After the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut of the year, investors wonder how they can better position portfolios in a changing bond market. Thornburg’s Christian Hoffmann and VettaFi’s Todd Rosenbluth noted that while the bond market initially reacted positively, much of the impact was already priced in, and expectations for further cuts are stronger than anticipated. 

Hoffmann emphasized that the market is at an inflection point driven by both economic data and potential changes in the Fed’s composition under political pressure. He argued investors should remain overweight duration and prepare for the possibility of a more dovish Fed with tools such as yield curve control. 

Against this backdrop, Hoffmann highlighted the role of active management, pointing to Thornburg’s Core Plus Bond ETF (TPLS) for flexible core exposure and its Multi-Sector Bond ETF (TMB) for income diversification. 

Finsum: Active funds could provide solutions in an uncertain rate environment, echoing the adage: “Don’t fight the Fed.”

Copper prices rose about 2% Wednesday after Freeport-McMoRan warned of major production losses from the suspension of its Grasberg Block Cave mine in Indonesia following a deadly mud rush. 

Operations remain halted after two workers were killed and five remain missing, cutting Q3 copper and gold sales by about 4% and 6% versus prior estimates. The impact will be harsher in Q4, with PT Freeport Indonesia’s copper and gold output expected to be negligible compared with forecasts. 

Looking ahead, 2026 production could fall 35% below prior projections, with a full return to pre-incident levels unlikely before 2027. Freeport expects its Big Gossan and Deep MLZ mines to restart later this year, while Grasberg’s phased ramp-up begins in 2026, and it has declared force majeure with insurance recovery capped at $700 million. 

Finsum: The disruption at one of the world’s largest copper mines comes as global supplies remain tight, further lifting copper prices.

The IRS and Treasury finalized Secure 2.0 rules on catch-up contributions for 401(k) and similar plans, which apply to workers age 50 and older. Beginning in 2027, those earning more than $145,000 from their current employer must make catch-up contributions on a Roth (after-tax) basis, though some plans may implement the change as early as 2026. 

Until then, investors can still choose between pretax and Roth contributions if their plan allows. Experts say now is the time to work with advisors to run multi-year tax projections to determine whether to accelerate pretax contributions before the rule takes effect or embrace Roth sooner.

For 2025, contribution limits rise to $23,500 with an additional $7,500 catch-up for those 50+, and workers ages 60–63 can make a “super catch-up” of $11,250. 

Finsum: The key takeaway, according to advisors, is not to sit on the sidelines as the new rules approach, but instead actively plan for the transition.

The Fed’s latest 25 basis point rate cut was widely expected, but uncertainty lingers over how aggressive or conservative future policy will be. While the Fed currently projects only one cut in 2026, that could shift depending on economic data, leaving investors cautious on yield. 

This makes high yield municipal bonds an option worth considering, given their tax advantages and potential return relative to corporates. An active fund like the Invesco Rochester High Yield Municipal ETF (IROC) offers exposure with a 30-day SEC yield of 4.69% and a 12-month distribution rate of 4.43%. 

Active management is key in this space, as it allows portfolio managers to adapt holdings to evolving conditions and manage risk. 

Finsum: Taking an active approach when you can see the macro uncertainty start to creep up is a good strategy in fixed income. 

Expectations of rate cuts have weighed on the dollar, boosting international stocks and bonds and driving flows into global and emerging-markets bond funds. For investors who want both U.S. and international exposure, the Vanguard Total World Bond ETF (BNDW) offers a nearly even split between domestic and global bonds, with a low 0.05% expense ratio. 

Those who prefer a purer international allocation might look to the Vanguard Total International Bond ETF (BNDX), which focuses on investment-grade developed markets and carries just 7% emerging-markets exposure. 

Investors willing to take on more risk for higher yield can consider the Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond ETF (VWOB), which tracks U.S.-dollar-denominated EM government debt. VWOB’s expense ratio is higher at 0.15%, but its 30-day SEC yield of 5.88% may appeal to income seekers. 

