Displaying items by tag: private credit

Blackstone Inc. predicts the private credit market could expand to $30 trillion, driven by infrastructure financing and pensions. Currently, private debt stands at $1.7 trillion, primarily funding private equity, but Rob Horn, global head of infrastructure and asset-based credit at Blackstone, views this as just a fraction of the opportunity. 

Private lenders are expected to take market share from banks, which now dominate the asset-based credit sector, with Blackstone focusing on areas like energy transition, digital infrastructure, and real estate. 

Pension and sovereign wealth funds are also taking notice, potentially increasing their private debt allocations. Blackstone expects significant future growth in sectors like data centers, where investments could top $1 trillion over five years. 

Finsum: While private equity has struggled to secure its footing in the same way private debt has, this expansion looks very stable. 

The bond market is experiencing a notable transformation, similar to what the equity market saw with the "barbell effect." Investors are splitting their capital between low-cost passive funds like ETFs and high-return alternatives like private credit, while traditional active managers are struggling to stay competitive. 

Bond ETFs have gained ground, fueled by rising interest rates, offering lower fees and better liquidity. Meanwhile, regulations are pushing banks to offload risky debt, increasing partnerships with private credit firms. 

This shift is spurring innovation, and major players are betting on private credit becoming a mainstream asset class.

Finsum: Seeing how the long-term impact of private credit affects the bond market will be worth monitoring tightly over the coming years but more immediately, this rate cycle.

Apollo Global Management secured $5 billion in funding from BNP Paribas as part of a move to expand its asset-backed lending business, traditionally dominated by banks. BNP’s commitment, which may increase over time, will support deals initiated by Apollo and its Atlas SP unit, which was acquired from Credit Suisse. 

Apollo aims to grow its credit business significantly, with plans to generate $200 to $250 billion in annual volume through its origination platforms within five years. The partnership reflects the growing presence of private credit in financial markets, where asset-backed lending has become more attractive due to its potential for higher returns. 

This funding boost adds to previous investments from the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and MassMutual, further solidifying Apollo’s influence in private credit.

Finsum: We’ll see how the relative attractiveness of private credit plays out given interest rates might be falling. 

Apollo Global Management Inc. is exploring the possibility of establishing a trading desk to buy and sell direct loans in the $1.7 trillion private credit market, which is typically illiquid. While the plans are still preliminary and could be abandoned, Apollo’s interest follows similar moves by other firms like Golub Capital and JPMorgan Chase. 

These firms are actively trading private loans, although such transactions remain rare due to lenders' preference to hold debt until maturity. Concerns exist that increased trading could undermine the benefits of direct lending, such as privacy, convenience, and price stability. 

However, secondary trading could be attractive to investors looking to enhance liquidity or reposition their portfolios. As the private credit market evolves, trading direct loans might become more common, especially for distressed assets.

Finsum: As a key figure in the space its important to keep an eye on the changes Apollo is making in private credit. 

Direct lending, once a niche market for companies with lower credit ratings, has expanded into a powerful alternative for both middle-market and large-cap firms, managing nearly $1.7 trillion by mid-2023. 

This growth has been fueled by private credit’s ability to offer flexible, borrower-friendly terms, even in billion-dollar deals traditionally dominated by banks. Banks, recognizing this trend, are now entering the direct lending space themselves, fostering competition that benefits borrowers with better pricing and more tailored financing solutions.

 As direct lending continues to grow, it's poised to play an increasingly vital role in funding mergers, acquisitions, and other corporate transactions, especially as the market prepares for potential interest rate changes later in 2024.

Finsum: It’s worth monitoring banks direct involvement in direct lending, because this could change the evolution of the industry.