(Washington)

The public spat between the president and the former director of the FBI went very public yesterday as a Comey interview about his firing was aired on national television last night. In the interview, Comey called Trump morally unfit to be president and said that Russia may be holding something over Trump that is affecting his behavior. Comey would not say whether he thought Trump firing him amounted to obstruction of justice, saying that would be up to investigators to decide. Trump fired back at Comey through a series of tweets.

FINSUM: Hard to say if this spat will amount to anything, but one thing is clear—it will not lessen the pressure Trump is under in regards to this investigation.

(New York)

Banks may be about to receive a huge gift from regulators in a move that shows just how much the deregulatory push of the Trump era might help the financial industry. The US Federal Reserve, which has significant oversight of the financial regulatory landscape has proposed changes which would loosen restrictions on banks’ balance sheets, allowing them to become more reliant on debt financing, thus having more leverage.

FINSUM: All the details of the new proposals are not clear yet, but this could be a significant boon for banks.

(New York)

Goldman Sachs seems very committed to expanding its business. Not only is the bank trying to make a bigger push into wealth management, but it also also reportedly downsizing its trading unit and putting more resources into its consumer finance business. It now offers consumer savings products, and last week, made an acquisition to grow revenue in its consumer business. The bank bought consumer finance app Clarity Money, whose CEO is Adam Dell, younger brother of Michael Dell. The app helps consumers lower their bills and suggest ways to help their budgets and then keeps a cut of the savings.

FINSUM: To us it is quite amazing how Goldman is proactively shedding its elite image to become more broadly consumer focused. We wonder how it will affect its business in the long run.

(New York)

If you have been reading the news, you will have seen that many are starting to worry that a recession is on the way. While the economy still seems to be in good shape, at the fringes are some data that could foretell a period of contraction. The question is how sharp a contraction might come at the end of this long bull market and economic cycle. Well, Wall Street economists think that the contraction will be slow rather than a steep drop off. Most economists see solid global growth this year of between 3-4%, but thereafter is when things could get dicey.

FINSUM: The big troubling sign to us is that both the US and Europe, which were on different cycles, both seem to be slowing this year, which could portend a recession sooner rather than later.

(New York)

While the market has not been doing so well this year and there are many warning signs, there are some positives too. One great sign for markets is that earnings are very strong. First quarter earnings season looks to be a great one, but what will that do for the markets? This year is supposed to be the best for earnings growth since 2010, but that is exactly the problem—great earnings this year have been forecasted for a while because of the strong economy and tax cuts. That means all the risk appears to be to the downside rather than the upside.

FINSUM: We think this round of earnings have little margin for error as everyone is expecting them to be great.