Finsum: These funds provide tools to diversify fixed-income portfolios beyond U.S. bonds while balancing risk and return.

In his first public appearance as a Federal Reserve governor, Stephen Miran argued that Trump’s economic policies are lowering inflation and opening the door for sharper rate cuts. Miran cast the lone dissenting vote at the Fed’s recent meeting, favoring a steeper cut than the quarter-point reduction approved by his colleagues. 

He downplayed concerns that tariffs are raising consumer prices, claiming instead that foreign countries are bearing the costs—an assertion disputed by many economists. Miran confirmed he was the outlier in Fed projections, pushing for rates as low as 2.75% to 3% by year-end and promising to lay out his case in an upcoming paper. 

His dual role as both a Fed governor and member of Trump’s Council of Economic Advisors has raised questions about the central bank’s independence. 

Finsum: While Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that policy will ultimately be shaped by data-driven arguments, not politics, Fed independence is at risk.

BlackRock is increasing its bets on U.S. equities and artificial intelligence across its $185 billion model-portfolio platform, according to a new investment outlook. The firm shifted allocations away from international developed markets, leaving its models 2% overweight equities and triggering billions of dollars in ETF flows. 

The move reflects confidence in a rally that has pushed the S&P 500 to record highs this year, fueled by strong earnings, enthusiasm for AI, and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. BlackRock pointed to U.S. corporate earnings growth of 11% since late 2024, far outpacing developed peers at under 2%. 

The firm also reallocated tech exposure, moving from a broad tech ETF into an AI-focused fund, which attracted nearly $1.4 billion in a single day. 

Finsum: As BlackRock put it, AI is both a growth driver and a defensive tool for portfolios.

Consumer midcap stocks are starting to show technical strength, with Victoria’s Secret, TripAdvisor, and Steve Madden emerging as standouts beyond the usual Tesla and Amazon focus. 

Victoria’s Secret has surged nearly 50% in three months, breaking out of a consolidation range and reclaiming its 200-day moving average, a sign of a potential trend reversal. TripAdvisor has gained 28% this year, with activist involvement and technical support around $18 pointing to a possible move toward $25. 

Steve Madden, despite being down 27% in 2025, has built a base at $20 and is showing signs of institutional accumulation, suggesting a rebound toward $50 by mid-2026. Retail sales data this week also provided a positive backdrop for the sector, reinforcing momentum for midcaps. 

Finsum: As strength broadens, overlooked mid-cap consumer names like these may offer compelling opportunities relative to the mega caps that dominate headlines.

Indexed annuities are becoming increasingly popular as retirement tools because they blend growth potential with protections not found in traditional fixed annuities. These products allow investors to defer taxes on gains until distributions begin, making them attractive for long-term retirement income strategies. 

Equity-indexed annuities (EIAs) and registered index-linked annuities (RILAs) tie returns to market indexes, with EIAs offering a guaranteed minimum return and RILAs providing downside buffers or floors to manage risk. However, features like caps, participation rates, and fees can limit upside potential, so retirees must carefully review contracts to understand how returns will be credited. 

Indexed annuities are designed for long-term holding, and early withdrawals can lead to surrender charges and tax penalties that erode principal. 

Finsum: For retirement savers, these products can serve as a middle ground between fixed and variable annuities, offering balance, income potential, and risk management over the long haul.

Private equity leaders are cautioning that while industry assets are likely to keep expanding, the number of firms competing for those dollars could shrink dramatically. KKR’s CFO Robert Lewin and Apollo’s president Jim Zelter both suggested that smaller managers, burdened by high fixed costs and limited fundraising capacity, may not survive the next cycle. 

Lewin forecasted a wave of organic consolidation over the next five years, while Zelter warned that many firms may already have raised their last fund without realizing it. Larger players, by contrast, are positioned to thrive, offering a wider array of products and attracting investors eager to simplify their GP relationships. 

Consolidation could also accelerate through acquisitions, with bigger firms absorbing weaker rivals. 

Finsum: The same pressures are expected to spread into venture capital, where scale and distribution strength are becoming just as critical.