Emerging-market stocks and currencies fell sharply after strong U.S. economic data reduced expectations for multiple Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. MSCI’s currency benchmark dropped more than 0.3%, marking its largest one-day loss since July, while a similar gauge for equities slipped 0.7%, the steepest decline since late August. 

Traders now see a diminished chance of two Fed cuts by year-end, as U.S. growth accelerated and jobless claims fell. Sentiment was further pressured by geopolitical risks, including rising tensions between Russia and NATO and fiscal concerns in countries such as Poland and Indonesia. 

The Philippine peso and Indonesian rupiah led declines, while the Polish zloty and Hungarian forint also weakened on regional political and energy disputes. 

Finsum: Despite recent setbacks, some strategists still expect emerging-market assets to recover toward year-end on macro tailwinds and favorable seasonality.

From 2021 to 2024, the U.S. saw a record surge in immigration, much of it from people crossing the southern border without visas. Many were released into the country to seek asylum or given temporary protection, and millions entered the labor force. 

By mid-2024, tougher policies and more deportations slowed the inflow sharply. Economists say fewer immigrants could mean slower population and job growth, which may weigh on the broader economy. 

Studies show immigration tends to boost economic output while having little effect on inflation. Looking ahead, stricter policies could further reduce growth if fewer workers are available, especially if mass deportations are carried out.

Finsum: For now, the lasting impact will depend on whether immigration levels stabilize or continue to decline.

Investors’ demand for tax-efficient investing is fueling rapid growth in separately managed accounts (SMAs), which now top $500 billion in tax-managed assets—up 67% since 2022. Unlike mutual funds or ETFs, SMAs allow investors to directly own securities, enabling personalized tax management such as loss harvesting. 

Direct indexing remains the most popular strategy, but providers are expanding into active equity and fixed-income SMAs to capture additional tax alpha. Challenges arise with active managers, since balancing loss harvesting with stock-picking discipline can dilute investment ideas, though new approaches like substitute stock lists aim to resolve that. 

Fixed-income SMAs offer fewer opportunities, but rising rates in recent years did create harvesting potential, while model portfolios are also integrating tax-aware transitions to ease client moves without triggering large gains. 

Finsum: Overall, tax-managed SMAs are expanding across asset classes and portfolio models, giving advisors more tools to reduce investors’ tax burdens.