(New York)

All the press is on the growth of ETFs, but today some surprise data has come out—mutual fund inflows are outpacing ETFs this year, at least according to Pershing. So far this year mutual funds on Pershing’s platform have seen about $8 bn of inflows, while ETFs have seen just over $6 bn. The explanation for the trend, according to BNY Mellon Pershing is that “As advisors look to diversify their investment strategies to actively manage against emerging risks in the market, we are starting to see mutual fund inflows close the gap with ETFs”.

FINSUM: Active management and once-a-day liquidity do seem to give mutual funds an advantage in the risk avoidance department.

(New York)

Investors hang onto your hats, a big fixed income rout might be coming. While it was easy to write Italy’s big bond losses off to its recent political crisis, the Wall Street Journal is arguing that all risky bonds may be in for a reckoning. There are a couple reasons. One is that just as in Italy’s two-year bond, many fixed income securities may hit a “double bottom”, which could lead to serious losses. But more fundamentally, many investors are now starting to view bonds higher up the quality spectrum more favorably, which means the market may suffer a significant “risk-off” period. Global high-yield bonds are down almost 4% already this year.

FINSUM: Our bigger worry than the points mentioned here is that as safer bonds start to get better yields from rising rates, there is less and less incentive to buy junk. That is a major change from the paradigm of the last few years.

(New York)

One of the things the growing ETF markets lacks is many options regarding private equity, and with good reason. The returns of the sector are hard to reproduce with publicly traded stocks. But getting private equity returns can be difficult to attain anyway because of the challenges of investing in the sector, especially for investors who are not at the wealthiest end of the spectrum. However, there are two newish ETFs on the market, BUYN and BUY, which use an investing methodology developed at Harvard to try to replicate the returns of the private equity sector. The provider is SummerHaven, who comments about their funds that “We believe that these ETFs based on our private equity strategy indexes will provide investors with an opportunity to access returns comparable to an asset class that has traditionally only been available through private markets, with the added benefit of liquidity and transparent and without lockups, vintage risk, investment minimums or takeover premiums. These ETFs will allow both retail and institutional investors an opportunity to access private equity strategy returns at substantially lower fees”.

FINSUM: On paper these sound like an interesting option, but only time will tell if the strategy actually achieves what it says. The ETFs are especially unproven because the Harvard paper which underpins the strategy was only published last year.

(New York)

Don’t worry, this is a not a story about DOL rule resurrection. The rule remains all-but-dead. This article is about how despite the rule being effectively gone, it has succeeded in completely changing the industry. The famed Michael Kitces summarized the DOL rule’s effect this way, saying “The DOL fiduciary rule really made the discussion of fiduciary for consumers mainstream … You can’t un-ring that bell”. Barron’s focuses on the material changes to offerings in their view, saying “The short-lived standard spurred the industry to lower fees, and prompted brokerages to prune their product lineups and remove conflicts of interest from their compensation structures. These changes are expected to outlive the rule”.

FINSUM: The DOL rule may be gone, but it will certainly never be forgotten.

(New York)

Are you on the look out for income stocks? While their position in one’s portfolio is changing given rising rates, good income stocks, especially safe ones, are always of value. The S&P 500 is currently only yielding about 2%, which is now less than two-year Treasuries. However, one can find very strong stocks with 3-4% yields. Those include Target and Qualcomm, the latter of which is yielding 4.2% and is a very well-covered stock. Also check out Seagate, CenturyLink, Pitney Bowes, and Navient.

FINSUM: These picks come from what seems to be a very diligent dividend-focused manager that was recently profiled in Barron’s. Our big question is how much dividend stocks might suffer in a rising rate period.