Bitcoin is forecasted to experience significant price growth in 2025, driven by favorable regulatory changes and increasing institutional adoption. Analysts predict potential price peaks ranging from $150,000 to $250,000, with Trump's pro-crypto policies and support for a bitcoin reserve bolstering optimism. 

The approval of bitcoin ETFs and the halving event in 2024 set the stage for mainstream acceptance and reduced supply, enhancing price stability. Institutional inflows, including allocations from retirement funds and sovereign wealth reserves, are expected to mitigate past cycles' extreme volatility. 

However, experts caution against potential market corrections due to global economic disruptions or policy delays. Overall, bitcoin’s expanding role as a reserve asset and its growing integration into traditional finance solidify its bullish outlook.

Finsum: While these targets seem high its important to note that almost all experts are expecting volatility beyond typical asset classes, so these forecasts carry more risk than usual. 

President Biden signed the $1.9 trillion American Relief Act of 2025, ensuring government operations through March 14 but excluding life and annuity provisions.

 The legislation may push financial services advocates to focus on standalone bills, like Secure 3.0, rather than relying on broad spending packages. With the debt ceiling still in place, Congress faces another deadline this summer, creating additional opportunities for policy negotiations. 

The package reflects a shift toward separating unrelated provisions from critical bills, as seen in recent debates. These trends could reshape how financial services policies are introduced and passed moving forward.

Finsum: We’ll see a lot of potential changes that could directly or indirectly affect annuities in Trumps first 90 days, so keep your eyes peeled for regulatory changes. 

Evergreen interval funds offer a hybrid structure that combines the benefits of private investments with enhanced liquidity and oversight. These funds provide scheduled repurchase options, allowing investors more control over allocations compared to private vehicles with long lock-up periods and capital calls. 

Eliminating capital calls also avoids the J-curve effect, giving investors flexibility in adjusting their exposure and rebalancing their portfolios. As SEC-regulated entities, interval funds offer heightened transparency and protection, making them attractive alternatives to private funds. 

Studies by Couts and Goncalves quantify the liquidity benefits of these funds, showing that investors value the improved flexibility, especially when interest rates are high. 

Finsum: While focused on private credit, these advantages extend logically to private equity, venture capital, real estate, and infrastructure investments.

Category: Interval Funds

Tags: interval funds, liquidity, alts

A recent study highlights the significant impact of engagement on 401(k) savings, with active participants saving far more than those who aren't involved in their retirement planning. According to Empower's research, engaged individuals contribute 56% more to their retirement accounts, and those actively participating in their plan's resources save even higher amounts. 

These engaged savers are also more likely to fully utilize their employer's match, with 22% of them missing out compared to 48% of disengaged participants. The study also shows that those who consolidate their financial accounts or seek advice tend to save nearly twice as much as their less engaged peers. 

With fewer workers feeling confident about making investment choices, many are turning to financial professionals, which boosts their confidence in securing a comfortable retirement. Despite facing inflation and economic uncertainties, a majority of Americans remain optimistic about their long-term financial future, although short-term financial concerns have shifted their focus from retirement goals to immediate needs.

The US economy surprised expectations in 2024 by maintaining steady growth despite elevated interest rates, a cooling labor market, and political uncertainty tied to the presidential election. It outpaced other Group of Seven nations, with household spending driving much of this resilience. 

Wage growth outstripped inflation, and record household wealth bolstered consumer confidence, even as Americans depleted pandemic-era savings. 

However, challenges loomed: inflation proved stubborn, borrowing costs strained housing and manufacturing, and delinquencies rose among credit-dependent consumers. Labor market signals also hinted at strain, with hiring slowing, job openings shrinking, and unemployment rates ticking up. 

Finsum: While the Federal Reserve began easing rates later in the year, its cautious stance underscores the delicate balance needed to sustain growth amid persistent inflationary pressures.

Direct indexing allows investors to own individual stocks in a customized portfolio, offering tailored market exposure, tax-loss harvesting, and alignment with personal goals. Unlike ETFs, which can only tax-loss harvest during broad market declines, direct indexing captures tax benefits throughout the year. 

