Displaying items by tag: bitcoin

(New York)

Allianz, the global financial firm, says that Bitcoin is worthless and that the bubble is about to burst. While the firm may be better known in its native Europe, Allianz is a major player speaking out against the cryptocurrency. “In our view, its intrinsic value must be zero … A bitcoin is a claim on nobody – in contrast to, for instance, sovereign bonds, equities or paper money – and it does not generate any income stream”, says Allianz, Europe’s largest insurer.

FINSUM: We thought the bitcoin bubble had already burst! Allianz really seems to think it will go to zero. We do not, as we believe it will slowly develop into a digital value store as the regulatory regime surrounding it gets harmonized.

(New York)

So everyone knows that Bitcoin suffered a huge plunge earlier this year. The fall amounted to around 60% at its peak before stabilizing recently. However, what many are not aware of is how much total trading volume fell during the volatility. While stock market losses are often associated with increasing trading, that did not happen with bitcoin. Volume is stuck at about half its peak from December, and touched its lowest level in two years in February. This has many wondering if the currency is waning in popularity.

FINSUM: This piece was interesting to us because it contrasts with what you hear about the explosion in popularity of cryptos.

(New York)

Famed bond fund manager Jeffrey Gundlach loves to put out scary warnings about the markets. Naturally, he often focuses on fixed income and macro themes. However, today he has a new prognostication. Gundlach says that Bitcoin is a good barometer for the direction of stocks. “Strangely, bitcoin seems to be the poster child for social mood and market mood”, says the bond fund manager, continuing “If stocks are going to take another tumble, I think it would be preceded by a bitcoin decline”.

FINSUM: We don’t think bitcoin and stocks have much relationship to each other. The factors that caused Bitcoin to fall (mostly regulatory concerns) have very little to do with why stocks fell.

(New York)

Bank of America just put out a weird warning that caught our eye. The bank—the largest retail bank in the US—said that it may face “substantial costs” as it deals with cryptocurrencies. In its SEC filing, the bank warned that cryptos were one of its risk factors for investors. The bank elaborated, saying “The widespread adoption of new technologies, including internet services, cryptocurrencies and payment systems, could require substantial expenditures to modify or adapt our existing products and services”.

FINSUM: Was this reference to some future risk of business disruption, or does BofA have some exposure to cryptos that is not well understood? Certainly something to pay attention to.

(New York)

While all the focus is understandably on stocks, Bitcoin is continuing to see a huge exodus of buyers. The market is now down to around $6,000, or about 70% from its peak of near $20,000. Bitcoin, and crypt currencies generally, have been brutalized by a number of regulatory announcements which seek to reign in the currencies. These include in South Korea—one of cryptocurrencies’ biggest markets, as well as by the SEC in the US, where chairman Jay Clayton has become a staunch enforcer.

FINSUM: We have been saying for months that there was simply too much regulatory risk to sustain the high valuations. That prediction has certainly proved right and we think it has further to run.