
FINSUM
Short Duration Fixed Income ETFs are the Weapon Against Fed Uncertainty
Jerome Powell and the Fed turned a 180 this week with the future of its asset tapering and interest rate hikes. The Fed sees Covid and omicron as yesterday's demons and have set their sights on inflation. With that the Fed is gearing up for potentially three rate hikes in 2022 and is moving away from the transitory inflation story. This could be bad for bond investors as the Fed’s tune could change if omicron picks up or inflation shifts gears, meaning there is a lot of uncertainty about future rates. Nonetheless, higher rates could undercut existing long term bonds so those still invested in bonds should consider switching their investments to shorter duration Fixed Income ETFs or less sensitive corporate bonds. Lower duration bond ETFs will be more stable when there is interest rate uncertainty (unlike in standard times).
FINSUM: The Fed could just as quickly hop off the inflation fighting hawk train if they get a series of lower PCE reports, which means investors need to be ready for various scenarios.
An Interesting New ESG Launch
The environmental, social, and governance investment trend continues on a full head of steam as Goldman Sachs and BNY Mellon both launched a series of new ETFs aligning with different ESG objectives. Goldman launches a Large Cap equity ETF which tracks companies aligned with the new Paris Climate Agreement. Meanwhile BNY Mellon drops three new active ESG ETFs: the first will invest in over 80% sustainable U.S. equity, the second geared towards global markets, and the final will target emerging markets. These are just the latest as both Ark and JPMorgan created two new ESG ETFs as well in the last week. Some of the newer ETFs are following in the Euro area trend of specific disinvestment from companies reliant on C02.
FINSUM: The best part of all the new ESG focused products is the way they can be added that complement an existing portfolio: lacking large cap, pick up an ESG focused large cap ETF.
New Tough Fiduciary Rule Likely Delayed
Biden recently made his pick for a critical new position at the DOL: head of the Employee Benefits Security Administration. Lisa Gomez has been nominated and is likely to get bipartisan confirmation. Gomez is seen as critical to the redrafting of the fiduciary rule that is taking place at the DOL. Most industry insiders expect the new version of the fiduciary rule to be much tougher, more akin to the original Obama era rule than the currently in-effect Trump version.
FINSUM: The reality is that if a critical new person is being brought on board to lead the effort, it is likely to push back the timeline, or so says Brad Campbell, leading regulatory lawyer at Faegre Drinker, a leading law firm in our space.
How Direct Indexing Outperforms ETFs
Direct and Custom Indexing is swallowing up the financial world interests like ETFs have over the last 20 years, but this new trend isn’t without its drawbacks, specifically for retirees. Most investors will utilize direct indexing to weed out stocks they don’t want or minimize their tax burden, Lawrence Tint formerly of BGI voiced some critiques of custom indexing. Tint believes the tax advantage over traditional indexing is minimal because of the turnover in the funds. Additionally direct indexing will have higher fees and even if brokers don’t charge for fees investors will incur the bid-ask spread costs. Finally, direct indexing will make it very hard for income investors to reinvest dividends in a way to mirror the existing or custom index, and the more custom the index the more likely the traditional problems of stock pickers will riddle the custom portfolio.
FINSUM: These drawbacks to direct indexing provide a more complete view of the pros and cons to the financial trend, but it still has a leg up in tax loss harvesting over traditional ETFs.
Model Portfolios Help Mitigate Client Stress
Model portfolios allow the feel of tailored experience with the ability to hit wider audiences by addressing the specific risks, features or scenarios investors are concerned about. WisdomTree has been a leader in model portfolio development by providing options across diverse assets such as equity, fixed-income, strategic multi-asset, growth oriented, and dividend options. On top of this they build out scenario focused funds.Their fixed income funds are focusing on shorter duration quality bonds while dipping into alternative credit. They have also developed a variety of international funds that focus on developing countries in order to meet the needs of investors worried the U.S. equity market is too overvalued.
FINSUM: Model portfolios are giving advisors a strong option for targeted concerns that face their clients like volatility and inflation.