(New York)

Well it didn’t look like it would be a great year for bonuses, but 2017 bonus data is just in and it was a good year for the industry. Bonuses were up a whopping 17% this year and nearly eclipsed their pre-Crisis levels for the first time. The big bonuses largely reflected the growth of the leveraged loan market, which boosted fees across the industry. The New York state comptroller makes a good point about the data, saying “The large increase in profitability over the past two years demonstrates that the industry can prosper with the regulations and consumer protections adopted after the financial crisis”.

FINSUM: With bonuses getting to near pre-Crisis levels, it seems to be another sign that things are getting toppy.

(New York)

Despite the fact that the DOL says it will no longer enforce the fiduciary rule in any capacity, those in the industry say that firms should not abandon their fiduciary rule compliance. The reason why is that despite all the momentum against the rule, it is still not officially gone. That means the DOL could change course and decide to enforce the rule at any time, giving no comfort about getting rid of fiduciary rule compliance for firms.

FINSUM: So our view is that the whole fiduciary rule playing field is more uncertain after this court ruling. The SEC could still be dissuaded from proposing a new rule, and the current rule could still hold up in court, with both possibilities completely changing the picture.

(New York)

The Dow has not been doing so well lately. Last week it dropped to its lowest level of the year, declining further than in its worst bout of volatility in February. The reasons why are becoming harder to explain with every day of losses. While isolated flare ups used to be explained away, the situation is growing more complicated for investors. A growing risk of tech regulation, a looming trade war, higher interest rates—all are weighing on stocks. That makes the markets much more complicated and hazardous for investors, and it has become commensurately harder to make good decisions.

FINSUM: The market seems to be in a very treacherous period. Its failure to regain momentum after the fall in February seems ominous to us, and we do not see a clear end in sight.

(New York)

Goldman Sachs has been working hard to build up its advisor business. While the firm already has very strong revenue per advisor, it is trying to build up its advisor base and boost its securities lending business. However, it has a problem—many of it advisors are jumping ship. Goldman used to be a place where advisors stuck around for years, but in the last 12 months no less than five big, high quality teams have left the firm. Two have gone to other wirehouses, three became independent. Those in the industry say more are likely to leave.

FINSUM: It looks like Goldman is experiencing the same issues as everyone else.

(San Francisco)

Facebook has been going through a lot of turmoil lately. CEO Mark Zuckerberg is under fire, and the company is currently embattled over data leaks, especially related the Cambridge Analytica debacle. A majority of Facebook users now say they don’t trust Facebook with their data. Because of all this turmoil, however, Facebook’s shares now look like a bargain, says Barron’s. Three year ago the company’s p/e ratio traded at a 140% premium to the S&P 500. Now it down to just 30%, even though its revenues are growing 5x as fast as the market and its profit margins are 3x average. Barron’s argues that if you view Facebook as a “sin stock”, more like a cigarette company than a tech titan, then its return profile could prove very strong.

FINSUM: A lot of sin stocks, such as tobacco companies, have done very well despite public scorn. We think this current bout of anger will likely blow over and the company will return to delivering excellent earnings.