Displaying items by tag: volatility

The most successful macro investors don’t rely on predictions, they rely on true diversification. Rather than attempting to forecast markets, they construct portfolios of uncorrelated or negatively correlated assets that improve returns without adding risk. 

When multiple asset classes move independently, investors can use modest leverage to amplify gains while maintaining controlled volatility. This approach allows a portfolio with the same 5% volatility to generate higher expected returns simply by expanding exposure across uncorrelated assets. 

However, the strategy requires vigilance, as correlations can shift suddenly, undermining diversification’s benefits. 

Finsum: The foundation of long-term macro success lies in true diversification, careful leverage, and disciplined risk management.

While standard ETFs are built for long-term investors, more complex products like leveraged, inverse, and synthetic ETFs are designed for short-term or specialized strategies and carry higher risks. Leveraged ETFs amplify daily index returns, but compounding effects mean they often underperform over longer periods, making them unsuitable for buy-and-hold investors. 

Inverse ETFs, by contrast, rise when their benchmark falls and are typically used as temporary hedges against downturns rather than core holdings.

Synthetic ETFs take a different approach by using swap agreements with banks to replicate index performance instead of directly owning the securities, which reduces tracking error but introduces counterparty risk. These advanced products can be useful in the right hands, yet they require a clear understanding of their mechanics and limitations. 

Finsum: These tools can be tactical moves, not long-term wealth building, but serve short term client desires.

Derivative income ETFs, built around covered call strategies, have surged in popularity as investors seek higher yields. These funds generate income by selling call options on stocks or indexes, with the trade-off being limited upside potential during strong market rallies. 

Yields can vary widely depending on how aggressively options are written, with higher payouts often signaling greater risk. The largest products in this space track benchmarks like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, though smaller providers have introduced sector and single-stock versions. 

While income potential is attractive, investors should weigh opportunity cost, since these strategies often trail the broader market over time. 

Finsum: With interest rates likely to fall, option premiums, and thus fund income, may decline, but yields remain compelling compared to traditional dividend ETFs.

A new Goldman Sachs Asset Management survey shows insurers are increasingly focused on annuities as a retirement income solution amid ongoing market volatility. Sixty-four percent of respondents rank annuities among their top three priorities, with many already offering or considering in-plan annuity options. 

Integration into managed accounts and target-date funds is rising, and automatic plan defaults are viewed as key to driving adoption during retirement decumulation. Registered index-linked and guaranteed variable annuities are gaining popularity, and insurers are diversifying underlying indices, with rising interest in AI strategies and international markets. 

AI is also being widely adopted, with 90% of insurers seeing it as vital for improving investor understanding, education, and operational efficiency. 

Finsum: Registered investment advisers have become the leading growth channel for annuity distribution, surpassing independent firms.

Private equity firms began the year with strong momentum and over $1.6 trillion in dry powder, eager to deploy capital amid improving deal activity. However, rising trade tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty are making investors more cautious, with many GPs expecting tariffs to slow deployment over the coming months. 

Despite this, Q1 saw a surge in deals—volume rose over 45% and value more than doubled year-over-year—driven by large transactions like Sycamore Partners’ take-private of Walgreens. Market volatility has paradoxically raised firms’ risk appetite, with nearly three-quarters indicating they’re more willing to act on mispriced opportunities across sectors such as defense, middle-market manufacturing, and distressed assets. 

Amid these trends, firms such as CNL Strategic Capital are shifting focus to value creation within their portfolio of companies seeking long-term growth

Finsum: Private Markets are a great way to sidestep current volatility