Displaying items by tag: yields

(Washington)

The whole market rally this year has pretty much been predicated on the Fed u-turning on rates. This makes sense, as it signaled that the Fed was not going to hike the economy into a recession. However, there are reasons to be nervous that the Fed may reverse course. One top economist thinks that the Fed may hike twice more this year as strong economic data will start to push Powell’s hand. US service industry data has been quite strong, and overall, “The fundamentals are not that bad. That could mean Powell has no choice but to hike.

FINSUM: We don’t necessarily agree with this view. While we are nervous about the Fed reversing course, we don’t think they will be under pressure to do so until inflation actually heats up.

(New York)

“Cheap dividend” is a welcome phrase for many advisors. Income investments are precious, especially as clients age, but inexpensive and good-performing dividend funds are not quite as easy to find as one might expect. With that in mind, here are few names to consider: the Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF (SPHD), the Oppenheimer S&P Ultra Dividend Revenue ETF (RDIV), and the Wisdom Tree US Quality Dividend Growth ETF (DGRW). The first two average just under 4% yields and have fees well under 40 bp. The Wisdomtree fund seeks dividend growth names, has lower yields, and costs 28 bp.

FINSUM: We are fans of the high dividend and low volatility approach, so quite like the Invesco fund here. LeggMason also has another good option with that theme, LVHD.

(New York)

Stable income is in the best place it has been for years. The yield curve has stabilized with rates at reasonable levels, which means finding decent-yielding investments isn’t nearly as hard as it was a few years ago. That said, income investments, especially at the higher-yielding end, have pitfalls. With that in mind, here are some good income ideas. The picks come from Franklin Templeton’s $73 bn Income Fund. Some of the top names held (holding assets across the capital structure) are Chesapeake Energy, Tenet Healthcare, JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Softbank Group, and Bank of America.

FINSUM: This is a very energy and financials heavy group, which has its risks.

(Washington)

Once you admit that this 2019 rally is almost purely predicated on the Fed dramatically turning around its position on rates and the economy late last year, you come to a realization: it could all end so quickly. The market is very vulnerable to the Fed’s actions right now, so the question becomes—will the central bank turn hawkish? The short answer is that it doesn’t look like the Fed will get hawkish any time soon. New language released in the latest notes look even more dovish than in December. The key buzzword is that the Fed is looking to be “patient” on rates and says it would need clear upward signs in the economy to hike any further.

FINSUM: The Fed has set up another goldilocks situation for markets. So long as data is okay but not too good, asset prices will be fine. If some data comes out poorly, the market knows the Fed can cut rates. Are we in for another big bull run?

(New York)

Safe and stable income is the name of the game for many investors, especially as the country ages. That means many advisors are on the look out for stocks that can offer that combination. With that in mind, here is a list of ten safe dividend stocks. The “safe” in this context means stable dividends. It should be noted that the S&P 500 is only current yielding around 2% as a whole, but there are many stocks with over 3% yields. Here is the list: AbbVie, Broadcom, SL Green Realty, Regions Financial, Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum, T. Rowe Price Group, PNC Financial Services, JPMorgan Chase, Comerica.

FINSUM: This is a nice diversified group. One thing we like in S&P 500 dividend stocks is that they tend to be value picks as well, since higher dividends are often a buy-product of previous share price declines.