(New York)

The US real estate market looks set to change in a big way. Brokers and developers are sensing it, and consumers are making it happen. The change is in the geography of the market. The new SALT limits in the updated tax code mean that wealthy residents of higher tax states like New York, New Jersey, and California, now face much higher tax liabilities. As a response, many of them are seeking to buy homes and domicile themselves in tax-free states like Florida, Texas, or Nevada. One real estate developer in Nevada explains the situation, saying “If you’re a wealthy tech executive from the Bay Area who can live wherever you want and you have a $3 million income, you would have $399,000 a year in savings here. That’s a lot of money to spend on real estate”.

FINSUM: We think this trend will be both long-term and very bullish for markets like south Florida and other sizable metropolitan areas in low tax states . The high tax states might face a reckoning, especially those without a major metropolitan area to suck in residents (e.g. Oregon).

(New York)

Increasingly, investing in tech companies means you need to go big or go home. What we mean is that large cap tech companies have been outperforming their smaller peers handily. The S&P 500 Information Technology Sector is up about 14% this year, much better than the index’s 3.7% overall gain, but the S&P 600 Information Technology Sector has only gained 9.9%. That means that the largest tech company are significantly outperforming their smaller peers.

FINSUM: This is not a surprise given the overall momentum the FAANGs have had over the last few years. However, given the worries over regulation, it is odd to see they have outperformed smaller rivals very recently.

(New York)

Retail has been stuck in a rut for some years. Big retailers have been closing stores left and right, so unless you are a contrarian, it is a tough time to invest in the sector. However, there is an ETF that might offer the best way to play the current environment. That ETF is called Amplify Online Retail (IBUY). IBUY has returned just over 15% this year, and tracks an index of companies that make at least 70% of their revenue from online or virtual sales. Three quarters of its holdings are in the US. Only about 10% of retail sales happen online in the US, but that is expected to double over the next five years.

FINSUM: If you are a believer in ecommerce’s ability to disrupt the predominant retail model and make profit, then this seems like a good way to play the sector.

(New York)

Small cap stocks have done well this year, and many are growing more interested in the area following underperformance in the last few years. With that in mind, here are some picks from a top global small caps fund manager. The first thing to know is that international small caps are one of the few areas where active management adds value because many companies are poorly covered by analysts. The other thing to know is that at small caps the CEO really makes a difference in a way that is impossible at much larger organizations. The manager picks shares like Japan’s Horiba, or ABC-MART, or Britain’s Electrocomponents.

FINSUM: Picking international small caps is definitely an area where management needs to be outsourced to a specialist, and to be honest, this fund’s (Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Small-Cap) picks and approach were to us impressive.

(New York)

All the press is on the growth of ETFs, but today some surprise data has come out—mutual fund inflows are outpacing ETFs this year, at least according to Pershing. So far this year mutual funds on Pershing’s platform have seen about $8 bn of inflows, while ETFs have seen just over $6 bn. The explanation for the trend, according to BNY Mellon Pershing is that “As advisors look to diversify their investment strategies to actively manage against emerging risks in the market, we are starting to see mutual fund inflows close the gap with ETFs”.

FINSUM: Active management and once-a-day liquidity do seem to give mutual funds an advantage in the risk avoidance department.