Displaying items by tag: europe
Fed vs ECB Causes Fixed Income Inflows
The Fed had its largest hike in two decades, and the ECB has gone ultra-dovish. This has sent a huge influx of Euro area investors into U.S.-short-durations bond ETFs. Funds like the iShares 3-7yr UCITS ETF had over $600 million in inflows last week. Short-duration corporate debt was also favored by euro area investors. Overall the bond market had seen an exodus in the previous weeks but this confluence of factors has been enough to entice investors. While the Fed has made up its mind they have contributed to inflation, bank heads in Europe are mixed which will leave policy to be accommodative for the near term.
Finsum: The Fed could be over-reacting and Europe could be under-reacting to inflation, but if Europe doesn’t tighten they will find their bond market in a similar position to the US a couple of weeks ago.
Why International Stocks are Jumping
The European Stockxx 600 was up .5% on Friday driven by earning releases in the banking sector. That trend followed around the globe as Asia-Pacific’s Taiex index boosted 2% and Wallstreet’s S&P was up 2%. It was strong financial earnings in U.S., and semiconductors in the East pushing the Taiex. All of this happens as inflations concerns continue in the U.S. as consumer prices rose 5.4% on the year, but the Euro areas are seeing the opposite results as monthly inflation was negative in France. The common price thread is definitely in energy prices as Brent crude hit $84.40 a barrel.
FINSUM: The trickling earning reports have generally exceeded expectations. That trend looks to continue, and global portfolios are not only diverse but are outperforming.
How Regulation is Driving ESG Investment
(New York)
ESG is taking over Europe and PWC is forecasting that ESG could make up €775.7bn to €1.2tn by 2025. That figure would make ESG 27-42% of Europe’s entire private financial market, for context it is about 15% currently. Driving that projection is the EU’s new sustainable finance disclosure regulations. Almost a third of the firms surveyed cited regulation as a primary force pushing their ESG investment. Sustainable investing in Europe is also seeing large growth in a public investments like pension funds. Finally, PwC said they see a new wave of private funds coming in the future rather than a re-rigging of existing financial funds to be more ESG friendly.
FINSUM: Public investment is a critical piece of Europe’s ESG investment, which is why it was very important when the U.S. opened the doors for public sustainability investment recently.
A Big Warning Sign is Flashing in Bonds
(New York)
The bond market seems to have lost all touch with reality. Yields are extremely low, and given the more relaxed inflation reading this month, seem likely to stay pinned. Now consider this: European corporate debt real yields just turned negative. Yes, you are paying for the privilege of holding corporate debt. The ICE BofA index of European high-yield bonds is now at 2.34%, well below inflation.
FINSUM: Is there were ever a sign of a peak, this is it. Bond yields have nowhere to go but up, as there is no defensible logic that they could sustainably move lower. Unfortunately, it seems as though bonds and equity could move hand in hand, as the catalyst for big losses would be the Fed, which would trigger both asset classes.
How to Maximize Your Income Portfolio
(Frankfurt)
Bonds yields have been so far from even survivable for most income investors, but…see the full story on our partner Magnifi’s site.