Displaying items by tag: retirement

Monte Carlo simulations have become an essential tool for retirement planning, allowing users to model thousands of financial outcomes based on variables like investment returns, inflation, and life expectancy. Using AI assistant Claude, the author generated a detailed simulation for a hypothetical couple—Joe and Jane Average—without needing programming skills or statistical expertise. 

Claude translated the couple’s retirement goals and financial data into a 5,000-iteration simulation using historical return data and a 60/40 stock-bond allocation, delivering a 95.78% success rate for retirement sustainability. 

The simulation projected a median portfolio of $28.2 million by Jane’s life expectancy, with very low depletion risk even in advanced age. Key strengths of the plan included strong pre-retirement savings, realistic spending goals, a balanced asset mix, and delayed Social Security filing. 

Finsum: Monte Carlo simulation can give you the edge to navigate and model various situations to deliver the best results to your clients. 

The US defined contribution (DC) retirement industry, once buoyed by steady asset growth and strong equity markets, now faces a profitability squeeze due to fee compression, demographic shifts, and intensifying competition. As baby boomers retire and withdrawals surpass new contributions, the system is experiencing net outflows, pushing providers to rethink their business models. 

Recordkeepers are seeing administrative fees decline significantly and are increasingly relying on ancillary revenue streams—like brokerage accounts and financial advice—to offset shrinking margins. 

While total DC system revenues rose modestly between 2013 and 2023, the real surge came from retail wealth management, which generated $45 billion in new revenues, reflecting a shift toward participant-centric strategies. Providers are also contending with rising technology and support costs, prompting restructuring, digitization, and outsourcing, even as consolidation gives larger firms scale advantages. 

Finsum: Retirement solutions providers are being forced to adapt quickly, with success increasingly tied to their ability to expand beyond recordkeeping.

Empower, the $1.8 trillion 401(k) plan provider, will begin offering private credit, equity, and real estate investments in some retirement accounts later this year through partnerships with firms like Apollo and Partners Group. 

This move marks the largest entry yet of private assets into 401(k)-type plans, a $12.4 trillion market that Wall Street firms have long sought access to. While proponents argue private assets can enhance returns and reduce volatility, challenges remain—such as illiquidity, valuation complexity, and higher fees, which range from 1% to 1.6% versus the 0.28% average for typical target-date funds. 

Only select managed account services will offer these investments, with five employers already signed up to participate in the initial rollout. Allocations could range from 5% to 20% of a portfolio, depending on factors like age and risk tolerance.

Finsum: Private markets have definitely gone wide in the last decade but this sort of expansion could really help retirees. 

The rise of fee-based annuities is accelerating as insurance firms respond to evolving regulations, especially in light of the Department of Labor’s fiduciary rule. These products, which charge transparent annual fees instead of embedded commissions, are designed to better align with client interests and reduce potential conflicts. 

However, while fee-based annuities may suit some investors, others—particularly long-term holders—might benefit more from commission-based options due to lower lifetime costs. 

Commissionable annuities, despite carrying higher built-in expenses, can eliminate ongoing advisory fees and may be better suited for clients who need less active management. Choosing between the two depends on several factors, including the annuity's fee structure, potential need for liquidity, and whether features like living benefits are added. 

Finsum: Ultimately, advisors and clients must carefully weigh these trade-offs to determine the best fit based on individual goals, timelines, and financial preferences.

Plan sponsors continue to grapple with low engagement and limited financial literacy when it comes to retirement income within defined contribution plans, according to a new DCIIA study. Many employers are hesitant to implement retirement income solutions due to competing priorities, legal risks, and a lack of internal resources or formal decumulation strategies. 

Complexity, lack of standardization, and concerns over liquidity and portability further complicate adoption. However, plan sponsors anticipate growing interest in lifetime income options through 2025 and 2026, especially as peer adoption increases. 

Safe harbor provisions from SECURE 2.0 are expected to encourage adoption by reducing perceived legal liability, and DCIIA will expand its research later this year to better understand these barriers and opportunities.

Finsum: Solutions that offer personalization, flexibility, and simplicity are most appealing, though widespread uptake may hinge on stronger education and clearer evaluation tools.