Displaying items by tag: equities

The U.S. stock market set new highs in Q3 2025, and while index funds largely outperformed, active funds were more mixed. Among the 10 largest active funds, only the JPMorgan Large Cap Growth Fund stood out, returning 9.3% and ranking in the top third of its category, while the Dodge & Cox Stock Fund lagged with just 3.2%. 

Index funds fared better, with the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund delivering 8.2% and ranking highest among its peers, though the Vanguard Mid Cap Index Fund landed near the middle of its category.

Over the past three years, seven of the 10 largest active funds have outperformed their categories, led by two Capital Group funds that landed in the top decile of large-cap blend. Index funds also showed consistent strength, with S&P 500 trackers like Vanguard, Fidelity, and iShares ranking in the top quartile over that period. 

Finsum: Investors looking to capitalize on falling interest rates should look to large cap growth as they tend to be more interest rate sensitive.

BlackRock is increasing its bets on U.S. equities and artificial intelligence across its $185 billion model-portfolio platform, according to a new investment outlook. The firm shifted allocations away from international developed markets, leaving its models 2% overweight equities and triggering billions of dollars in ETF flows. 

The move reflects confidence in a rally that has pushed the S&P 500 to record highs this year, fueled by strong earnings, enthusiasm for AI, and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. BlackRock pointed to U.S. corporate earnings growth of 11% since late 2024, far outpacing developed peers at under 2%. 

The firm also reallocated tech exposure, moving from a broad tech ETF into an AI-focused fund, which attracted nearly $1.4 billion in a single day. 

Finsum: As BlackRock put it, AI is both a growth driver and a defensive tool for portfolios.

Consumer midcap stocks are starting to show technical strength, with Victoria’s Secret, TripAdvisor, and Steve Madden emerging as standouts beyond the usual Tesla and Amazon focus. 

Victoria’s Secret has surged nearly 50% in three months, breaking out of a consolidation range and reclaiming its 200-day moving average, a sign of a potential trend reversal. TripAdvisor has gained 28% this year, with activist involvement and technical support around $18 pointing to a possible move toward $25. 

Steve Madden, despite being down 27% in 2025, has built a base at $20 and is showing signs of institutional accumulation, suggesting a rebound toward $50 by mid-2026. Retail sales data this week also provided a positive backdrop for the sector, reinforcing momentum for midcaps. 

Finsum: As strength broadens, overlooked mid-cap consumer names like these may offer compelling opportunities relative to the mega caps that dominate headlines.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Tuesday he is optimistic that the U.S. and China are closing in on a trade agreement. In an interview with CNBC, he noted that upcoming talks ahead of November’s scheduled reciprocal tariffs have become increasingly productive. 

Bessent suggested Beijing now recognizes that a deal is within reach, even after months of back-and-forth since tariffs were first announced in April. 

While China initially faced duties as high as 145%, those measures have been suspended through Nov. 10 to allow negotiations to continue. He also highlighted that U.S. allies are frustrated by the surge of Chinese goods into their markets, a dynamic adding urgency to the talks. 

Finum: With the U.S. trade deficit with China already narrowing sharply in 2025, there could be a strong incentive to reach a trade deal as soon as possible. 

Momentum remains the dominant factor in 2025, with the iShares MSCI USA Momentum ETF (MTUM) up 19.6% and the Invesco High Beta ETF (SPHB) close behind at 18.7%, both well ahead of the S&P 500’s 10.7% gain. 

Growth ETFs are trailing the leaders, with the iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF (IVW) delivering a solid 14.2% return. Factor leadership has been narrow, with momentum and high beta capturing most of the gains so far this year. 

At the same time, investors are showing renewed interest in high-dividend strategies, as the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) hit a record high. Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts are making dividend payouts more attractive relative to bonds. 

Finsum: Momentum, high beta, and dividend strategies are setting the tone for factor performance in 2025.