Displaying items by tag: manufacturing

(Beijing)

The United State’s trade war with China shifted lots of manufacturing…see the full story on our partner Magnifi’s site

Published in Eq: Asia

(Beijing)

China saw a rise in both imports and exports that outpaced…see the full story on our partner Magnifi’s site

Published in Eq: Asia

(New York)

The New York Times has published an interesting piece this week which argues that markets and investors are ignoring an ugly and disastrous reality: that the economy is suffering a huge and largely unprecedented collapse in demand. New data out of Europe and Japan, as well as US manufacturing demand, this week showed that demand fell sharply in May, a sharp contrast to the employment jump. The NYT argues that this systemic fall in demand will take time to play out, but that the huge decline in employment and change in behaviors will cause a rupture in demand that will play out over years.


FINSUM: The NYT piece is very bearish. We held off on covering it until new data was released overnight showing a big fall in demand.

Published in Eq: Total Market
Monday, 06 January 2020 11:25

The Economy Just Sent a Surprising Warning Sign

(New York)

All the worries about the economy seem so 2019 now, right? Wrong. A big new warning sign just came out of that all important sector that we love to worry about—manufacturing. New data shows the US manufacturing sector is in its worst shape since 2009, according to the ISM. The sector only accounts for 10% of the economy, but it has been suffering mightily as Trump has ratcheted up the trade war.


FINSUM: So the question is whether this weakness is just because of the trade war or whether it signals something more broad. We think it is primarily trade-driven. As a consolation, garbage stocks have usually done very well when manufacturing is weak, according to Barron’s.

Published in Eq: Total Market
Monday, 21 October 2019 10:50

The Global Recession Has Just Begun

(Berlin)

In what comes as a very worrying sign for the global economy, one of the world’s largest economies has just gone into a recession. Germany now appears to be in an economic downturn says the country’s central bank. The Bunbesbank says Germany just shrank for the second consecutive three-month period, meaning it is officially in a recession. The decline in economic output has been led by a strong weakening in the manufacturing sector, but the labor market is still hanging on. This is Germany’s first recession in six years.


FINSUM: Germany is the world’s fourth largest economy. How long until the gloom spreads?

Published in Eq: Total Market
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