(New York)

Markets have been on an extraordinary run over the last three days. 20%+ for the Dow and a measly 18% for the S&P 500, technically ending the bull market. It was the best three-day run since 1931 (in itself a bleak reference). However, many on the street think this rally was too bullish too fast, as we are arguably not even to the worst of the health crisis, and certainly not in the worst part of the coming economic slowdown.

FINSUM: We are going to have at least two quarters of awful earnings and several months of terrible jobs data, so there is a long way to go. This seems like a stimulus-euphoria/dead-cat bounce rally.

(New York)

Advisors who might be thinking of moving—now may be the time. Big crises are often a catalyst for advisors changing firms. The reasons why are numerous. Some advisors grow unhappy with the support their current firm gives them during a hard period like this one. Others see a big drop in revenue and need the bonus check of signing with a new firm in order to keep their team intact. Others try to sell soon after a crisis hits because their valuation (based on AUM/production) will likely not be higher for years.

FINSUM: Generally speaking, one would think that there would be a lot of moves in the next several months. However, one issue right now is that advisors cannot have face-to-face meetings with their clients to take their temperature on a move. All that said, if you are considering a move, many firms are ready to cut checks.

(New York)

Anyone paying any attention to the economy or markets knows dividends are in trouble. With the economy set to shrink 30% in Q2 and a likely big negative growth number for the year, companies are going to have a very hard time maintaining profitability and dividend levels. With that said, here are some stocks that should have safe dividends. Texas Instruments and CVS both look attractive, yielding 3.6% currently, as does Intel (which yields 2.5%).

FINSUM: The brightest news for investors is that many companies have announced a suspension of buybacks but have plans to maintain their dividend, so there should still be some decent income.

(New York)

Today is a stark reminder of the differences between the view from Main Street and the view from Wall Street. US weekly jobless claims were leased this morning and broke the all-time record of weekly losses by almost 500%. The previous record was 695,000 jobs lost in 1982. This week’s figures was 3.28m. Yet despite the shockingly grim number, stocks are rallying heartily as investors bet the government’s stimulus will be a cure-all.

FINSUM: This is a great example of how the market only cares about actual vs predicted numbers. Investors figure the 3.3m losses were already priced in, so presumably there is upside. The reality of where things head is anyone’s guess.

(New York)

Merrill Lynch is giving its herd of advisors a break on their incentive compensation. Brokers at Merrill have a piece of incentive compensation which gives them a bonus if at least 30% of clients use three specific services. But instead of making the cut off for meeting those quotas July of this year, they have extended it to January 2021, giving brokers an extra 6 months to meet those goals. Merrill Lynch says that the change will allow advisors to focus on best serving clients in this volatile period.

FINSUM: Even with the six-month extension, given the market volatility, it will likely be difficult to cross-sell clients into new products.