FINSUM

FINSUM

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COVID Loan Tracker, a site launched on April 8th to help small business owners track the progress of PPP and EIDL advance applications, has received a surge of responses. 1,100 American small business owners have given us details of their applications.

If you have not already, please fill out the survey here.

https://www.covidloantracker.com/

The aim of COVID Loan Tracker is to let small business owners know when PPP loans really start flowing, and to empower journalists with the data they need to help keep the government accountable.

 

So far, just six companies out of 1,100 report receiving PPP Loans. Their details are below.


1. LLC, Colorado, 155 employees, applied 4/5, received 4/7, received $1.6m, applied through small/regional bank, received 100% requested
2. S-Corp, Oklahoma, 1 employee, applied 4/2, received 4/9, received $20,700, applied through small/regional bank, received 100% requested
3. LLC, Texas, 38 employees, applied 4/3, received 4/9, received $244,000, applied through small/regional bank, received 100% requested
4. LLC, Utah, 2 employees, applied 4/3, received 4/9, received $7,200, applied through small/regional bank, received 24% requested
5. S-Corp, Arkansas, applied 4/3, received 4/9, received $49,900, applied through small/regional bank, received 100% requested
6. C-Corp, Michigan, applied 4/3, received 4/8, received $250,000, applied through small/regional bank, received 100% requested

Average time between application and payment is 5.3 days.

General Data:

0.5% report receiving PPP Loans
>0.3% report receiving EIDL advances
15,000 employees reportedly at risk from responding companies
36% LLCs
31% S-corps
84% applied for >$250,000
12% for between $250,000 and $1,000,000
4% applied for $1m or more
49% applied through small/regional banks
17% applied through JP Morgan Chase

Special ask: please help us filling out the survey about your application by sharing COVID Loan Tracker with your business network.

As many of you know, we started a site called COVID Loan Tracker yesterday to help small business owners track applications and loan issuance so they can know when money starts to flow.

FINSUM readers gave an enormous response with over 200 small business owners in our space filling out the survey. Overall , as of 7:30 am we have had 440 small businesses report on CTL in the first 18 hours, representing up to $650,000,000 in loan applications across 47 states. Below are the findings:

0% have received PPP loans (i.e. money actually deposited)

0% have received EDL grants (i.e. money actually deposited)

39% are LLCs

28% are S-corporations

Average PPP loan request: $427,000

Average employees per application: 14

96% of applications are for less than $50,000

18% applied for more than $250,000

2% applied for $1m or more

49% applied through small and/or regional banks

16% applied through JP Morgan Chase

The conclusion is that money is clearly not flowing yet (at least at any meaningful level). Please share CTL with your networks so we can aggregate more data to keep small business owners informed and empower the media with data to keep the government accountable.

Thursday, 09 April 2020 09:46

Economic Data is Pointing to a Depression

(New York)

This is a dark day economically. New data is flowing in from many sources, and all of it is pointing to a severe decline in demand that seems ever more likely to push the US into a depression. Unemployment claims came in at another 6.6m this morning, meaning a total of 16.6m Americans have applied in the last three weeks. In other data, fuel and energy demand has fallen so far that it is now at 1960s level. Electricity usage has plummeted on the back of the sharp decline in industrial output.


FINSUM: Let’s do some rough calculations. The US workforce is about 164m people. We started this coronavirus lockdown with just under 4% unemployment, and have since added 16.6m people. By a rough calculation that means we likely have already hit 14% unemployment.

Thursday, 09 April 2020 09:43

Where to Find Great Yields

(New York)

This is a difficult time to be any kind of investor, but being one trying to get yields out of equities is particularly hard-bitten at the moment. Dividends are being cut left and right, so investors need to turn to other options, but much of fixed income looks very scary. That said “Quality yield is on sale”, according to a fund manager at Tocqueville Asset management who specializes in income investments. “Don’t ignore the rest of the capital structure”, says another fund manager at Socoro Asset Management. For instance, look for things like a JP Morgan Chase preferred security with a fixed coupon of 5% and yield-to-call of 7.72%, or Invesco’s Variable Rate Preferred ETF (VRP), yielding 4.85%.


FINSUM: These are good suggestions. For a yield that will really knock your socks off, take a look at the Virtus Private Credit Strategy ETF (VPC), which owns many BDCs and CEFs and has been beaten up in the selloff, but yields a whopping ~18% net of expenses.

(New York)

One of the small but important pillars of the recent years of the bull market has been Millennials beginning to invest. However, as this coronavirus meltdown has unfolded, that growing support for the market may evaporate. Millennials mostly invest in the market via retirement plans, such as 401(k)s, but given the huge layoffs occurring, they are likely to have to raid their retirement funds in order to get through these hard times. Because of this there is likely to be billions withdrawn from the market.


FINSUM: Millennials were a growing part of the market, but given their often precarious financial circumstances, it seems like their participation will be less for the next year or so.

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