The cornerstone of modern portfolio theory rests on the principle of diversification – seeking uncorrelated assets to mitigate risk and enhance returns. Traditionally, stocks and bonds have been the primary players in this diversification game. However, crypto assets, often perceived as a volatile outlier, presents a curious proposition: could they hold the key to enhanced portfolio resilience?
Recent research suggests the possibilities. A study examining the correlation between Bitcoin and major market indices from early 2021 to mid-2023 revealed a noticeably low relationship. Compared to the S&P500 index, Bitcoin's 90-day correlation ranged from about 0.0 to 0.6. As compared to an aggregate bond index, Bitcoin's correlation ranged roughly between -0.3 and 0.3. Investors should consider all risks before adding an asset to their portfolio. Still, these results indicate that, in recent historical periods, Bitcoin has provided a diversification option for advisors and investors looking for ways to smooth their portfolio returns.
Of course, crypto's nascent nature and past volatility warrant caution. Unlike more traditional asset classes, crypto has yet to experience multiple economic cycles, leaving its long-term behavior yet to be seen. However, its recent low correlation with traditional assets presents an intriguing opportunity for portfolio optimization.
Finsum: Bitcoin’s recent correlation with traditional asset classes offers an intriguing proposition: can it help mitigate overall portfolio risk?
Turn Losses into Opportunities: Harvest Tax Losses with Direct Indexing
A familiar mantra of financial advisors and tax planning experts is that it’s not what you earn; it’s what you get to keep that matters. This principle underscores the significance of effective tax management strategies within a taxable investment portfolio. An essential technique in optimizing after-tax returns is tax-loss harvesting, which involves selling investments at a loss to offset taxable gains in the same year.
A powerful tool for executing this strategy is direct indexing. Unlike product structures like mutual funds, direct indexing accounts allow investors or their advisors to buy and sell individual securities. This granular control enables them to recognize losses for tax purposes while maintaining their investment strategy.
However, timing is crucial. Establishing a direct indexing account early in the taxable year affords the account holder increased flexibility later. This positions them to maximize the opportunities for tax-loss harvesting as they accumulate over the year. By doing so, advisors can proactively manage the portfolio to leverage potential tax savings, which can be particularly beneficial when preparing for year-end financial discussions with clients.
Essentially, the sooner an advisor sets up a direct indexing account for their client, the more they can potentially benefit from tax-loss harvesting strategies during the year.
Finsum: Advisors can help their clients keep more of what they earn by utilizing direct indexing accounts to harvest tax losses throughout the year.
Expect Volatility to Continue for Oil in 2024
This year has seen some big swings in crude oil prices given a variety of developments. These include rising US oil production, OPEC production cuts, the ongoing war in Ukraine, rising tensions in the MIddle East following Hamas’ attack, and a slowing global economy. As a result, crude oil prices ended the year down 10%.
Entering 2024, these will continue to be major themes that need to be monitored. At its last meeting, OPEC reduced its production by 2.2 million barrels per day and said that more cuts may be necessary to support the price. But, there is increasing skepticism whether countries will actually abide given that many are reliant on oil revenue.
Another challenge for OPEC is that US oil production continues to rise. Next year, it’s forecast to be 13.3 million barrels per day, an increase from this year’s average of 13 million barrels per day. Companies like Exxon Mobil and Chevron recently made major acquisitions of domestic producers and are also increasing capital expenditures. Unlike smaller producers, these majors are able to take advantage of economies of scale to push their costs lower and remain profitable with lower prices.
OPEC now only has control of 51% of the crude oil market which is the lowest in decades. This raises the possibility that Saudi Arabia could choose to increase the supply to temporarily crash the price of oil in order to punish these producers and take back market share, although most analysts believe this is unlikely.
On the other side, demand is projected to grow at the smallest rate in a year - 1.3 million barrels per day. In 2023, oil demand increased by 1.8 million barrels per day. In part, this is due to a slowing global economy especially in China.
Finsum: Oil has been quite weak to end the year despite several bullish catalysts. In hindsight, the most important development has been rising US oil production which is expected to hit a new record next year.
Why Alternative Investment Possibilities Will Increase in 2024
Over the next few years, it’s expected that alternative assets will become a larger part of client portfolios. Advisors will have to contend with a changing landscape especially as more products will be introduced that are more complicated in terms of taxes and reporting.
A looming challenge for advisors will be handling the increased workload as well as understanding these products in a comprehensive manner in order to explain it to their clients. It’s likely that asset managers will form partnerships with RIAs in order to help them navigate and simplify the process. Already, some asset managers have started to invest in efforts to educate advisors, but more will be necessary given the increase in the number of options.
According to Ernst & Young America's Financial Services, some advisors will increase allocation to alternatives to 10% or more. In the near-term, private credit products will see the strongest growth as they are seen as less risky while offering higher yields than fixed income.
In addition to private credit, most exposure to alternatives currently is through liquid alt mutual funds, liquid alt ETFs, and publicly-traded REITs. Over the next couple of years, areas forecast to have the highest growth in terms of assets are cryptocurrencies, digital assets, hedge funds, private equity, and private debt.
Finsum: The alternative assets space is expected to heat up in the coming years. One challenge for advisors will be to understand these products and handling an increased workload.