FINSUM

Have you ever wondered exactly what stocks and bonds make up your mutual fund? While diversification and professional management are huge benefits, you may want a timelier picture of your investments than these vehicles allow. This is where separately managed accounts (SMAs) offer a distinct advantage.

 

Unlike mutual funds, SMAs provide direct ownership of the underlying securities in your portfolio. This transparency lets you see exactly what you're invested in, empowering you to adjust more quickly if desired.

 

For instance, making informed and timely decisions is particularly useful when aligning your values to your portfolio. SMAs, with their immediate transparency and ability to customize holdings, allow for quicker adjustments if needed.

 

On the other hand, mutual funds typically update their holdings lists every quarter, which may be too much of a delay for your liking. And, by the time you see that report, the fund may have already bought or sold securities. With an SMA, you and your advisor have real-time access to your holdings, enabling you to stay on top of your investments and adjust as market conditions or your personal preferences evolve.


Finsum: The timely transparency of separately managed accounts is important to investors seeking to align their portfolio to their values.

 

Many advisors are apprehensive about contemplating a switch to a new firm. They fear the process will be complicated and full of risk. But what if the recruiting process itself could be a valuable source of insight?

 

As the saying goes, "how a person does one thing is how they do all things." This principle often applies to organizations as well. Finding a firm that prioritizes a smooth and transparent transition can be a strong indicator of how they'll be as a partner in the future.

 

A transparent and efficient onboarding experience demonstrates the firm's respect for your time and commitment to setting you up for success. Transparency throughout the process also demonstrates the firm's commitment to open communication, a cornerstone of any successful long-term relationship.

 

Don't let the fear of a complex transition process hold you back from exploring new opportunities. Use the recruiting process as an opportunity to gain valuable insights into the organization's culture and working style. By prioritizing transparency and ease of interaction, you can find a firm that truly values you and sets you up for a thriving long-term partnership.


Finsum: Financial advisors searching for a new firm can use the recruiting process to gain key insight into how the firm truly operates.

 

BlackRock (BLK) has unveiled plans to acquire SpiderRock, a prominent provider of technological solutions tailored for financial institutions. This acquisition is set to bolster BlackRock's Aladdin platform, a key player in the world of separately managed accounts (SMAs). 

 

By integrating SpiderRock's state-of-the-art technology into Aladdin, BlackRock aims to enhance its SMA capabilities, particularly in risk management and trading strategies. According to Cerulli Associates, SMAs are projected to see their assets under management surge to $4 trillion by 2026 from $2.7 trillion, driven primarily by heightened client demand for personalized portfolios offering tax advantages. This strategic move underscores BlackRock's commitment to leveraging advanced analytics within the management sector, enabling clients to optimize operations and mitigate risks more effectively. 

 

Through this acquisition, BlackRock is poised to pioneer innovative SMA solutions, driving efficiency and productivity across operations and meeting the demand for tax optimization. This development signals a significant step forward in BlackRock's journey toward becoming a leader in SMA, offering tailored solutions to address the evolving needs of investors and wealth managers worldwide.


Finsum: SMAs are fighting atop the industry with model portfolios to be the customized solution. 

Lincoln Financial Group unveils the 1 Year S&P 500® Dual Trigger (Dual Trigger) account option for its fixed indexed annuities, offering growth potential in all market conditions with 100% downside protection. 

 

Consumer concerns about inflation, investment losses, and market volatility have driven demand for such products, with 61% of consumers seeking investments balancing growth and protection. With industry projections expecting fixed indexed annuity sales to reach nearly $100 billion in 2025, Lincoln Financials’ enhancements aim to simplify strategies, providing growth opportunities while safeguarding against volatility. 

 

Additionally, Lincoln introduces the 1 Year S&P 500® 10% Daily Risk Control Trigger for its OptiBlend® fixed indexed annuity, offering potential for higher trigger crediting rates in certain markets. With a commitment to helping investors protect their savings, Lincoln Financial expands its annuity product portfolio to offer clients more choices for building wealth and confidence in retirement, working with over 22,000 financial professionals in 2023 to provide new annuity contracts.


