Displaying items by tag: stocks

The recent market gyrations and decline prompted some retirement investors to react by shifting their 401(k) investments from large-cap stocks and target-date funds to safer options like stable-value, bond, and money-market funds. 

The trading volume was nearly 700% the usual level, marking the highest activity since March 2020, during the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite the market's volatility, most 401(k) participants did not alter their accounts, but those who did generally moved towards more conservative investments to mitigate risk. 

The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both showed slight gains by the market's close but remained below their mid-July highs. However stable value funds received a bulk of the inflows at just over 60%.

Finsum: While the recent sell off was prompted by international currency fluctuations, expect more volatility this fall and potentially more inflows into stable value.

The July Consumer Price Index (CPI) data indicated that inflation is slowing, prompting speculation about a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.

 Ken Mahoney, CEO of Mahoney Asset Management, suggests that investors should focus on large-cap stocks, which have been performing well, particularly in comparison to small-cap stocks in the Russell 2000, where the majority of companies are unprofitable. 

He also expresses caution about sectors such as autos, airlines, and retail, noting a lack of enthusiasm in those industries. Keep in mind this combination of size and industry for the fall. 

Finsum: It’s important to keep an eye on leverage as interest rates fall this factor will greatly help the more levered companies. 

As market volatility persists, major equity indexes hit new highs, prompting investors to shift from AI and technology stocks to small-caps. The Dow Jones rose 700 points on July 16, achieving a record high, while the S&P 500 followed suit, driven by interest rate cut hopes. 

Natixis Investment Managers advises using selective, active strategies and high-conviction portfolio construction to navigate market peaks. They recommend not waiting for stock declines, as equity markets historically increase 70% of the time. 

For an offensive strategy, focus on growth-oriented, small, and midcap stocks. Active management and model portfolios can help manage risks and optimize tax implications.

Finsum: Prepping your portfolio for the fall election is more crucial than ever. 

Active ETFs have surged in popularity, dominating new launches, inflows, and headlines in the ETF market. At the 2024 Morningstar Investment Conference, industry experts discussed how active ETFs are reshaping the investment landscape.

Nicole Hunter from Dimensional Fund Advisors highlighted DFA’s aggressive entry into active ETFs, converting $30 billion from mutual funds and now holding over $140 billion in assets across 38 active ETFs. T. Rowe Price noted that although active ETFs account for only 5% of ETF assets, they represent 70% of recent launches.

 Despite their growth, active ETFs also face a high closure rate, with over 100 shutting down last year. The panelists discussed the benefits of ETFs, including tax efficiency and transparency, while also acknowledging that traditional mutual funds still have their place in the market.

Finsum: Some volatility is hard to read but both geopolitical and interest rates are relatively easy to capitalize on for active funds. 

In wealth management, the portfolio is the product and it’s crucial for achieving clients' long-term goals. Despite the additional services offered, the portfolio's performance is paramount. 

One key challenge is adapting portfolio construction to ever-changing market conditions, such as the recent shift to positive bond/stock correlations. Previously, low or negative correlations enhanced diversification benefits, but this advantage has lessened. 

As a result, professionals are exploring new ways to diversify, though it's important not to over-rely on these new methods. While increased correlations make reducing volatility more difficult and investors should turn to alts in these types of environments, a measured approach to diversification is essential to maintain long-term returns.

Finsum: Privates and alts are more necessary than ever to hedge the current increased stock-bond correlation.