
FINSUM
Long-Run Private Equity Study Reveals Advantages
Over a 27-year period ending in Q3 2024, Cliffwater found that U.S. buyouts (private equity) consistently traded at a 29% EBITDA multiple discount relative to public equities, contributing significantly to private equity’s historical outperformance. This discount, combined with higher earnings yields and potential valuation convergence, helped private equity deliver a 6% gross return premium, which nets to about 2.2% after fees compared to public markets.
Several structural tailwinds reinforce private equity’s appeal, including a shrinking pool of public companies, persistently low credit spreads, and extreme valuation gaps between large-growth and small-value stocks.
These valuation disparities, combined with the relative strength of the U.S. dollar, give large-cap firms and private equity buyers strategic advantages in acquiring smaller domestic and foreign targets. Meanwhile, the sluggish IPO and M&A markets in 2025 have led to a spike in discounted private equity secondary sales, offering further entry points for opportunistic investors.
Finsum: Despite recent macro headwinds, these intersecting forces create a compelling backdrop for private equity to continue outperforming.
ESG Sees Major Shift Under New Administration
Investors have continued to pull billions from ESG (environmental, social, and governance) funds in early 2025, amid growing political backlash and shifting federal policies under President Trump’s administration.
In the first quarter alone, ESG funds saw $6.1 billion in outflows, marking the tenth straight quarter of declines, according to Morningstar. Much of this retreat has been attributed to the administration’s aggressive rollback of climate and DEI (diversity, equity, and inclusion) initiatives, including pulling out of the Paris Agreement and cutting subsidies for green energy.
Despite political resistance, ESG investing remains popular among younger investors and retains institutional support, particularly in pro-ESG states like California. Analysts argue ESG strategies still offer long-term value, positioning investors in companies better equipped to handle emerging environmental and social risks.
Finsum: Advocates maintain it's a smart approach to building resilience and returns in an evolving global economy, and necessary to combat emerging environmental issues.
RILAs Still Shinning in Murky Quarter for Annuities
While overall annuity sales have cooled slightly from their post-pandemic highs, persistent economic unease may be fueling renewed demand. In Q1 2025, total annuity sales reached $105.4 billion—just 1% below the all-time high recorded in the same quarter last year, according to LIMRA.
The organization attributes this strength to rising consumer anxiety, which in March drove sales to their second-highest monthly total on record. Registered index-linked annuities (RILAs) continued to shine, with sales up 21% year over year, bolstered by product innovation and growing interest from both insurers and investors.
Meanwhile, fixed indexed annuities saw a 7% decline but still posted the fifth-highest quarterly sales ever at $26.7 billion.
Finsum: For those looking for security with some upside in their retirement portfolios annuities products could provide an outlet.
Trade War Crushing Agriculture
U.S. farmers are facing a sharp drop in soybean and pork exports to China just as planting season ramps up, signaling serious trouble ahead. With China previously accounting for a major share of demand, especially for these two products, the sudden decline in sales — some dropping more than 70% — is hitting a fragile agricultural sector hard.
The current trade dispute, now broader and more severe than the 2018 tariff standoff, comes with no clear support for producers and is compounded by related conflicts with other trade partners like Canada. This creates a supply chain crunch, not just at the point of export but also in key input materials like fertilizer, making the hit to farmers multifaceted.
Domestic consumption isn’t likely to absorb the surplus either, especially as U.S. demand for pork remains soft and efforts like increasing biodiesel requirements are not enough to offset lost international sales.
For many growers, the loss of access to a market of over a billion consumers could be a lasting blow with no easy substitute.
Variable Annuities Surge in Retirement Accounts Despite Risk Off Economy
After years of prioritizing safety, retirement savers are once again embracing market risk, as sales of variable annuities tied to investment fund performance surged in late 2024. According to Wink’s latest data, traditional variable annuity sales climbed 53% year over year to $18 billion, outpacing every other annuity category tracked.
Interest also rose in registered index-linked annuities, which mirror stock index performance, with sales growing 38% to $35 billion, while fixed indexed annuities grew by 22% to $32 billion. In contrast, demand dropped sharply for multi-year guaranteed annuities — down 45% to $29 billion — as fewer consumers sought fixed returns.
This rebound in market-linked products reflects renewed investor optimism but also hints at insurer caution, with some reallocating capital toward products that require less financial backing.
Finsum: Expiring surrender periods on older annuities may be freeing up funds for reinvestment, fueling the uptick in new variable annuity contracts.