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5 Signs of the Next Bear Market
Nov 8, 2018 | Eq: Total Market

5 Signs of the Next Bear Market

(New York)

Investors have been really afraid of the next bear market for the last few months. Ever since spreads grew tighter and the economy became very strong, fears of a looming recession and accompanying bear market have been rampant. Here are six signs to consider about a potential bear market. Firstly, look at high yield bond spreads. When they start to rise, its shows the credit cycle is ending, potentially signaling a recession. Yield curve steepness (or inversion) is another key metric. Deal activity in M&A is also excellent sign. Weekly jobless claims are another strong leading indicator. Finally, look at investor sentiment. When investors are very confident, that tends to be when the bear bites.


FINSUM: This is a pretty good list of leading indicators. Some are flashing red right now, while other are humming along nicely.

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