Displaying items by tag: energy

Energy stocks have outperformed the broader market this year as investors pivot toward companies with strong cash flow and reliable dividends. Despite a slight dip in oil prices, the S&P 500 Energy Select ETF (XLE) has gained nearly 8%, while tech and consumer discretionary stocks have struggled. 

Energy equities appear more resilient to inflation and tariff concerns, with experts noting that U.S. energy exports are less likely to face retaliatory trade measures. Rising natural gas prices, which have surged over 30% in 2025, have further fueled gains for energy companies. 

Some major pipeline firms, like Plains All American and MPLX, have posted double-digit gains year to date. With Brent crude trading above $71 per barrel, analysts anticipate a gradual climb before prices dip later in the year.

Finsum: With rising inflation expectations, energy stocks could be the pathway to avoid the inflation tax or at least offset it in your portfolio. 

China’s new tariffs on U.S. energy imports are expected to hit the metallurgical coal market the hardest, given its role in steel production. While crude oil and LNG trade between the two countries is small, with minimal global disruption anticipated, U.S. coking coal made up nearly 12% of China’s seaborne imports in 2024. 

If these tariffs make American coal uncompetitive, China’s steelmakers will need to turn to other suppliers, most likely Australia and Canada. This shift could force China to pay a premium, as these countries already have strong demand from India, the largest global importer of coking coal. 

A reshuffling of trade routes might occur, with China buying more Australian coal and India offsetting that by sourcing more from the U.S., though not without some initial price volatility. As coking coal prices have been falling, Australian exports could gain a pricing edge if Chinese buyers pivot, while U.S. producers might face challenges securing alternative markets.

Finsum: Pay attention to the commodities circuit, as tariffs start to take hold, retaliatory efforts could spawn ways to generate alpha. 

President-elect Trump has announced his intention to block new wind energy projects during his upcoming term, arguing that the industry relies heavily on subsidies to function. Known for his support of fossil fuels, Trump has appointed fracking executive Chris Wright as his Energy Secretary and emphasized policies favoring traditional energy sources. 

His opposition to wind power, which he has called unsightly and harmful to marine life, extends to plans for an immediate executive order to halt offshore wind production. Although renewable energy advocates predict that existing projects will continue despite the political shift, companies like RWE acknowledge potential delays in offshore wind timelines. 

Critics, including Sen. Ron Wyden, have warned that abandoning wind energy will raise electricity costs for families and reduce domestic energy output. Clean energy leaders stress the importance of a diversified energy strategy to meet the nation’s rising energy demands.

Finsum: These policy shifts are clearly going to affect market fundmentals over the next term, will there still be enough industry support to prop up ESG? To be determined.

The United States needs an "all-of-the-above" approach to meet the growing global energy demand, highlighting their own role as the largest producer and exporter of energy worldwide according to Rob Thummel of Tortoise.  

He notes that the U.S. has an abundance of low-cost, low-carbon energy options, which he views as critical for supporting economic growth both domestically and internationally. According to Thummel, U.S. energy resources help expand other economies while also driving growth at home. 

Additionally, he links the availability of affordable energy to the resurgence of advanced manufacturing and AI development in the U.S. This broad energy strategy, he argues, positions the country to lead in both innovation and economic stability.

Finsum: AI is going to have a drastic impact on the demand for energy in the coming years and with or without structural changes this will move markets in energy prices.

U.S. crude oil futures dropped to around $73 per barrel amid widespread concerns of a looming recession. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil, now up less than 2% for the year, and Brent crude, slightly down for 2024, saw declines despite earlier gains fueled by Middle East tensions and anticipated market tightening. WTI reached six-month lows earlier in the session. 

The energy prices for the day showed WTI at $72.84 per barrel and Brent at $76.30 per barrel. The downturn followed disappointing U.S. job growth and continued manufacturing sector contraction. 

Adding to the market's unease, China's weaker imports and refinery utilization rates have also impacted sentiment. OPEC+ might reconsider increasing production in October, with potential cuts depending on market conditions. Geopolitical risks persist, notably with rising tensions between Israel and Iran.

Finsum: Weak demand is very common leading into recessions, but with rate cuts around the corner now might be the time to buy energy stocks.