FINSUM
Does the Bond Sell-Off Spell the End for Stocks?
(New York)
Well it finally happened yesterday. The big selloff in bonds finally managed to legitimately spook the equity market. Stocks in the US were down big as the yield on ten-years jumped mightily. The ten-year yield is now 2.73%, the highest in three years, which was a significant mental threshold. Investors are worried that with the world economy doing so well, inflation may again rear its head, causing central banks to raise rates quickly. The S&P 500 fell 0.7% on Monday.
FINSUM: Okay here is the big question we have—why would the world economy doing well and higher rates be negative for stocks? If anything, equities are a good inflation hedge.
Trump Firing Mueller Poses No Legal Risk to President
(Washington)
This week’s news has been rife with articles on President Trump and his apparent push to try to firm special counsel Mueller over the summer. Now Bloomberg has put out an article commenting on the implication of such an effort (if it is true). In a balanced view, Bloomberg says that such behavior, even if true, would not add to any obstruction of justice case against Trump, and that any problems it would cause would be on the political side, not the legal one.
FINSUM: To be honest, we are perplexed by the firestorm over this. Trump did not have Mueller fired. Simply looking into it, even if true, doesn’t seem to constitute anything.
When Will “Buy the Dip” End?
(New York)
If behavioral finance has taught us one thing, it is that losses hurt the human mind more than gains help it, and that truth might be behind why the market has been so resilient over the last year. Despite major turmoil in domestic and international politics, stocks have been rock steady and very strong, with many consistently “buying the dip”. Well Barron’s argues the reason for this behavior, and in turn, why the market has done so well, has to do with this concept—that investors have so many gains from past years that they feel like they are “playing with house money”, or that they have little to lose because they are only risking gains.
FINSUM: Evidently, research suggests that people are more likely to take risks with capital they consider “house money” than with their own money, which could explain the almost inexhaustible “buy the dip” mentality.
Some Great New Dividend Stocks
(New York)
The so called Dividend Aristocrats are a select group of companies that have continually raised their dividends for 25 consecutive years. This year, three new companies joined the prestigious club—Praxair, Roper Technologies, and A.O. Smith. They join a list which includes 8 companies which have raised dividends for an eye-watering 54 straight years. Those names include 3M, Coca-Cola, Johnson & Johnson, and Dover. The S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF is up 5.7% this year despite investors generally losing their appetite for dividends.
FINSUM: This group does not get talked about much these days, but what a rock solid pool of solid income stocks for capital preservation and moderate growth.
The Tide is Turning Against Vanguard
(New York)
Vanguard has been leading the race to the bottom in fund fees for years. It has also been immensely successful doing so. Until now, most fund providers had only fought back by cutting their own fees, but now they are getting more defensive. For instance, Fidelity, which is the largest 401(k) manager, will now charge clients an extra 0.05% fee for all funds invested in Vanguard products. Fidelity says that “A small number of fund families have not compensated Fidelity for certain services, and this pricing change is designed to address that disparity with the intention of providing fairness across all of our business relationships … This is about leveling the playing field”.
FINSUM: This is a good way to push back against Vanguard, but considering it is retaliatory, the fee does seem quite minor!