Displaying items by tag: yields
Income Investors, Now is the Time to Watch the Curve
As of June 2025, the Federal Reserve has maintained its key interest rate, creating a rare window for investors to take advantage of elevated yields at the short end of the bond curve.
With short-term yields currently exceeding those of intermediate maturities, ultrashort bond funds have emerged as an efficient way to earn income without assuming significant duration risk. These funds, which typically hold maturities under one year, offer a balance of liquidity, low volatility, and competitive returns. Among the top active strategies is Pimco’s Short-Term fund, which combines nimble credit allocation with disciplined risk management, avoiding complex securities and leaning on deep market expertise.
For investors seeking tax-efficient income, Vanguard’s Ultra Short-Term Tax-Exempt fund delivers high-quality municipal bond exposure with an ultrashort duration, making it a smart pick in rising rate environments.
Finsum: These strategies give investors a way to capture attractive yields while staying agile amid ongoing rate uncertainty.
Should Income Investors Lock in Yields
With recession warnings growing louder, elevated bond yields are offering a compelling entry point for fixed income investors. During times of rising recession risk, bonds often shine as a defensive play—prices typically climb as demand surges and yields fall, making today's higher yields especially attractive to lock in.
UBS highlights that quality, investment-grade bonds are offering strong yield potential without pushing investors into riskier territory. The Neuberger Berman Flexible Credit Income ETF (NBFC) stands out as one such vehicle, combining active management with multi-sector exposure to generate consistent income with reduced volatility.
With a 7.10% 30-day SEC yield and over 350 holdings, NBFC delivers both competitive returns and cost efficiency, making it a strong candidate in today's income-hungry environment.
Finsum: Still, for those seeking more income and broader diversification, a mix of bonds and credit assets—like emerging market debt or private credit—can provide a powerful balance.
Trade Talks Cause Treasury Volatility
Treasury yields declined on Tuesday as investors grew more confident that an immediate escalation in the U.S.-E.U. trade conflict might be avoided. The 30-year yield fell to 4.984% and the 10-year to 4.475%, coinciding with a rise in stock futures.
This drop in yields suggests renewed investor demand for government bonds, signaling reduced risk sentiment and a preference for safety. The shift followed President Trump’s decision to delay imposing new tariffs on the European Union, pending further negotiations.
While E.U. officials expressed optimism about a potential deal, recent trade tensions have already rattled markets, leading to weak demand for U.S. Treasurys in last week’s auction.
Finsum: Compounding concerns is a major Republican policy proposal moving through Congress that lacks full funding, raising additional doubts about America’s fiscal outlook.
How To Rebalance Portfolios in the Current Interest Rate Environment
The transition away from zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) wasn’t painless, requiring sharp rate hikes and a challenging bear market before monetary conditions began resembling pre-2008 norms. Now, with higher government bond yields, investors have a genuine risk-free income opportunity, prompting a rethinking of portfolio strategies.
Angelo Kourkafas of Edward Jones suggests that as cash yields dip below bond returns in 2025, bonds are poised to outperform, restoring their historical role in balanced portfolios.
While trade policy uncertainty could complicate this outlook, he expects Canadian bond yields to stay rangebound, with income rather than price appreciation driving returns. He sees this fixed-income strength complementing a more measured equity rally, with a diversified stock-bond mix offering steadier returns in the year ahead.
Finsum: Oversized cash positions, could become a portfolio drag, especially for conservative investors who could lock in reliable income with bonds.
Follow the Yield in Emerging Markets
Pakistan and Kenya have made some of the quickest economic turnarounds in recent memory for emerging market economies and as a result investors are buying up their bonds rapidly. This is part of a larger trend as previously neglected debts from countries like Egypt, Pakistan, Nigeria, and Kenya are now appealing again, driven by interest rate hikes and currency market liberalizations.
With falling interest rates in mature markets, these relatively higher yields are enticing. In Turkey, high interest rates have drawn investors back, and Egypt's debt has seen significant foreign investment, supported by currency devaluation and free-floating exchange rates. Investors view these reforms as promising, despite risks such as volatility and potential capital controls.
Potentially prolonged high US interest rates could challenge these markets, particularly for countries with high debt interest payments. Nonetheless, some investors still find local currency bonds more attractive than dollar-denominated debt, seeing the current situation as the beginning of more gains.
Finsum: It might not be too late to chase the yield curve in some of these emerging market economies.