Displaying items by tag: hedge funds

Hedge funds saw mixed results in February as market volatility surged amid trade tariff uncertainties. Fixed-income strategies performed well, benefiting from falling interest rates, while macro and equity hedge funds struggled due to sharp declines in technology stocks. 

The HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index fell 0.47%, with relative value arbitrage and event-driven strategies posting gains that were outweighed by broader declines. Cryptocurrency funds took a significant hit, with the HFR Cryptocurrency Index dropping 16.8% as volatility spiked. 

Meanwhile, event-driven funds gained modestly, and fixed-income strategies extended their winning streak, marking another month of positive returns. 

Finsum: As hedge funds navigate volatile conditions, their ability to adapt remains key to delivering returns in uncertain markets.

Asia’s hedge fund market is evolving, with diversification beyond long/short equity into multi-strategy and quantitative approaches, particularly in Japan. The adoption of separately managed accounts (SMAs) is rising, offering investors greater customization, risk control, and transparency. 

Allocators are increasingly partnering with emerging managers early, securing better terms and gaining specialized market insights. Transparency and authenticity are becoming crucial, as investors seek managers who openly share their strategies, risks, and past performance. 

Japan remains a key focus, while sectors like artificial intelligence and semiconductors present new investment opportunities. 

Finsum: Despite these trends, raising capital remains challenging for emerging managers, who must establish strong infrastructure and a compelling value proposition to attract investors.

Over the past twenty years, alternative investment strategies like hedge funds, private equity, and real estate have grown in popularity among investors seeking diversification and steady returns. This trend was initially driven by the low-yield environment post-2009 financial crisis, making alternatives attractive due to their higher yields and low correlation with public markets. 

However, the landscape shifted post-2021 with rising inflation and interest rates, as well as increased geopolitical tensions, challenging traditional investment approaches. Hedge funds have gained renewed relevance, offering uncorrelated returns amid market volatility. 

Similarly, private credit has thrived, benefiting from the retreat of large banks from direct lending and providing attractive yields and diversification. Despite rising interest rates, alternatives with lock-up periods continue to outperform public markets, supporting a balanced, blended investment strategy for consistent returns.

Finsum: Remember the real advantage to alts is their uncorrelated returns and more specifically uncorrelated volatility to traditional markets.

Many have speculated that one of the catalysts for the rally in bitcoin is due to precious metals investors shifting allocations. Both assets offer protection against inflation and appeal to investors concerned about long-term monetary and economic instability. Gold and bitcoin have also enjoyed strong performances in recent months and are trading at or close to all-time highs.

However, this conjecture is not correct, according to JPMorgan. It doesn’t see outflows from gold ETFs into bitcoin ETFs. Instead, the bank notes that institutional investors, retail investors, and hedge funds have been buyers of futures of both assets since February. Since February, about $7 billion of bitcoin and $30 billion of gold futures have been bought. It also notes that both assets are extended over a short-term timeframe, leading to the risk of a pullback.

JPMorgan also believes that MicroStrategy’s recent purchase of $1 billion in bitcoin in 2024, in addition to its $1 billion purchase in Q4 of last year, has also contributed to upward pressure for bitcoin. According to the bank, this does lead to more risk in crypto as “bitcoin purchases by MicroStrategy add leverage and froth to the current crypto rally and raise the risk of more severe deleveraging in a potential downturn in the future.”

Finsum: Many believe that one of the catalysts for the rally in bitcoin is that precious metals investors are shifting allocations. However, this is not correct, according to JPMorgan. 

BNP Paribas conducted its annual alternative investment survey which revealed some interesting insights. There were 238 respondents, collectively representing $1.2 trillion in hedge fund assets, who were surveyed in December 2023 and January 2024. 

Many allocators are expecting a regime change with more opportunities for alpha and beta with US equities underperforming. This type of environment is more amenable to hedge fund performance. 

In contrast, hedge funds struggled in 2023 with an average return of 7.6%, while the S&P 500 was up 24%. It was the inverse of 2022 when hedge funds outperformed while both fixed income and equities were down double-digits. Interestingly, hedge funds outperformed global equity markets by 5.7% over the full 2 years. 

Going forward, allocators seem bullish on hedge funds. History indicates the asset class outperforms during periods of ‘high, stable rates. Over the last 2 years, allocators increased their expected return from 7.5% to 9.1%, which is the highest over the last decade. 

In 2023, there was a $100 billion in net outflows due to rebalancing flows, underperformance, and competition from risk-free returns at 5%. This year, survey respondents are expected to add $17 billion on a net basis. 

Finsum: BNP Paribas conducted a survey of asset allocators. They are increasing allocations to hedge funds as the asset class has historically outperformed in high, stable rate environments.