Finsum: The recent uptick in annuity products appears to be driven by demographic shifts and boosted demand. 

Tuesday, 19 March 2024 07:08

Is Money Moving from Gold into Bitcoin?

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Many have speculated that one of the catalysts for the rally in bitcoin is due to precious metals investors shifting allocations. Both assets offer protection against inflation and appeal to investors concerned about long-term monetary and economic instability. Gold and bitcoin have also enjoyed strong performances in recent months and are trading at or close to all-time highs.

However, this conjecture is not correct, according to JPMorgan. It doesn’t see outflows from gold ETFs into bitcoin ETFs. Instead, the bank notes that institutional investors, retail investors, and hedge funds have been buyers of futures of both assets since February. Since February, about $7 billion of bitcoin and $30 billion of gold futures have been bought. It also notes that both assets are extended over a short-term timeframe, leading to the risk of a pullback.

JPMorgan also believes that MicroStrategy’s recent purchase of $1 billion in bitcoin in 2024, in addition to its $1 billion purchase in Q4 of last year, has also contributed to upward pressure for bitcoin. According to the bank, this does lead to more risk in crypto as “bitcoin purchases by MicroStrategy add leverage and froth to the current crypto rally and raise the risk of more severe deleveraging in a potential downturn in the future.”


Finsum: Many believe that one of the catalysts for the rally in bitcoin is that precious metals investors are shifting allocations. However, this is not correct, according to JPMorgan. 

Last month, Innovator launched the Innovator Nasdaq 100 Managed Floor ETF (QFLR). The ETF is designed to offer investors exposure to the performance of the Nasdaq 100 while capping losses at 10% over a 12-month period with an expense ratio of 0.89%.

Innovator achieves this by using a laddered put option strategy managed by Parametric, a Morgan Stanley affiliate, in concert with investing in the securities held by the Nasdaq 100. With these put options, the fund hedges against downside risk while reducing volatility in exchange for upside performance. 

According to Graham Day, Chief Investment Officer at Innovator, “Historically, in positive years, the Nasdaq-100 has averaged returns of 29%, but in negative years it has averaged losses of -30%. Most investors are unable to stomach this type of volatility, and QFLR is a solution to allow investors to remain fully invested in the Nasdaq-100 with built-in risk management.” 

2022 and 2023 illustrate the value of QFLR as double-digit losses in the Nasdaq led many investors to reduce equity exposure and miss out on the big rally in the following year. Previously, Innovator launched the Innovator Equity Managed Floor ETF, which has $132 million in assets. The fund tracks an index of large-cap US stocks and limits losses to 10%. According to Innovator, it essentially captures about 80% of upside while limiting volatility to 70%. In the press release for QFLR, SFLR investors saw about 80% of the equity portfolio’s upside but only 70% of the volatility.


 

Finsum: The private credit market has boomed over the last couple of years due to anemic public markets and hesitant banks. Now, banks are once again competing for business and offering more favorable terms.

As interest rates remain higher for longer, borrowers are increasingly turning to an alternative source of funding: private credit. These arrangements benefit both sides of the transaction; lenders receive higher returns than traditional loans, and their clients get a source of financing with the flexibility to meet their unique needs.

 

With alternative asset managers packaging their private credit investments to accommodate smaller account sizes, this asset class is showing up more in investors' portfolios.

 

This product proliferation gives investors key advantages that are hard to find elsewhere. Private credit typically has a low correlation to stocks and bonds, which are often the mainstay of an investor's portfolio. It also provides an opportunity for higher returns than more traditional debt instruments.

 

Private credit's advantages, diversification and higher returns, come at a cost. These funds can be less liquid than traditional investments, and the return, as with most investments, is not guaranteed.

