Displaying items by tag: volatility

With the U.S. presidential election approaching, markets are anticipating potential volatility, and investors are weighing where to allocate their money. While some hedge funds are positioning for “Trump trades,” U.S. Global Investors instead sees growing opportunities in alternative assets like gold and Bitcoin. 

Paul Tudor Jones shares this perspective, highlighting these assets as hedges against rising U.S. debt and inflation concerns. The national debt has reached unsustainable levels, doubling its GDP ratio over 25 years, and the federal deficit continues to climb. 

As inflation impacts traditional assets, commodities like gold, silver, and Bitcoin have become more attractive as they tend to perform well in inflationary environments. 

Finsum: Despite election-related uncertainties, holding alternative assets may help investors maintain portfolio stability in the long run.

In recent months, the stock market has been extremely volatile, prompting increased interest in low-volatility low-cost ETFs. While the market has seen gains this year due to a growing appetite for riskier investments, uncertainties like the Federal Reserve's future actions, geopolitical tensions, and the upcoming U.S. presidential election still loom large. 

Low-volatility ETFs offer investors a way to participate in the market with potentially less risk, although they are not immune to sharp downturns. These funds may underperform compared to more dynamic portfolios, especially during market surges. However, they can be attractive for those prioritizing capital preservation over high returns.

 Examples of popular low-volatility ETFs include the Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF, which focuses on the least volatile stocks in the S&P 500, and the iShares MSCI EAFE Min Vol Factor ETF, which targets lower-risk companies in developed markets outside the U.S.

Finsum: Be mindful of what thematic ETFs you want to integrate into your portfolios, because there will be a chance to capitalize in the coming months. 

The T. Rowe Price International Equity ETF (TOUS) is an active ETF that has gained attention for its diversification benefits, especially after a recent market sell-off. With a competitive 50 basis point fee, TOUS focuses on high-quality international firms with strong business models and good valuations. 

TOUS has an active strategy built around macro factors through an international lens that uniquely positions it for the type of interest rate volatility the US is experiencing. 

The fund’s active management allows for flexibility in selecting companies, particularly in non-U.S. markets, which could be advantageous during volatile periods. TOUS has returned 9.8% over the past year, making it an appealing option for diversification away from U.S. mega-caps.

Finsum: We’ve been banging the drum on the need to diversify into active funds during this volatility and this recent flash was an example why. 

Investors concerned about exchange-traded funds (ETFs) with options overlays limiting returns should consider the benefits these strategies offer. According to Tony Rochte, Morgan Stanley’s global head of ETFs, options serve as a hedge against significant losses, offering downside protection even if upside gains are capped. 

This approach encourages investors to re-enter the broad-based equity market, reducing their exposure to fixed-income products. Alison Doyle, Nasdaq’s head of ETP listings, highlighted the growing popularity of active ETFs, with over 75% of all ETF launches in 2023 being active. 

Among these, a significant portion included options-embedded strategies, providing additional risk management tools. This trend shows a shift from traditional fixed-income investments to risk assets.

Finsum: With stocks and bonds becoming more correlated, investors should consider outside strategies like overlays to hedge. 

For those who find the pain of losing money more intense than the pleasure of making a profit, there are defined-outcome or buffered ETFs. These funds, which cap potential gains in exchange for limited losses, have gained popularity since their debut in 2018. Now numbering around 270 with $47 billion in assets, these ETFs surged in interest after poor market returns in 2022.

Buffered ETFs cater to conservative investors, including those nearing retirement, who want to stay invested in the stock market while minimizing risk. Typically offering protection for a set period, usually a year, they limit potential upside in return for a cushion against losses. Major financial firms like Innovator, First Trust, AllianzIM, and Fidelity offer these funds.

Though complex, requiring thorough explanation, these ETFs are mainly used by financial advisors for their clients, presenting a balanced investment strategy by offering various levels of risk and reward to suit different needs.

Finsum: When the probability of volatility is high a buffer ETF can be a great natural hedging solution.