Displaying items by tag: alts

Public pension funds, including CalSTRS and LACERA, are enlisting consultants and specialists to navigate the intricate structures used by private equity firms to extend the lifespan of investments. LACERA, managing $82 billion as of November, has allocated resources for a new role focused on operational due diligence within its private markets portfolio. 

With private equity increasingly relying on financial engineering, experts stress the need for limited partners to stay informed to adapt to these complex arrangements. Examples of strained assets rolled into continuation vehicles, like Upstream and United Site Services, highlight the challenges of managing leveraged investments in a high-interest-rate environment.

Despite these pressures, some private equity firms, such as Audax, maintain optimism about long-term recovery through operational improvements and strategic adjustments. 

Finsum: Although pockets of distress exist, we remain confident in the resilience of private markets and their ability to weather economic headwinds.

The private credit market faces significant risks due to relaxed lending standards and the influx of capital, warns Nick Moakes of the Wellcome Trust. He anticipates substantial losses for investors if the U.S. economy enters a recession. 

While private credit is less systemically risky than traditional banking, diminished checks on borrowing have raised concerns. Rating agency KBRA projects defaults in the sector to rise to 3% by 2025, driven by higher interest rates and vulnerable business models. 

Moakes also criticized large alternative asset managers, noting their focus on asset growth may not align with investor interests. Despite the risks, the Wellcome Trust avoids direct private credit investments but monitors the market through its private equity allocations.

Finsum: With rates moves slowing down we think private credit could have an advantage over traditional fixed income products. 

Despite the ongoing challenges in the residential REIT sector, some companies are well-positioned to benefit from strong demand and strategic advantages. Equity LifeStyle Properties, for example, focuses on manufactured home communities and RV resorts in high-demand locations, benefiting from favorable demographics and constrained supply. 

Veris Residential, with a modern Class A portfolio and a tech-driven approach, is poised to capitalize on scalable growth in the Northeast market. UMH Properties, which operates manufactured home communities across several states, is likely to see continued demand, particularly due to high mortgage rates that make renting a more viable option for many. 

These REITs are leveraging technology to enhance operations and optimize revenue, allowing them to adapt to evolving market dynamics. 

Finsum: Including an influx of new rental units and increased concessions, these companies offer strong prospects for future growth.

Sixteen years ago, alternative investments barely featured in most portfolios, aside from a modest allocation to commodities. Options for retail investors were limited, with most alternatives either prohibitively expensive or inaccessible. 

Today, portfolios tell a completely different story, with many being dedicated to alternatives like private equity, private credit, and reinsurance, reflecting how the landscape has evolved. 

Advances such as interval funds and lower fee structures have opened doors for individual investors to tap into the benefits of these assets, including the sought-after illiquidity premium. Unlike the past, where high fees often negated returns, competitive pricing and improved liquidity have made alternatives a more viable choice. 

Finsum: These innovations now allow for greater diversification and the potential to cushion traditional portfolios against market volatility.

Bitcoin is forecasted to experience significant price growth in 2025, driven by favorable regulatory changes and increasing institutional adoption. Analysts predict potential price peaks ranging from $150,000 to $250,000, with Trump's pro-crypto policies and support for a bitcoin reserve bolstering optimism. 

The approval of bitcoin ETFs and the halving event in 2024 set the stage for mainstream acceptance and reduced supply, enhancing price stability. Institutional inflows, including allocations from retirement funds and sovereign wealth reserves, are expected to mitigate past cycles' extreme volatility. 

However, experts caution against potential market corrections due to global economic disruptions or policy delays. Overall, bitcoin’s expanding role as a reserve asset and its growing integration into traditional finance solidify its bullish outlook.

Finsum: While these targets seem high its important to note that almost all experts are expecting volatility beyond typical asset classes, so these forecasts carry more risk than usual.