Want to find a good test for whether the Fed has hiked rates too far? Look no further than everyone’s favorite, the FANG stocks. There is an increasing risk that the Fed may get very hawkish with its rate hikes, and if that happens, FANGs will show the pain first, says Julius Baer & Co. Baer thinks that the S&P 500 might sink 20% on the back of rate hikes before the Fed starts to moderate its action. It believes FANGs will feel the brunt of the losses. The NYSE FANG+ index peaked three months ago and has fallen 13% since June.
FINSUM: We do not disagree that rate hikes could cause market losses, but we don’t know why FANGs would feel the most heat other than the simple fact that they have gained the most.