Displaying items by tag: Growth
Private Credit Trending to $30 Trillion According to Blackstone
Blackstone Inc. predicts the private credit market could expand to $30 trillion, driven by infrastructure financing and pensions. Currently, private debt stands at $1.7 trillion, primarily funding private equity, but Rob Horn, global head of infrastructure and asset-based credit at Blackstone, views this as just a fraction of the opportunity.
Private lenders are expected to take market share from banks, which now dominate the asset-based credit sector, with Blackstone focusing on areas like energy transition, digital infrastructure, and real estate.
Pension and sovereign wealth funds are also taking notice, potentially increasing their private debt allocations. Blackstone expects significant future growth in sectors like data centers, where investments could top $1 trillion over five years.
Finsum: While private equity has struggled to secure its footing in the same way private debt has, this expansion looks very stable.
PE is Shifting Strategies
Private equity giants are increasingly turning to hands-on management of the companies they own as financial strategies alone are no longer sufficient. With rising interest rates and a slowdown in the deals market, firms like Goldman Sachs and Blackstone are bringing in seasoned industry veterans to boost operational performance.
This shift focuses on enhancing profitability through measures like improving margins and increasing cash flow, rather than relying on the traditional method of multiple expansion.
Private equity firms are also extending the holding periods of their investments, driven by the need to deliver returns to investors amidst a tougher economic climate. Companies are placing a stronger emphasis on building long-term strategic growth plans.
Finsum: As interest rates and inflation rise, private equity is evolving to emphasize deeper involvement in company operations rather than relying solely on financial solutions.
Goldman Releases Target Asset Allocations
While stock selection often gets the most attention, the true driver of portfolio performance is typically asset allocation, with around 90% of variability linked to how investments are distributed across asset classes. Different asset classes perform well under different economic conditions—stocks might excel in growth periods, while bonds provide stability during downturns.
Goldman Sachs has analyzed various economic scenarios to suggest optimal asset mixes for maximizing risk-adjusted returns over the next decade. For sluggish growth or stagflation, they recommend a heavier allocation to Treasury bonds and real assets, while minimizing exposure to growth stocks.
In a scenario of strong growth and low inflation, the maximum allocation to stocks should still be capped around 70%. Ultimately, a diversified mix, including US Treasuries, remains crucial regardless of the economic outlook.
Finsum: Keep in mind the relative risk profiles of these asset classes when constructing your portfolio.
Citizen Bolsters Wealth Management Recruiting
Citizens Financial Group is recruiting wealth advisors from larger firms, prioritizing advisors' character and commitment to client service over their previous affiliations. Thomas Metzger, the firm's senior vice president of private wealth management, has led this effort, bringing in significant teams from JPMorgan.
These recruits include a 12-person team from San Francisco with over $5 billion in assets and a four-person team from Boston with about $1 billion in assets, both previously from First Republic Bank. The collapse of First Republic and Silicon Valley Bank in early 2023 created opportunities for Citizens to expand its wealth management operations rapidly.
Citizens has opened new private wealth offices in major locations and aims to offer comprehensive, integrated services under one roof to minimize frustration points advisors face at larger firms. The bank plans to continue its growth by adding more advisor teams throughout the year.
Finsum: Firms are capitalizing on last years financial turmoil and its might be time to take advantage as well.
The Best Low-Cost Growth ETFs
ETF costs have fallen precipitously over the last decade but finding growth-oriented options can be a small challenge. Investing $3,000 evenly across these ETFs incurs just $12 in annual fees, making it a cost-effective strategy. All three ETFs have outperformed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite in 2024, suggesting they have more growth potential.
- The Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth ETF (VONG) tracks top growth stocks from the Russell 1000 index, boasting significant exposure to tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia, and offers a low expense ratio of 0.08%.
- The Roundhill Generative AI & Technology ETF (CHAT) targets the burgeoning generative AI market, with holdings including Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet, and has seen a 22% rise year-to-date with an expense ratio of 0.75%.
- The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) provides broad exposure to the semiconductor industry, including companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and ASML, with a low expense ratio of 0.35%.
Finsum: Technology seems to have sustained the high interest rate below and could be poised to turn around!