FINSUM
According to Daniil Shapiro of Cerulli Associates, there is a major product development opportunity for active fixed income ETFs in the coming years. A variety of factors are behind this segment’s growing popularity including the increasing acceptance of the ETF structure, growth of advisors who are comfortable with fixed income ETFs, and rising rates which lead to increased structural demand for fixed income products.
The report was compiled by Cerulli Associates based on polling of financial advisors and was covered by Kathie O’Donnel in an article on Pensions & Investment.
The major takeaway is that use of fixed income ETFs by advisors is rapidly growing with 70% reporting use in 2022, up from 63% in 2021. Most ETF issuers pointed to greater advisor acceptance of the product and institutional demand as drivers of the ETF market. Among issuers, 66% see fixed income as their primary focus which exceeded equities at 57%.
Overall, this survey reveals that there continues to be opportunity for ETF issuers in the active fixed income space, given rising demand. While there are plenty of options in passive fixed income, there are relatively less active options.
Finsum: The fixed income ETF category is rapidly expanding. Within the space, passive is saturated but plenty of opportunity remain for active managers especially given expectations of rising demand in the coming years.
You’re unlikely to see fresh faces among fintech firms.
People person? Bummer, huh?
In any event, according to a major new report, according to a new report Exploring Fintech in 2023 by Erlang Solutions, driven by the tumultuous economic climate, for the year, half of all fintech firms have nipped hiring in the bud, reported yahoo.com.
Among a number of fintech employees, the first half of last year didn’t exactly smack of a Hallmark moment. From mortgage lenders to firms processing digital payments, across 45 companies, more than 4,000 saw their roles go down the drain.
Chomping at the bit to expand and fueled by factors like low interest rates, during the dawn of the pandemic, Fintechs flourished, according to Bloomberg.com. Since then, a plummet in earnings and slumping shares fueled a drop in earnings among firms.
“After several years of sky-high venture funding and more unicorn valuations than you can count on one hand, a lot of fintechs are being forced to mature and streamline more rapidly than they planned to, and job cuts are a quick way to do so,” said Charlotte Principato, financial services analyst at Morning Consult. “This was bound to happen at some point.”
In recent years, third party model portfolios, of course, have experienced stunning growth, according to wisdomtree.com.
But – and isn’t there often one? – their ability to leverage the models in their practice have been questioned by advisors.
Tapping into insights complied from the WisdomTree Third-Party Model Portfolios Research Study, concerns among advisors include wondering which of their clients are a good fit for third-party models.
An idea: kick things off with clientele who especially take to third party models.
By tapping model portfolios, advisors can expend more time on activities that involve direct interaction with clients, according to ssga.com. It goes a long way toward bucking up their satisfaction and “wallet share growth.”
The management of portfolios, a gaggle of advisors continue to believe, is at the core of their value. Then there’s the cold reality: the upside of specialized expertise is burgeoning among individual investors. In dispensing comprehensive advice, it’s paramount for advisors to maintain a degree of knowledge across a range of topics. That impacts the time they can invest in activities revolving around the portfolio.
According to an article by Todd Rosenblum of ETFTrends, a survey of financial advisors revealed that 68% of financial advisors gain fixed income exposure for clients through bond mutual funds, followed by bond ETFs at 61% and individual bonds at 58%.
Yet, the category continues to grow at an impressive rate with about $45 billion of inflows into US-listed bond ETFs. In total, bond ETFs have $1.3 trillion in assets which comprises 20% of the overall base, indicating more room for growth.
Some of the major advantages of bond funds such as ETFs or mutual funds are increased diversification and opportunities to enhance returns which can’t be found when buying individual bonds.
Bond funds can even be bought with a specific maturity date when your client may have a need for liquidity. It also avoids the risk of a credit downgrade or default which is elevated in an individual security. Another is that bond ETFs are much more liquid and with tighter spreads than individual bonds. Additionally, many of the most liquid and popular fixed income ETFs invest in hundreds of bonds issued by high-quality companies.
Finsum: Fixed income ETFs are a fast growing category but still trail behind fixed income mutual funds in terms of popularity with advisors. However, it does offer major benefits compared to investing in individual bonds.
Regulators are looking to get more aggressive about enforcement of Regulation Best Interest (Reg BI) which was passed in 2020. Regulators are particularly focused on sales practices to ensure that fiduciary standards are followed according to a Thomson Reuters article by Richard Satran.
Reg BI mandates that recommendations are offered with impartial advice and explanation of alternatives, including to competing firms. Along with the SEC, Reg BI has also been adopted by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA).
One challenge for firms and regulators is that automated monitoring of transactions to ensure compliance is lacking. According to Parham Nasseri, VP in product and regulatory strategy at compliance software developer InvestorCOM, Inc: “Putting the risk assessments into a surveillance system for Reg BI compliance involves significantly more challenges than the kind of monitoring that systems have done in the past.”
New elements to monitor include conflicts of interest, customer profiles, costs, alternative investments, and other client-specific factors. Along with the technological challenges, firms will have to comply with new exam requirements to comply with new sales practice rules.
Finsum: Reg BI was passed in 2020 but regulators were slow to begin aggressive enforcement given the pandemic. This is changing and firms will be forced to rapidly update sales practices, training, and monitoring.
While the entire real estate market is struggling amid a backdrop of rising rates, stubbornly high inflation, and a banking crisis, there is no area feeling more pain than commercial real estate (CRE). This segment never fully recovered from the pandemic as many businesses and employees seem to have permanently adopted a remote or hybrid work scheme.
