Displaying items by tag: income
By any reasonable measure, high yield bond markets look very scary right now. The way that yields have plummeted, the way that covenants have weakened, and the general ease of accessing credit are all reminiscent of 2005. Spreads over Treasuries have fallen to just 300 bp. A year ago they were at 600 bp. Companies have successfully weakened investor protections in new issues without penalty, and crucially, default rates will likely fall below 1% this year. The picture was the same in 2005.
FINSUM: By the Crisis, default rates hit 14% and high yield investors got killed. However, a big correction in high yield would take a catalyst. Is it a sooner-than-expected Fed pullback?
The summer bond market has a pretty predictable summer pattern. Normally…see the full story on our partner Magnifi’s site.
Whether investors—or Jerome Powell—like it or not, inflation is rising, and is as high as it has been in a generation. Sure, it could prove temporary, but in the near and medium term, investors are worried about it, which means it will be dictating returns. How to hedge inflation is a question that investors haven’t had to worry about in some time, so it is worth noting that REITs have traditionally performed very well in inflationary periods. Since many leases are tied to inflation, rents tend to rise directly in line with inflation, providing an excellent hedge.
FINSUM: REITs are not as well appreciated as an inflation hedge as some others asset classes, but that is exactly why they might be a great buy right now.
Bonds yields have been so far from even survivable for most income investors, but…see the full story on our partner Magnifi’s site.
Something very interesting is happening in the annuities market: a new generation is taking the lead. While for many advisors, getting Baby Boomers into annuities as they near retirement has been the focus, a new generation—Gen X—has been turning to the product because of a lack of pensions. According to a new industry study “investors under 55 are considerably more interested in annuities than Baby Boomers; 58% embrace the product as an alternative to pensions”. According to Jean Statler, CEO of the Alliance for Lifetime Income, “The high level of interest in annuities and protection among younger investors is extraordinary … Unfortunately, there’s still a large gap between what investors say is important to them and what financial professionals think is important”.
FINSUM: This makes a lot of sense. The generations younger than Boomers have experienced more income insecurity and retirement uncertainty and are more focused on their ability to control their own retirement income.