FINSUM
Variable annuities aren't as directly affected by interest rate cuts because their performance is tied to market-based investments, not interest rate fluctuations. When rates drop, however, investors may shift toward variable annuities to seek higher returns, since fixed-rate products offer lower payouts in a declining rate environment.
This shift happens because variable annuities can capitalize on market growth, unlike fixed options that are more constrained by interest rates. Despite the potential for higher returns, variable annuities are often complex, costly, and come with greater risks.
With interest rates recently being high, many investors favored fixed annuities, but lower rates could make variable products more attractive again. Ultimately, investors need to weigh the risks and rewards carefully before deciding.
Finsum: It’s important to also think about how interest rates affect the underlying products of annuities; this gives true insight into the viability of those products.
Portfolio construction is crucial for any investor, whether a beginner or experienced, as it helps balance risk and maximize returns. The key is to ensure each investment serves a specific purpose within the portfolio, rather than just collecting assets.
Diversification, or spreading investments across different asset types, reduces risk by balancing higher-risk stocks with safer options like bonds. ETFs, particularly passive ones, offer a simple and cost-effective way to achieve diversification, providing exposure to a wide range of assets.
Understanding your risk tolerance is vital, as it influences your portfolio's composition. Lastly, keeping long-term goals in mind is essential for managing both risk and return.
Finsum: Advisors could really benefit by integrating basic portfolio metrics into their calculations, such as Sharpe and Sortino ratios.
Apollo Global Management secured $5 billion in funding from BNP Paribas as part of a move to expand its asset-backed lending business, traditionally dominated by banks. BNP’s commitment, which may increase over time, will support deals initiated by Apollo and its Atlas SP unit, which was acquired from Credit Suisse.
Apollo aims to grow its credit business significantly, with plans to generate $200 to $250 billion in annual volume through its origination platforms within five years. The partnership reflects the growing presence of private credit in financial markets, where asset-backed lending has become more attractive due to its potential for higher returns.
This funding boost adds to previous investments from the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and MassMutual, further solidifying Apollo’s influence in private credit.
Finsum: We’ll see how the relative attractiveness of private credit plays out given interest rates might be falling.
As the end of the year approaches, investors should focus on capital gains management and explore tax-smart strategies in nonqualified accounts. Active trading can significantly impact capital gains liability and improve after-tax performance.
Moving investments into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) may offer a tax-efficient solution, with active ETFs presenting a strong option during tax loss harvesting. ETFs have been more tax-efficient than mutual funds due to their unique structure, minimizing capital gains distributions.
Additionally, actively managed ETFs typically have lower operational costs than mutual funds, providing a more cost-effective investment option. This makes them appealing to investors looking for both performance and tax efficiency as they assess their portfolios.
Finsum: It will be critical with some potential rallies coming on for investors to maximize their tax efficiency and take advantage of the volatility in sectors of the market.
The ongoing unwinding of yen carry trades could lead to more turbulence in the markets this month, warns Kathy Lien of BK Asset Management. As U.S. yields drop and the dollar weakens, the yen is expected to gain strength, potentially triggering sell-offs similar to those seen in August.
The practice of carry trading, where investors borrow in low-yielding currencies like the yen to invest in higher-return assets, is facing disruption due to Japan’s recent interest rate increases. Lien suggests that if stock markets experience significant downturns, the yen's value could continue to rise, reversing its longstanding undervaluation.
This shift may impact asset prices globally in the coming years, with additional volatility likely as the U.S. economy faces growing pressures. September, often volatile for stocks, could see more dramatic market moves.
Finsum: This is one of the most important currency stories to watch in the coming weeks as rate cuts look to be very aggressive.
RNMKRS, a company based in Larchmont, New York, leverages artificial intelligence (AI) to enhance sales training. By creating an AI persona called Alex, the system simulates customer interactions and provides feedback to sales representatives, helping them improve their communication and selling skills.
Since its inception, RNMKRS has trained around 30,000 sales professionals from over 100 companies. Co-founded by Stefanie Boyer, a marketing professor at Bryant University, the platform is grounded in her extensive research on learning science and sales performance.
The AI-driven system has role-played over 500,000 conversations, refining its ability to give consistent, data-backed feedback. Boyer believes AI has the potential to transform human-to-human communication by offering non-judgmental, constructive criticism.
Finsum: Advisors really need to utilize the full capabilities of artificial intelligence to grow and expand their business, and sales training could be a very valuable addition.
Gold prices retreated slightly after hitting a record high in response to the Federal Reserve's half-point interest rate cut. Spot gold fell 0.4% to $2,560.29 per ounce after briefly reaching $2,592.39 earlier in the day, while U.S. gold futures closed up 0.2%.
The Fed's decision to lower rates, which is expected to continue into next year, has pushed gold prices higher due to its reduced opportunity cost compared to interest-bearing assets. As bond yields rise and the dollar weakens, the demand for gold strengthens. Investors are awaiting further insights from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on the future direction of monetary policy.
Meanwhile, with inflation still elevated, many are turning to gold as a hedge against eroding purchasing power. Silver prices rose 0.6%, while platinum remained steady, and palladium dropped 3.2%.
Finsum: Gold could be an important hedge if inflation comes back from the grave with interest rates quickly falling.
With 2024 coming to an end, financial advisors contemplating a switch to a new broker-dealer may wonder if there’s still time to make the move. While possible, the process can take several months depending on the complexity of the transition and level of support available.
Advisors looking to act quickly may benefit from financial incentives and smoother tax records by completing the transition before the new year. However, rushing such an important decision isn’t advisable, so careful planning and blocking time for key discussions is essential.
Transition consultants can help expedite the process by securing offers and guiding advisors through the logistics. Ultimately, those who begin the process now may still be able to switch broker-dealers by the end of 2024, but many may find it more practical to plan for early 2025.
Finsum: While it’s certainly late in the year these services could help optimize time in order for a smooth transition.
An unprecedented number of American households are uncertain about the economic future, with many expecting inflation to take a larger portion of their income. Financial stress from the high cost of living and rising borrowing costs has added to the uncertainty, especially in an election year.
Though consumer sentiment slightly improved in September due to expectations of lower inflation and potential interest rate cuts, the overall view of current conditions remains near record lows. Prices are still significantly higher than before the pandemic, despite inflation slowing.
A growing number of Americans expect no real income growth over the next five years. Additionally, confidence in achieving a comfortable retirement is at its lowest point since 2013.
Finsum: Inflation hasn’t been a strong concern for retirement in nearly 40 years, but suddenly it is having a critical impact, and investors should consider options accordingly.
Hedge fund billionaire John Paulson, known for his profitable bet against the housing market during the financial crisis, warned of a potential market collapse if Vice President Kamala Harris' proposed tax plans are implemented.
In an interview on CNBC, Paulson criticized Harris' endorsement of raising the corporate tax rate to 28%, increasing the capital gains tax to 39%, and taxing unrealized gains, predicting these measures would trigger a financial downturn. While Harris has supported tax hikes proposed by President Biden, insiders suggest she may not pursue taxing unrealized gains.
Paulson believes such policies would lead to massive asset sell-offs and a recession. Some economists agree higher corporate taxes could impact earnings but don't foresee the drastic crash Paulson predicts.
Finsum: The impacts of the taxes on unrealized capital gains are overblown, they affect a very small unmeasurable margin.