Displaying items by tag: liquidity
Interval Funds Weaknesses are their Strength
Interval funds offer investors a way to diversify their portfolios with assets like real estate, private equity, and debt instruments, but they come with unique features. Unlike mutual funds, interval funds allow for liquidity only at specific intervals, such as quarterly or annually, rather than daily.
This limited liquidity provides fund managers with greater flexibility in choosing investments. Despite their higher fees and limited redemption opportunities, interval funds are growing in popularity, especially among those nearing retirement, due to their potential for steady returns from less liquid assets.
Investors should be aware of the fund's redemption process, minimum investment requirements, and the varying performance of these funds. Firms like KKR and Capital Group plan to launch interval funds.
Finsum: Liquidity concerns are real, but relaxing this constraint lets opportunities blossom.
Interval Funds Bring Unique Advantages
Interval funds continue to gain popularity as investors become familiar with their benefits. New interval fund launches have increased since 2017, with 2024 on track for a record number.
Assets under management have grown 40% annually, reaching $80 billion by April 2024. These funds offer daily NAV pricing and subscription, but limit redemptions to quarterly intervals. This structure allows for investments in higher-return assets, better alignment of assets and liabilities, opportunistic buying, longer investment horizons for catalyst realization, and greater visibility of redemption requests.
Overall, interval funds combine traditional mutual fund features with unique advantages like a longer horizon allowing markets to less liquid investments.
Finsum: Interval funds offer a goldilocks like solution for certain investors.
Growing Concerns Over Private Credit
At the annual Milken Institute Global Conference, many expressed concerns that, as rates remain elevated, there is increasing liquidity risk for some borrowers. So far, robust economic growth has masked these underlying issues, but many borrowers would be vulnerable in the event of an economic downturn.
So far, default rates have remained low. Skeptics contend that this is due to amendments made to loan terms, leading to maturity extensions and payment arrangements. Ideally, these maneuvers would buy time for borrowers until monetary conditions eased.
Yet, economic data has not been supportive of this outcome so far in 2024, leading to more stress for borrowers and concerns that defaults could spike. According to Katie Koch, the CEO of the TCW Group, “This cannot be extended forever. Eventually, those default rates will rise.” Danielle Poli adds, “It is going to be ugly. Many of these companies are burdened with excessive leverage, with holes in their covenants like Swiss cheese.”
Some investors sense opportunity as there has been an increase in bridge loans to borrowers, searching for liquidity. Oaktree Capital has reduced exposure to syndicated loans and raised cash levels to take advantage of any dislocations. In addition to bridge loans, there is also increasing demand for hybrid capital, which is in between senior debt and equity and provides liquidity and cash flow relief to borrowers.
Finsum: At the annual Miliken conference, Wall Street heavyweights warned that as rates remain elevated for longer, borrowers are getting more stressed and that a spike in defaults is looming.
Criteria for Selecting Alternative Investments
The number of alternative investment options continues to increase, and many now consider it an essential ingredient to optimize portfolios. However, there are significant challenges that come with evaluating these investments, given that there is more complexity and advisors have less experience with the asset class.
The benefits of alternatives are higher returns, especially in high-rate, high-inflation environments, and less correlation to equities and bonds. The two biggest drawbacks of alternatives are reduced liquidity and price discovery. There are additional potential tradeoffs, such as limited transparency, higher fees, and restrictions on redemptions. Further, some alternatives use leverage or derivatives, which can increase tail risk during certain periods.
Therefore, it’s important to study how the investment performed during periods of market volatility, such as 2020 or 2008. With some illiquid investments, the asset may look like it’s outperforming until actual transactions start taking place at lower levels. Many skeptics contend that the diversification and volatility-mitigating effects of alternatives are overestimated due to the absence of mark-to-market pricing.
Another consideration is that evaluating alternatives has a qualitative element. This includes studying the reputation and track record of the management team. Overall, advisors and investors should understand that many of the traditional tools and methods used to evaluate public investments are not suitable for alternatives.
Finsum: Alternative investments continue to grow and are increasingly a core part of many investors’ portfolios. However, there are many unique challenges that come with evaluating these investments.
Private Equity Desperately Needs Cash
The 2006 vintage of buyout funds remains etched in the memory of private equity investors who endured the global financial crisis (GFC), despite eventual recovery. Unlike typical fund vintages following a predictable "J curve," 2006 saw a deviation, marked by record capital investment before the financial markets' collapse.
Recent fund vintages show alarming parallels to 2006 according to a report by Bain & Co, sparking concerns among limited partners about trapped capital and delayed returns. While historical challenges offer valuable lessons, today's private equity portfolios differ, with varied exit strategies and market conditions.
Nonetheless, fund managers must proactively manage portfolios to generate distributions, prioritizing liquidity to satisfy investor expectations and secure future allocations.
Finsum: Lower interest rates could begin to free up capital for return distribution in 2024.