Active ETFs have been steadily gaining market share from mutual funds, experiencing a consistent 20% growth in assets annually over the past five years, reflecting investors' growing preference for the cost-efficient and adaptable nature of ETFs. During this period, they have expanded their share of the overall ETF market, skyrocketing from 2% to 8.5%, as indicated by Morningstar's recent analysis on actively managed funds.

 Despite their current assets standing just above $600 million amidst the $8.9 trillion U.S. ETF landscape, they are advancing at a faster pace than both the overall market and their passive counterparts. Investors have injected $375 billion into actively managed ETFs in the last five years, while active mutual funds have witnessed a staggering outflow of $1.8 trillion, according to Morningstar's data.

Investors can anticipate continued growth for active ETFs, asserting their burgeoning prominence within the fund industry, fueled by investor demand and their role in alleviating the outflows from active mutual funds.

Finsum: Investors tend to think pickers have their largest advantage in volatility and macro environments, so this trend could continue. 

Real estate investment trusts, known as REITs, are renowned for their attractive dividend yields, as they are legally obligated to distribute 90% of their post-tax earnings to shareholders. However, REITs are highly sensitive to various market factors such as interest rates, inflation, leverage, and regulatory changes, posing liquidity concerns for investors.

While dividend yield is crucial, conservative investors also consider factors like analyst ratings and liquidity when evaluating REITs. The highest-yielding REITs, according to Rick Orford, based on specific criteria, including annual dividend percentage, trading volume, number of analysts, and current analyst ratings are Vici Properties, showcasing notable revenue growth and offering a promising dividend yield of 5.71%. Starwood Property Trust, recognized as the largest commercial mortgage REIT in the US, presents a forward yield of 9.81%, notwithstanding mixed financial performance in 2023. Redwood Trust emerges as a standout contender with the highest forward yield of 11.24% and an optimistic outlook for future earnings growth, bolstered by its diversified investment portfolio.

Finsum: If interest rates have peaked REITs are poised to deliver huge returns in 2024 and 2025.

Rising inflation and heightened borrowing costs are diminishing the appeal of leveraged private-market investments, but despite these challenges, institutional investors in the Asia-Pacific region remain committed to expanding their allocations in private assets, particularly in real estate and private debt, as highlighted in the firm's recent annual report. 

Among the 120 Asia-Pacific-based institutional investors surveyed, 58% anticipate further inflation escalation, while 65% express concerns about elevated borrowing expenses linked to inflation affecting leveraged private-market investments adversely.

However, amid these macroeconomic headwinds, financial institutions in the region remain bullish on private markets and are planning to boost allocations in the short and medium terms, with private debt emerging as a favored asset class.  The survey also indicated a growing trend of institutional investors allocating more than 30% of their portfolios to private markets, with approximately 64% planning to elevate their allocations to private real estate in the medium run.

Finsum: Private real estate could be posed for a comeback as interest rates fall and remote work becomes more sparse.

In the first quarter of 2024, the momentum of private credit fundraising decelerated, impacted by global economic uncertainties, as per the latest findings from Preqin. Fundraising in this sector amassed $30.6 billion during the period, marking a 14% decrease from the typical first-quarter figures recorded since 2017. 

RJ Joshua, VP of research insights at Prequin, notes that there are large concerns around the future of interest rates and inflation, but this slow down might just be for a limited time. The slowdown in fundraising during the initial quarter may prove temporary and regain traction later in the year, according to Joshua.

Notably, there has been a noticeable rise in fund concentration, with the top 10 funds garnering a larger share of the total fundraising. Investors are very satisfied with private credit and over 90% feel the asset class is meeting their expectations. 

Finsum: The future path of interest rates is appearing more certain, which could bode well for private debt through the end of the year. 

The IMF estimates that the private credit industry is now over $2 trillion in size, with 75% of it located in the US. It now rivals the leveraged loan and high-yield credit markets in size. Private credit offers borrowers more speed and flexibility and provides higher returns and less volatility to investors. 

While the advantages are clear, the IMF warns that as lending moves away from regulated financial institutions to private markets, systemic risks will increase. With private credit, there is less transparency, price discovery, and information about credit quality. Additionally, there is less information about how various players in the ecosystem are connected. Therefore, the IMF doesn’t see near-term risks but believes that as private credit keeps growing, there will be a need for greater regulation. 

On average, private credit borrowers tend to be smaller and have weaker balance sheets than companies raising money through syndicated loans or public markets. This means more downside risk in the event of rising rates or a negative economic shock. 

Currently, the IMF estimates that ⅓ of private credit borrowers’ financing costs are higher than earnings. It also warns that lending standards have weakened amid increased competition among lenders due to the influx of capital in the sector. 

Finsum: The private credit industry has experienced rapid growth over the last few years and now rivals the size of the high-yield credit and leveraged loan markets. Here’s why the IMF is concerned that continued growth could lead to systemic risks to financial stability.