FINSUM
(New York)
Retirement costs are a major pitfall for advisors, if only because clients generally underestimate them! Nowhere is this more true than in regards to healthcare. Since healthcare costs tend to increasing very significantly as one ages, it is difficult for the average person to understand just how costly medical expenses can become when they get older. To make things more complicated, the situation is highly variable for each person. For example, in a married couple, do they enroll in Medicare at the same time or are they of different ages; does one spouse still work full-time and give healthcare access to other? There are also several financial products which can help in supporting these costs, such as HSAs and annuities, both of which can help offset the inevitable costs that arise even when covered by Medicare.
FINSUM: Retirement healthcare costs need to be a critical of advisors because they are generally poorly planned for by clients’ themselves.
(New York)
The bond market has had a good year. For the last several months, yields have been falling and corporate bonds have seen big gains this year thanks to better earnings and ratings upgrades. Munis have been a big success too. But one area has been even hotter: ESG bonds, which have will see over $1 tn of issuance this year. To put that in perspective, it would be more than double what was issued in 2020. JP Morgan explained the big surge in ESG best, with their head of ESG debt capital markets saying “What began with ‘why should I issue?’ is now ‘why aren’t you? … your absence in the market says something now”.
FINSUM: ESG is fully mainstream now and seems to be gathering more and more assets/issuance. What will this do to issuance in clear non-ESG sectors?
(New York)
If advisors ever feel like hold their fates in the palms of their hands, they’d be right. At this very moment, a big change is looming for all brokers. In the near future, industry lawyers are expecting that SEC chief Gary Gensler will announce a definition of “best interest” within Reg BI. Previously, the thinking had been that defining the rule might actually make it easier to get around, but the emerging industry view is that defining it would indeed make the rule look much tougher.
FINSUM: A definition of “best interest” seems like a foregone conclusion to us at this point. The main question is when, and how restrictive is the verbiage.
(New York)
The bond market is in an odd place right now. For the first part of the year, yields jumped on the threat of inflation. Then in the middle of Spring, those fears started to wane and yields started to fall. Other than a quick reversal of direction off a hot June inflation reading, that has been the trend all summer. However, the whole market looks very vulnerable to a change in sentiment. If inflation comes in warm again for July—especially coupled with some very good jobs numbers—the overall economic picture might move back to bullish, which could swing yields rapidly back in the direction they were headed in Q1.
FINSUM: Essentially this market could quickly realized it mispriced the direction of the economy, so there is a lot of risk for advisors and their clients. Nasdaq and Fidelity are having an interesting webinar on how to plan for this risk. Check it out here.
(Washington)
When trying to discern the next steps for big regulations like Reg BI and the Fiduciary Rule, the best place to look is the revolving door between top industry law firms and US regulatory offices. And that revolving door is sending very scary messages for advisors. Take for instance these comments from Joshua Lichtenstein, an ERISA and benefits partner at Ropes & Gray LLP's ERISA fiduciary practice: "There are a lot of career people at the DOL still working there and it's not clear to me that their views would have necessarily changed just because of the 5th Circuit's action … So I am expecting to see a pretty fulsome rewrite of the definition of who is a fiduciary”.
FINSUM: The bottom line here is simple. A lot of the same people that wrote and pushed the Obama era fiduciary rule are still at the DOL and are once again empowered under Biden. Why would anything change from their 2017 effort?
(New York)
Munis have had a great year. Ever since Biden’s election, munis have surged in value because of two core assumptions. The first, and by far the biggest, is that taxes were likely to rise with Democrats in power. The second is that the Democrats would be more financially supportive of states and local governments. In the immortal words of Lee Corso, we’re here to say “not so fast!”. The assumption that taxes are going to rise looks weaker and weaker, and the same goes for the financial support for states.
FINSUM: The Democrats were not able to force through tax rises alongside this major infrastructure package, and their chances of getting any tax hikes through before the midterm elections looks poor.
(New York)
The annuities market has not been known for a great deal of innovation. But just like the industry’s reputation, things are improving dramatically. Entrepreneur.com has put out their new annuity awards and the best newcomer award goes to Brighthouse Financial. In just four years the innovative new annuities provider has gone from inception to a multi-billion Dollar annuities seller each quarter. It’s easy to see why. At the heart of their lineup are their FlexChoice Access and Shield products. FlexChoice Access is part of Brighthouse’s variable annuities suite while Shield is an index-linked annuity.
FINSUM: Brighthouse is really changing the game with its new products. For instance, Shield has no annual fees, has guaranteed income, and still offers upside tied to market indices.
n.b. This is sponsored content and not FINSUM editorial
(Washington)
This whole year it is has been assumed—almost as an unquestioned default—that taxes would rise under the Biden administration. For example, munis have surged in value on this expectation. However, that assumption seems to have gotten well ahead of itself as new developments suggest tax changes may be a way off yet. The big change is that the infrastructure package is coming up for a vote—potentially this week—and the deal which has materialized between the parties has no tax rises whatsoever in it. That means Biden’s plan to hitch tax rises to increased infrastructure expenditure have fallen through, at least for the time being.
FINSUM: So if this plan gets approved without any tax changes—which looks quite likely—it seems clear that clients will escape 2021 without any major changes to federal taxes (including long-term capital gains taxes). Therefore, any planning should take account of the fact that 2021 may be much more advantageous than 2022.
(New York)
If you listen to the industry chatter, it appears Gary Gensler, Biden’s head of the SEC, may be poised to define “best interest” as part of the SEC’s Regulation Best Interest. If advisors recall, when the BI rule was first proposed the main criticism was that they did not define the term “best interest”. Many thought this would allow loopholes, while the SEC said it would make enforcement stronger because by defining a term, it actually creates ways around it. According to Blaine Aikin, from Broadridge, “I think there’s an appetite for the Biden administration … We’ve had certain calls from many different audiences: ‘Wouldn’t it have been better if the SEC had actually defined best interest?”. Aikin added that he believes there is “huge collaboration” going on between the SEC and DOL on the topic of Reg BI and Fiduciary Rule synergy.
FINSUM: The big question here is whether a definition of the term will somehow change enforcement in some way. It seems a toss-up as to whether the definition creates loopholes or weakens them, but for the average advisor enforcement makes all the difference.
(New York)
You may not be paying much attention to it, but the last month has been very good for investment grade bonds. The reason why is that ratings agencies are in the midst of a massive wave of upgrades to companies that got downgraded at the start of COVID. This has sent demand for debt soaring as companies re-enter the investment grade market. For example, just in the week ending July 16th alone, the iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD) pulled in $1.1bn in inflows. According to a credit strategist at Citi, “It’s like something that I have not seen in my time [in the industry] … After the financial crisis we didn’t get major companies moving back to investment grade so quickly”.
FINSUM: This is the early innings of yet another corporate bond bull run. Only credit specialists have mostly paid attention to this point, but investment grade bonds seem a good choice given the credit rating tailwind.