Advisors increasingly use it as a core strategy for U.S. equity exposure, leveraging its tax advantages to offset gains from other parts of a client’s portfolio. Technology enables the efficient management of thousands of unique accounts, optimizing trades daily for greater customization and tax efficiency. 

It is also a powerful tool for diversifying concentrated stock positions or preparing for future liquidity events by accumulating tax-loss reserves. 

Finsum: When choosing a provider, factors such as investment performance, tax alpha, and client service are critical to the goals of direct indexing. 

As the Federal Reserve moves toward eventual rate cuts, investors may want to diversify their fixed income strategies, especially if their portfolios are bond-heavy. Options-based strategies offer a compelling alternative, providing income generation without being directly tied to interest rate changes. 

Invesco has introduced three ETFs that combine exposure to key indexes with active option overlays, aiming to deliver income, downside protection, and equity upside potential. These funds include QQA, focusing on the Nasdaq-100, RSPA with its S&P 500 equal-weight approach, and EFAA, which targets international diversification via the MSCI EAFE Index. 

Each fund employs actively managed option strategies, regularly adapting to market conditions to optimize performance and manage volatility. 

Finsum: For investors seeking steady income with professional oversight, these ETFs present an innovative way to supplement fixed income while navigating a dynamic rate environment.

BlackRock’s acquisition of HPS Investment Partners highlights a strategic push into private credit, a rapidly growing sector where traditional banking once reigned. Unlike BlackRock’s broad focus on public markets, HPS has excelled in targeted private lending, taking calculated risks for higher returns. 

The deal underscores BlackRock’s ambition to rival established players like Blackstone and Apollo in private markets, particularly by expanding its direct lending and junior capital businesses. HPS has historically specialized in funding private equity deals with higher-risk debt, a strategy that has delivered strong returns but also exposed it to occasional losses. 

The acquisition aligns with BlackRock’s vision to integrate public and private fixed-income offerings, particularly for institutional investors like insurers. 

With a solid track record and plans to venture further into investment-grade private credit, HPS is poised to play a pivotal role in BlackRock’s private markets expansion.

BlackRock is set to achieve a record year in net inflows, driven by the popularity of its active ETFs and their integration into model portfolios, according to CFO Martin Small. The company reported over $360 billion in net flows during the first three quarters, with $220 billion coming in Q3 alone, boosting its total assets under management to $11.5 trillion. 

The iShares Bitcoin Trust also saw unprecedented success, amassing $50.8 billion in assets within six months of its January launch. BlackRock’s strategy of embedding its ETFs into its expansive model portfolio business has significantly enhanced its flows, a tactic that has resonated with model builders seeking active exposure and cost efficiency. 

State Street Global Advisors’ research underscores the growing adoption of model portfolios, with 39% of advisers' assets now allocated to these investment tools, further fueling BlackRock’s momentum.

Finsum: There is certainly a nesting doll affect to these technological innovations, but the swell of popularity of active options can somewhat be attributed to macro signals being easier to read.

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have experienced tremendous growth due to their low costs, diversification, transparency, tax advantages, and creative investment strategies. Among various costs associated with ETFs, such as trading fees and tracking errors, expense ratios stand out as the most critical factor for attracting investors.

Lower expense ratios can significantly enhance long-term returns; for instance, a $10,000 investment in a fund with a 0.10% expense ratio grows more over 30 years than one with a 0.50% ratio. Recognizing this, investors often seek out the cheapest ETFs, which include options like BNY Mellon Core Bond ETF (0.00% expense ratio) offering broad U.S. bond market exposure. 

Other low-cost leaders include SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (0.02%), providing access to the S&P 500, and JPMorgan BetaBuilders U.S. Equity ETF (0.02%), targeting U.S. large and mid-cap equities. These ETFs showcase how affordability and strategic design make them ideal choices for cost-conscious investors.

Finsum: Picking a low cost ETF is reall y a combination of finding the correct factor exposure and keeping the fees down.