Thus, commercial real estate was already struggling before the past year when these pains intensified due to a slowing economy and a hawkish Fed. However, some Wall Street analysts are seeing a contrarian opportunity in the sector despite these headwinds according to an article by Phillip van Doorn of Marketwatch.
Overall, the analyst community remains negative on the sector especially among office buildings. According to Adam Posen, President of the Peteron Institute for International Economics, office occupancy remains 30 to 40% lower than from before the pandemic. Many REITs with exposure to office buildings have already endured severe corrections.
Another risk is the potential of spillover pain into the financial system given that there is about $400 billion of annual CRE loan maturities. Current models estimate losses in the range of 1 to 3%.
Despite these headwinds, analysts see opportunities in the REITs with top-quartile properties and successful management teams.
Finsum: The weakest part of the real estate market is commercial real estate. It was already struggling due to the increase in remote and hybrid work, but these pains have been compounded by rising rates and a slowing economy.
It’s not surprising that real estate investment trusts (REITs) have endured a brutal bear market given the combination of rising rates and recent bank failures which have led to tighter credit conditions. In a recent Benzinga article, Kevin Vandenboss discusses why private real estate has performed much better.
As a result, the Real Estate Select SPDR Fund (NYSE: XLRE) is down 28.7% from its 2021 high, while the S&P 500 is down 19.6%. This underperformance has intensified in the past month with the Real Estate Select SPDR Fund down 5.2%, while the S&P 500 is up 1.4%.
Interestingly, private real estate has performed substantially better with many investments continuing to deliver positive returns. One factor is the reduced use of leverage which leads to more resilience during downturns. Another is being removed from the pressures of public markets and quarterly results often leads to better decision making.
Therefore, investors, who are interested in real estate, should consider this asset class as it can generate positive returns even during periods of poor stock market performance unlike REITs. Private real estate funds are able to focus on particular segments which remain in growth mode even amid adverse economic and financial conditions.
Finsum: REITs are mired in a bear market and their performance has worsened amid recent bank failures and the Fed’s hawkish policy. Yet, private real estate has outperformed and continues to deliver positive returns.
Given increasing volatility in financial markets, it’s not surprising that many investors are feeling nervous. According to Corebridge President Bryan Pinsky, annuities are one option for investors to reduce the volatility in their portfolios and prevent them from making rash decisions. His perspective was shared in an article by Allison Bell for ThinkAdvisor.
Corebridge Financial is ranked third in terms of individual annuity sales at $20 billion and was previously known as AIG Life & Retirement. He believes that negative emotions during volatile markets often lead investors to sell low and buy high.
In terms of his thoughts on the current market, he said that the doubling in the yield of the 10-year Treasury note in 2022 was historically unprecedented. It’s also resulted in annuities paying out higher rates which has led to a surge in demand for these products.
He says that the elevated market volatility since the end of 2021 have validated the use case for annuities. He also doesn’t believe it’s too late to seek downside protection and that annuities can be an integral part of any retirement portfolio with recommended allocations between 10% and 30%.
Finsum: According to Corebridge’s Bryan Pinsky, market volatility has proven why annuities are an essential part of any investors’ financial plan. Additionally, he believes that buying conditions for annuities remain attractive.
Until recently, customized portfolios were only available to high net worth individuals. But, this is now changing due to the advent of direct indexing which is giving these tools to a much wider swathe of investors according to an article from Michelle Lodge.
Direct indexing allows investors to have more control over their money while still allowing them to benefit from the positives of indexing such as diversification, tax efficiency, and low costs. This will allow their investments to better reflect their life situations, values, and convictions.
It’s particularly useful for those with outsized exposure to a company or an industry or those with a large base of taxable assets. For instance, a tech employee with a large number of shares and stock options could use direct indexing to purchase the S&P 500 but reduce exposure to technology stocks.
According to BlackDiamond Wealth CIO Ken Nutall, “We have two main use cases: clients who have an old portfolio of appreciated assets but want to migrate to another strategy of tax efficiently, or [those who] work at a bank and don’t want any more bank exposure in their portfolio.”
Finsum: Direct indexing is one of the fastest growing areas of wealth management. It gives investors the benefits of index investing, while allowing customization to help clients achieve their financial goals..
Over the last two months, there has been a 15% increase in the asset base of biodiversity funds according to an article by Natasha White of Bloomberg. This is a relatively new segment of the ESG market which saw a 150% increase in the number of funds last year.
Overall, biodiversity is a fraction of the overall ESG market with combined assets of $2.9 billion. To compare, the overall ESG market is estimated to have $41 trillion in assets. The largest biodiversity funds are from Northern Trust, Axa Investment Managers, and Lombard Odier. All three are based in Europe, where there is a more defined regulatory environment.
One catalyst for the asset class was the agreement at the COP15 summit in December of last year, where the Global Biodiversity Framework was signed by nearly 200 nations, with the intent to mobilize $200 billion annually to preserve and maintain biodiversity.
A challenge for the nascent fund class is the lack of standardized data on biodiversity which means there is disagreement on best practices and assessing impact. A larger issue is that many experts believe that the tradeoff between earning financial returns and maximizing biodiversity is too steep and thus can only be attained through public policy.
Finsum: Biodiversity funds have seen a 15% increase in assets over the last two months and a sharp boom in formation over the last couple of years. While there is agreement on the importance of preserving biodiversity, there are doubts whether it can be attained while generating positive returns for investors.