(Houston)

Markets are plunging today, and the reason for the huge fall is the complete collapse of the oil market. The trouble is occurring because a price war is erupting in the oil market with Saudi Araba announcing that is was boosting production this morning. The move came as a response to Russia refusing to agree to production cuts to help insulate the market. The oil market responded by falling an eye-watering 30%. That immediately sent stocks plummeting too.

FINSUM: The market is doing its very best to compel Russia to agree to curb production. Surely a production cut wouldn’t cost them 30% of revenue!!

(New York)

Sudden downturns and crises have a knack for exposing underlying weakness in asset classes, and this coronavirus shock looks likely to expose corporate bonds. As investors will know, there are trillions of Dollars worth of bonds hanging on the lower cusp of investment grade at the same time as high yield issuance has surged in recent years. A quick reversal in economic fortunes could quickly cause soaring yields, delinquency, and bankruptcies. This would lead to a sharp drop in bond prices and potential economic disruptions.

FINSUM: Two key points to make on this story. Firstly, the corporate bond market is now worth $10 tn, 10x the size of 2001. Secondly, because many high yield bonds are illiquid and difficult to trade in periods of uncertainty, investors will try to offload other assets instead, which can spread the panic to other asset classes.

(New York)

One of the best ways to use annuities is in so-called “annuities ladders”. MYGAs are commonly used in this way with the goal of maximizing returns rates, but one good strategy involves mixing MYGAs with a fixed index annuity. A typical example would be to invest a total of $400,000 this way: $100k into a 3-year MYGA, $100k in a 5-year MYGA, $100k into a 7-year MYGA, and $100k into a 10-year fixed index annuity. MYGAs have contractually protected yields, and the hope is that the FIA will yield a bit better than comparative CDs. Both products fully protect principal.

FINSUM: This is a sound strategy for trying to maximize yield while minimizing risk since yields and principal are mostly locked in.

(Washington)

Wealthy people living in the US may have a natural apprehension to the idea of Bernie Sanders becoming president. The self-described socialist aims to greatly raise taxes and redistribute wealth as is common in socialist agendas. However, to get some context on how Bernie’s policies may actually play out, it is useful to look at the only functioning socialist democracies in the world—Scandinavia. What is very interesting about the Scandinavian countries is that they actually have the highest percentage of billionaires per capita in the world. The same also applies for those with a $100m net worth or more, and even those with $30m or more.

FINSUM: These countries have the highest percentage of wealthy per capita by a wide margin, so it appears socialist democracy does end up having some wealth concentrating effects.

(San Francisco)

Apple has been deeply wounded by the coronavirus panic. The stock fell as much as 16.5% through the weekend before good gains on Monday. The reality is that this is great time to buy Apple, as shares are offering a big discount just before the next iPhone super cycle begins. According to Wedbush, a leading Apple analyst (and referencing the coronavirus sell-off), “we believe this will be short lived as the longer term 5G super cycle thesis and services re-rating remain the crux of our bull thesis on Apple for the next 12 to 18 months.” Wedbush believes that some 350m of the nearly one billion iPhones out there are “in a window of an upgrade opportunity”.

FINSUM: Apple has a good shot at selling over 200m iPhones in the 12 months starting September 2020, likely breaking its highest sales ever. This is a good time to get ahead of that.