In an article for InvestmentNews, Gregg Greenberg discusses findings from Cerulli Edge’s latest report on the asset and wealth management industry. One of the most alarming takeaways is that there is a trickle of new advisors entering the industry with the vast majority failing to stick.

Overall, more are exiting the industry via retirement or quitting than entering. Last year, the number of advisors increased by only 2,579. And, the failure rate for newer advisors was 72%. 

Due to these findings, Cerulli made some recommendations on how practices can attract fresh talent to the industry. Most new advisors enter the industry through referrals while lacking any sort of experience in financial services. 

Thus, it’s imperative that firms have a structured training program that allows new advisors to learn the industry to gain confidence and experience. One of the barriers that new advisors face is the challenge of building their own client book. Thus, an effective training program should equip advisors with the skills and knowledge to successfully build their own book. It should also come with a natural progression from operational and support roles into production and portfolio management especially as compensation is tied to the latter two categories. 

Finsum: The Financial advisor industry is facing a long-term challenge with a lack of new entrants into the field, a high failure rate, and a looming wave of retirements. 

In an article for Wealth Management, Iraklis Kourtidis discusses how the investment industry needs to evolve in order to reduce risk and improve returns. Essentially, it tends to look at the past to make assumptions about the future, specifically regarding correlations between asset classes. 

He believes that too much time and energy is spent on discussing how investments have performed in the past which doesn’t make sense in a world with efficient markets. Instead, investors and advisors need to pay more attention to the future. And, this is even more important with the advent of direct indexing.

Kourtidis believes there are better questions to ask with direct indexing such as will these investments adhere closely to my values? Another is will this strategy properly weigh the tradeoffs between tracking errors, tax efficiency, and personal values? Finally, investors and advisors need to determine whether the additional cost and effort of direct indexing will yield better results than a traditional approach, specifically in terms of tax benefits?

These are forward-looking questions that do have answers unlike questions about the market’s direction, monetary policy, or portfolio returns. Overall, direct indexing means that investors need to consider a different set of questions. 

Finsum: Direct indexing creates an entirely different set of opportunities and challenges for investors and advisors. Here are some things they need to consider that they wouldn’t with traditional investin 

Yields on Treasuries shot higher following the June ADP private sector jobs report which came in much stronger than expected at 497,000 vs 228,000. This is a continuation of a trend in recent months, showing that economic growth and the labor market are defying consensus predictions of a recession.

In fact, many analysts now believe that the economy could be re-accelerating which has major implications for fixed income and equities. Immediately following the report, odds increased for rate hikes at the next 2 FOMC meetings, and odds for a cut in the first quarter of 2024 sharply declined.

Higher yields and tighter monetary policy are certainly headwinds for equities and fixed income. Additionally, one of the catalysts for the recent rally in equities has been expectations of an imminent Fed pivot given weakening inflation and a softening labor market. Yet, data over the last month have made it clear that the Fed still has more work to do to achieve its objectives.

It’s also interesting to note that yields on shorter-term Treasuries are now approaching their highs from early March. Further, the decline from March into May following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and distress at other regional banks has been entirely reversed. 

Finsum: Fixed income weakened following the ADP jobs report which showed that private sector hiring was twice as strong as expected. Ultimately, the report likely means that rates will go higher and stay elevated for longer than expected.