Displaying items by tag: Goldman Sachs
There are mixed signals as to how to currently position oneself in the market as news reports are calling many things a good buy, from doubling down on momentum to cyclical value stocks, but Goldman Sachs is bullish on lots of large-cap internet stocks. Amazon, Facebook, Snap, Uber, Lyft, and Expedia all received buy ratings from Goldman’s investment team. They see secular trends in revenue growth and operating efficiencies scaling these companies even larger over the next couple of years. While they don’t consider themselves overly bullish, they see digital advertising being a key lever to push for these companies to have their full upside priced correctly by the wider market. Subscriptions, the creator economy, cloud computing, and augmented reality are all reasons to be fans of large-cap growth, but they are staying away from Airbnb and Twitter. FINSUM: The fed-keeping rates low is very promising for growth companies that are reliant on the credit-frothy economy. But rate moves are also the key risk.
Markets are fretting over a variety of concerns: spreading delta variant, Chinese regulator crackdown, and Fed taper. However, Goldman Sachs says these risks are overblown, as delta variant will likely be less worrisome economically and their Fed forecast is dovish. They see a sharp turnaround for cyclical assets such as higher equities and higher bond yields in the short run. Near-term optimism will fuel US and Euro equities and most likely boost Japanese stocks as well. Going so far as to recommend shorting long-term euro bonds, and buying economically sensitive currencies like the Norwegian krone and South Korean won, which will appreciate relative to the dollar. This near-term cyclical rally won’t last long as they expect 2022 to deal from a different deck that won’t be as friendly to investors.
FINSUM: Weaker jobs growth will also delay the Fed’s taper, aiding in the cyclical rally.
When Schwab announced its acquisition of TD Ameritrade in November 2019, there was a big and sustained surge of consternation among RIAs. TDA had long been known as specializing in RIAs, especially on the smaller end of the spectrum. Schwab had exactly the opposite reputation. That has left a general void for the smaller advisor looking to go independent for the first time. However, Goldman is apparently ramping up its new custody unit and clearing platform for RIAs. The move is still in its early stages, but the firm is hiring several executives to lead the charge and seems to be aiming to compete with Schwab, Fidelity, BNY Mellon etc.
FINSUM: Advisors may recall that Goldman acquired United Capital in 2019. United was an RIA consolidator, so this seems like a natural step for the bank. In our view, it would be great for the industry to have more competition on the custodial front.
The post-pandemic run has been marked by staggeringly low volatility and all-time highs in both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones. However…see the full story on our partner Magnifi’s site.
Oil prices are at a fresh peak seemingly every day. Some who have been watching the space for years might be wondering if that will prove fleeting or if it is the start of a big bull market run. Goldman sees oil as staying between $75-80 per barrel over the next 18 months, which will help companies deleverage and improve their returns. OPEC seems likely to be supportive of current prices. Given all this, Goldman thinks oil stocks are a good idea, recommending Occidental, Exxon-Mobil, Devon, Hess, and Schlumberger, among others.
FINSUM: If you believe in the economic recovery then commodities seem likely to have a strong run, oil included.