(Washington)

Trump has named his next choice for the Supreme Court—Brett Kavanaugh. Mr Kavanaugh has a long judicial history to review, and by all accounts, he looks like a very friendly pick both for Wall Street and wealth management. He has consistently sided with the interests of financial businesses in his rulings, including rulings against regulators like the SEC.

FINSUM: Obviously all the focus of the media is on Kavanaugh’s impact in a wider sense, but from a purely financial standpoint, he appears to be very anti-regulation.

(New York)

Whether investors like it or not, a lot of signs are currently pointing to a pending recession. The yield curve has flattened dramatically, and the trade war and hawkish Fed loom large. With that in mind, JP Morgan has put out a piece telling investors which currencies to own when a recession hits. According to Paul Meggyesi of JP Morgan, it will be best to own the US Dollar, Swiss France, Japanese Yen, and Singapore Dollar, and to get rid of any emerging market currencies. The Yen and Dollar look best, as in a deleveraging scenario, the whole world needs to buy back Dollars as it is the default funding currency.

FINSUM: No surprises here, but given how long it has been since a recession, it is always useful to revisit the logics and strategies to use during one.

(Detroit)

The auto industry has been the center of an ongoing technological battle. Not only are auto companies and tech businesses battling over self-driving vehicles, but there is another competition going on over how to power them electrically. With that in mind, here are four stocks to play the electric vehicle revolution; hint, you won’t know any of them. The four names are Aumann, Constellium, Sherritt International, and Visteon. All of the companies make some key component for electric vehicles, from batteries to copper wire installations.

FINSUM: Electric vehicles are one of those revolutions where it seems best to own the component makers rather than the actual carmakers. The big question for us is the horizon for appreciation, as the exact timeline for electric vehicles becoming mainstream still seems unclear.

(New York)

One of the really worrying parts of this year’s stock market is that buybacks are booming to new records, yet share prices remain flat. US companies are on pace to buy back $800 bn of stock this year, a figure which would even eclipse 2007’s bonanza. But worryingly, 57% of the more than 350 component companies that have bought shares back this year are trailing the S&P 500’s return. That is the highest share to fall short of the index since the 2008 Crisis.

FINSUM: Aside from the worries about share prices not responding, the other concerning factor is that companies are buying their shares back at very high prices, which seems like it might portend the end of the bull market.

(New York)

Everyone knows it has not been a good year for bonds, especially Treasuries and long-dated bonds. However, did you know that it is July and the bond market is on pace for its worst annual performance in a century? (yes you read that correctly). Global bonds are on pace for an annualized loss of 3.5%. So the question is how can one keep money in the market, but not get hammered. The answer is high-grade, short-term bond funds. Floating rate corporate loans and high-yield municipals seem like good areas of focus. Remember that shorter duration bonds are less susceptible to interest rate risk, which makes them safer as the Fed raises rates.

FINSUM: These picks seem spot on to us. Higher-yielding, shorter duration, and floating rates all appear to be good selections for the current environment.