 

However, private credit may be an asset class to consider for investors with a time horizon that allows them to put a portion of their account in less liquid investments and who desire a chance at higher returns.


Finsum: Read how private credit offers investors the opportunity for greater diversification and higher returns than more traditional forms of debt investments.

 

2024 has seen the stock market make 17 closing, all-time highs. Despite this strength, many are noting some reasons to be cautious about equities due to some concerning developments under the surface.

 

In essence, the strong performance of the indexes and mega-cap technology stocks is masking hidden weakness. This is reflected in the Dow Jones Transportation Average failing to confirm the new highs of the Dow Jones Industrial Average which is a ‘non-conformation’ according to Dow Theory. Dow Theory warns that a new high by the Industrials but not by transportation stocks is prone to failure. Similarly, riskier parts of the market like high-yield bonds and high-beta stocks are also underperforming Treasuries and low volatility stocks, respectively. 

 

The leader of this bull market has been technology due to excitement around AI and strong earnings growth from leading tech companies. However, there are signs of exhaustion as the relative ratio of the S&P 500 tech sector has failed to confirm the breakout in the S&P 500. According to David Rosenberg, the founder and President of Rosenberg Research, “These were the most important stocks for the market, and no longer look to be in control.” He believes that the longer these measures fail to confirm the new highs in the S&P 500, the larger the risk of a reversal. 


Finsum: 2024 has been a strong year for the stock market with the S&P 500 making new highs. Yet, there are some signs that the rally may be nearing exhaustion. 

 

Category: Eq: Total Market 

Keywords: #S&P 500; #bull market; #tech; #equities; #risk; 

Diamond Consultants recently completed the 2023 version of its Advisor Transition Report to identify the most important trends in financial advisor recruiting. Overall, recruiting was up 7.5% compared to 2022 which was unexpected given several headwinds. Many advisors who switched reported being more focused on the long-term to find the best place to maximize the value of their practice on a 5 to 20 year horizon.

 

Another interesting finding is that each channel seems to have a big winner. LPL enjoyed the most success from independent firms, while Morgan Stanley was the winner from traditional wirehouses. Boutique and regional firms like Rockefeller, RBC, or Raymond James also notched some major wins as they offer many of the resources of the large wirehouses without the bureaucracy. 

One catalyst for the increase in recruiting activity has been the expected involvement of private equity bidders. Yet, this hasn’t materialized in terms of PE-backed RIAs poaching talent from legacy players. One factor is that PE offers come with some caveats that make it less appealing to advisors. 

Finally, the lure of the independent channel seems to be fading despite the number of options increasing. This is likely due to traditional firms offering more generous compensation packages while the initial cohort of recruitees who wanted an independent channel have already moved firms. 


 

Finsum: Diamond Consultants put together its 2023 report on advisor transitions. Major takeaways are that recruiting remained strong despite some major headwinds and that PE buyers haven’t been successful in luring advisors. 

Friday, 15 March 2024 04:08

Gasoline Prices Expected to Rise

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Lower energy prices have provided some relief for consumers over the last few months. However, this could be changing with demand set to increase as we enter the start of driving season which is due to be exacerbated by refinery outages in many parts of the country.

 

Over the last month, gasoline prices are about 5% higher but still slightly down relative to last year at this point. Higher energy prices negatively impact consumer confidence and discretionary spending but also feed into inflationary pressures. In last month’s CPI report, higher energy prices was a major factor in the hotter than expected readings. Additionally, they have political implications given elections in November.

 

According to analysts, the situation is likely to get worse before its gets better. Gasoline inventories are lower than normal, following a 5.7 million barrels decline last week, and are now 3% below their average levels for this time of the year. Inventories could continue to be drained as refineries have been running below 87% capacity for the last 8 weeks. Adding to these issues is recent drone strikes on Russian refineries by Ukraine.


Finsum: Gasoline prices have been rising due to refinery issues. The situation is likely to get worse before it gets better as we enter summer driving season, and inventories have been drawn down more than expected. 

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